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Held by 432 of 5,944 reporting institutions (96th percentile) — extremely crowded.
Data as of Q1 2026
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How management deployed cash over 10 years — and what it earned on reinvestment.
A reinvestment story — most cash went back into growth rather than to shareholders.
Modest payoff on reinvested capital. Current ROIC on all capital: 5%. Rough measure (includes maintenance capex).
Cash uses aggregated from the SEC cash-flow statement over 10 fiscal years. "Return on reinvestment" is a rough proxy — operating-income change ÷ cumulative CapEx + M&A — and includes maintenance capex. Educational — not a recommendation.
How much the company owes, how it's trended, and how comfortably it's serviced.
Cash of $81M is below the $288M due within a year — relies on refinancing or operating cash flow. Scheduled principal only (excludes interest & revolver draws). As of 2025-12-31 (10-K).
Green ≤ 1.5× · amber ≤ 3× · red > 3× (leverage relative to cash earnings).
Coverage is adequate but not comfortable. Effective rate ~6.1% on $7.7B of debt.
Cash of $81M is below short-term debt of $310M — relies on refinancing/operations.
Mostly long-term debt (balance-sheet current vs non-current split). See the maturity ladder above for the year-by-year repayment schedule.
Debt, cash, interest and equity from the SEC balance sheet & income statement. Effective rate = interest ÷ average debt. Maturity ladder from the SEC long-term-debt repayment schedule. Educational — not a recommendation.
Total shares institutions bought (green) vs sold (red) each quarter across all holders.
Inferred from quarter-over-quarter change in each fund's 13F position (new stakes count as buys, exits as sells). Not tick-level trades.
Top 40 institutional holders — bubble size is position value, color is the move since last quarter. Hover any holder for detail.
Drag any bubble to rearrange · size = dollar value of the position
Solve the discounted cash flow backwards, then stress-test the assumptions.
To be worth $6.99 today, the market must believe free cash flow compounds -5.5%/yr for a decade (off $1.6B normalized FCF).
The market's -5.5% is more conservative than its 9-yr track record.
2-stage DCF · 0.73B shares (market data) · net debt $7.6B
mean 22.1% · volatility σ 58% · implied rate exceeded in 7/9 yrs
Central path = implied -5.5%/yr growth; shaded band = ±1σ (58%) of this company's historical FCF volatility, widening with time. The wider the band, the less certain the growth.
Reverse DCF: rather than guessing a fair value, we solve for the growth the current price implies, then you stress-test the assumptions. Enterprise value of the FCF stream, less net debt, ÷ shares. Educational — not a recommendation.
Is the value real, and is the business safe? Academic scores + earnings quality + solvency, from SEC filings.
6/7 of the 9 checks — 2 couldn't be scored (see above), so the score is out of the 7 with data.
Safe > 2.99 · grey 1.81–2.99 · distress < 1.81
Needs granular two-year detail (receivables, PP&E, D&A, SG&A) — not fully reported.
Earnings are backed by cash (FCF ≥ net income) — high quality. Lower/negative accruals = higher quality (Sloan).
Interest coverage is thin — monitor; leverage falling year-over-year.
F-Score (0–9 fundamental momentum), Altman Z (distress risk), and Beneish M (earnings-manipulation screen) are academic models computed from the SEC filings. Screens and context — educational, not recommendations.
What the company returns to shareholders — and whether it's covered by cash.
The dividend is comfortably covered — only 11% of free cash flow, leaving room to grow it and fund buybacks. Last year: $187M dividends + $607M buybacks = $794M returned on $1.7B FCF.
Yields use the latest fiscal-year dividends/buybacks over current market cap. Dividends and buybacks from the SEC cash-flow statement; payout coverage vs net income and free cash flow. Educational — not a recommendation.
EOD close · as of 2026-09-17
How a revenue dollar becomes profit — FY2025
Each value shows its share of revenue below it (common-size).
| Line Item | FY2025 | FY2024 | FY2023 | FY2022 | FY2021 | FY2020 | FY2019 | FY2018 | FY2017 | FY2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $5.13B 100.0% | $4.90B 100.0% | $4.65B 100.0% | $4.38B 100.0% | $4.20B 100.0% | $5.31