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Held by 729 of 5,944 reporting institutions (98th percentile) — extremely crowded.
Data as of Q1 2026
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Total shares institutions bought (green) vs sold (red) each quarter across all holders.
Inferred from quarter-over-quarter change in each fund's 13F position (new stakes count as buys, exits as sells). Not tick-level trades.
Top 40 institutional holders — bubble size is position value, color is the move since last quarter. Hover any holder for detail.
Drag any bubble to rearrange · size = dollar value of the position
Solve the discounted cash flow backwards, then stress-test the assumptions.
To be worth $46.97 today, the market must believe free cash flow compounds 18.3%/yr for a decade (off $305M normalized FCF).
The market's 18.3% is more optimistic than its 8-yr track record.
2-stage DCF · 0.26B shares · net debt $850M
mean 360.6% · volatility σ 635% · implied rate exceeded in 3/7 yrs
Central path = implied 18.3%/yr growth; shaded band = ±1σ (635%) of this company's historical FCF volatility, widening with time. The wider the band, the less certain the growth.
Reverse DCF: rather than guessing a fair value, we solve for the growth the current price implies, then you stress-test the assumptions. Enterprise value of the FCF stream, less net debt, ÷ shares. Educational — not a recommendation.
EOD close · as of 2026-09-17
How a revenue dollar becomes profit — FY2025
Each value shows its share of revenue below it (common-size).
| Line Item | FY2025 | FY2024 | FY2023 | FY2022 | FY2021 | FY2020 | FY2019 | FY2018 | FY2017 | FY2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $12.83B 100.0% | $11.89B 100.0% | $10.55B 100.0% | $12.45B 100.0% | $12.15B 100.0% | $9.29B 100.0% | $10.43B 100.0% | $13.40B 100.0% | $11.65B 100.0% | $9.32B 100.0% |
| Cost of Products | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | $10.08B 75.2% | $8.99B 77.2% | $7.88B 84.5% |
| Research & Development | $24.0M 0.2% | $57.0M 0.5% | $39.0M 0.4% | $32.0M 0.3% | $31.0M 0.3% | $27.0M 0.3% | $27.0M 0.3% | $31.0M 0.2% | $32.0M 0.3% | $33.0M 0.4% |
| Selling, General & Admin | $299.0M 2.3% | $275.0M 2.3% | $226.0M 2.1% | $204.0M 1.6% | $227.0M 1.9% | $206.0M 2.2% | $280.0M 2.7% | $248.0M 1.9% | $280.0M 2.4% | $356.0M 3.8% |
| Total Operating Expenses | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | $9.48B 101.7% |
| Interest Expense | $158.0M 1.2% | $156.0M 1.3% | $107.0M 1.0% | $106.0M 0.9% | $195.0M 1.6% | $146.0M 1.6% | $121.0M 1.2% | $122.0M 0.9% | $104.0M 0.9% | $243.0M 2.6% |
| Other Income (Expense), net | $1.06B 8.2% | -$91.0M -0.8% | -$134.0M -1.3% | $118.0M 0.9% | $445.0M 3.7% | -$8.0M -0.1% | -$162.0M -1.6% | -$64.0M -0.5% | -$27.0M -0.2% | $65.0M 0.7% |
| Pretax Income | $1.06B 8.3% | $289.0M 2.4% | -$584.0M -5.5% | $702.0M 5.6% | $1.20B 9.9% | $173.0M 1.9% | -$438.0M -4.2% | $1.63B 12.1% | $1.20B 10.3% | -$162.0M -1.7% |
| Income Tax Expense | -$55.0M -0.4% | $265.0M 2.2% | $189.0M 1.8% | $664.0M 5.3% | $629.0M 5.2% | $187.0M 2.0% | $415.0M 4.0% | $732.0M 5.5% | $592.0M 5.1% | $184.0M 2.0% |
| Net Income | $1.16B 9.0% | $60.0M 0.5% | -$651.0M -6.2% | -$123.0M -1.0% | $429.0M 3.5% | -$170.0M -1.8% | -$1.13B -10.8% | $250.0M 1.9% | $279.0M 2.4% | -$400.0M -4.3% |
| Per Share | ||||||||||
| EPS (Basic) | $4.40 | $0.26 | $-3.65 | $-0.68 | $2.30 | $-0.91 | $-6.07 | $1.34 | $1.51 | $-2.19 |
| EPS (Diluted) | $4.37 | $0.26 | $-3.65 | $-0.68 | $2.26 | $-0.91 | $-6.07 | $1.33 | $1.49 | $-2.19 |
| Weighted Avg Shares (Basic) | 259.0M | 212.0M | 178.0M | 181.0M | 186.0M | 186.0M | 185.0M | 186.0M | 184.0M | 183.0M |
| Weighted Avg Shares (Diluted) | 261.0M | 214.0M | 178.0M | 181.0M | 190.0M | 186.0M | 185.0M | 189.0M | 187.0M | 183.0M |
Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL filings (annual, fiscal year). Quarterly flow items are derived from cumulative filings; balance-sheet figures are as-of each period end. Ratios and margins are computed, not reported.
Is the value real, and is the business safe? Academic scores + earnings quality + solvency, from SEC filings.
5/8 of the 9 checks — 1 couldn't be scored (see above), so the score is out of the 8 with data.
Insufficient balance-sheet detail (needs retained earnings, working capital, equity).
Needs granular two-year detail (receivables, PP&E, D&A, SG&A) — not fully reported.
Cash conversion lags reported earnings — watch accruals. Lower/negative accruals = higher quality (Sloan).
Coverage data unavailable.
F-Score (0–9 fundamental momentum), Altman Z (distress risk), and Beneish M (earnings-manipulation screen) are academic models computed from the SEC filings. Screens and context — educational, not recommendations.
What the company returns to shareholders — and whether it's covered by cash.
The dividend is comfortably covered — only 18% of free cash flow, leaving room to grow it and fund buybacks. Last year: $104M dividends + $0 buybacks = $104M returned on $567M FCF.
1 consecutive years of dividend increases · 40%/yr.
Yields use the latest fiscal-year dividends/buybacks over current market cap. Dividends and buybacks from the SEC cash-flow statement; payout coverage vs net income and free cash flow. Educational — not a recommendation.
How management deployed cash over 10 years — and what it earned on reinvestment.
A reinvestment story — most cash went back into growth rather than to shareholders.
Insufficient data. Current ROIC on all capital: 14%. Rough measure (includes maintenance capex).
Cash uses aggregated from the SEC cash-flow statement over 10 fiscal years. "Return on reinvestment" is a rough proxy — operating-income change ÷ cumulative CapEx + M&A — and includes maintenance capex. Educational — not a recommendation.
How much the company owes, how it's trended, and how comfortably it's serviced.
Cash of $1.6B covers all $1.2B of scheduled principal — no refinancing pressure. Scheduled principal only (excludes interest & revolver draws). As of 2025-12-31 (10-K).
Insufficient EBITDA/debt history.
Green ≤ 1.5× · amber ≤ 3× · red > 3× (leverage relative to cash earnings).
Interest expense isn't separately reported — often netted into “other income (expense), net.” Effective rate ~6.5% on $2.4B of debt.
Cash of $1.6B fully covers short-term debt of $9M.
Mostly long-term debt (balance-sheet current vs non-current split). See the maturity ladder above for the year-by-year repayment schedule.
Debt, cash, interest and equity from the SEC balance sheet & income statement. Effective rate = interest ÷ average debt. Maturity ladder from the SEC long-term-debt repayment schedule. Educational — not a recommendation.
Ranked against 238 sector peers with collected financials. Valuation from latest close × latest fiscal-year fundamentals; 13F conviction as of 2026-03-31.
Percentile is “goodness” within the peer set (100 = best). For valuation and leverage that means cheaper / less-levered ranks higher.
| Company | Mkt cap ▼ | P/E | EV/EBITDA | P/S | Rev gr | Gross | Net | ROE | ROIC | Net D/EBITDA | 13F |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BHP | $439.4B | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 713 |
| LIN | $215.3B | 31.4× | 19.3× | 6.3× | 3.0% | — | 20.3% | 18.0% | 10.9% | 2.1× | 2,148 |
| SCCO | $162.1B | 37.4× | 20.9× | 12.1× | 17.4% | 60.1% | 32.4% | 39.4% | 24.4% | 0.9× | 791 |
| CX | $147.8B | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 297 |
| TX | $116.5B | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 139 |
| FCX | $101.8B | — | 12.3× | 3.9× | 1.8% | 28.2% | 16.0% | 22.0% | 14.7% | 1.1× | 1,775 |
| AEM | $100.7B | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1,066 |
| SHW | $79.5B | 31.3× | — | 3.4× | 2.1% | 48.8% | 10.9% | 55.9% | 17.0% | — | 1,610 |
| ECL | $76.6B | 37.3× | 22.5× | 4.8× | 2.2% | 44.5% | 12.9% | 21.2% | 19.5% | 0.3× | 1,619 |
| B | $73.2B | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 979 |
| WPM | $69.1B | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 809 |
| APD | $63.7B | — | 90.0× | 5.3× | -0.5% | 31.4% | -3.3% | -2.6% | -2.6% | 0.1× | 1,702 |
| VALE | $61.6B | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 537 |
| NUE | $61.2B | 35.3× | — | 1.9× | 5.7% | 11.9% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | — | 1,325 |
| CRH | $58.0B | 15.7× | 9.3× | 1.6× | 5.3% | 36.1% | 10.0% | 15.6% | 9.2% | 2.2× | 9 |
| MT | $57.2B | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 286 |
| DD | $53.6B | — | — | 7.8× | 1.9% | 34.5% | -11.4% | -5.6% | -5.6% | — | 1,172 |
| AU | $51.7B | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 537 |
| FNV | $51.4B | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 614 |
| NTR | $37.7B | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 718 |
| STLD | $35.6B | 30.7× | 19.2× | 2.0× | 3.6% | 13.2% | 6.5% | 13.2% | 9.0% | 2.1× | 893 |
| KGC | $34.2B | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 630 |
| VMC | $31.9B | 30.1× | 15.3× | 4.0× | 7.1% | 27.4% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 8.4% | 1.8× | 981 |
| MLM | $29.8B | 26.3× | 16.9× | 4.8× | 8.6% | 30.7% | 18.5% | 11.3% | 7.4% | 2.6× | 1,022 |
| PPG | $23.6B | 15.2× | — | 1.5× | 0.2% | 41.3% | 9.9% | 19.8% | 10.3% | — | 1,003 |
| AA | $12.4B | 10.8× | — | 1.0× | 7.9% | — | 9.0% | 18.9% | 13.5% | — | 729 |
Peers = companies sharing AA's sector (Basic Materials) with collected SEC financials. Multiples use the most recent end-of-day close and latest fiscal-year fundamentals (trailing, not forward). Missing cells mean the peer never reported that line item, has no collected price, or has a non-positive denominator. Not investment advice.
EOD close · as of 2026-09-17
No standout strengths flagged.
No material risks flagged.
Where each multiple sits in its own 12-yr range · 56th pct blended
Dot = today · shaded = middle 50% · line = median. Lower percentile = cheaper vs its own 12-yr history.
Is the profit real, and how strong is the balance sheet?
FY2025 · every deduction from revenue to net income
DuPont — the three levers
Watch the leverage lever — a chunk of ROE comes from the balance sheet.
What the company owes vs. what it holds
Year-by-year maturities aren't in SEC companyfacts (footnote-only), so this shows the debt/cash structure and net leverage instead.
Latest year: profit growth vs revenue growth
Operating leverage needs meaningful revenue change.
Each line as % of revenue — the trend in color
| % of revenue | FY2018 | FY2019 | FY2020 | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R&D | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| SG&A | 1.9 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 2.3 |
| Income Tax | 5.5 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 5.2 | 5.3 | 1.8 | 2.2 | -0.4 |
| Net Income | 1.9 | -10.8 | -1.8 | 3.5 | -1.0 | -6.2 | 0.5 | 9.0 |
Green = margin-favorable vs the row's own range · red = unfavorable.
The metrics that matter, over time
A 30-second read on AA: price, valuation, headline fundamentals, and an auto-generated scorecard from SEC filings. Flags are rule-based signals, not recommendations.
Total return (dividends reinvested) vs the market, from quarter-end prices.
Above 0 = ahead of the S&P 500 since the window start; below 0 = behind. Rising means it's pulling ahead.
How far the stock fell below its prior peak. Deeper, longer drawdowns = a rougher ride to the same return.
Quarter-end, dividend-adjusted (total return). Beta & volatility from quarterly returns (annualized). Benchmark is the S&P 500 (SPY total return). Annual returns compound the quarters ending in each calendar year; the first and last years in a window may be partial. Past performance doesn't predict future results.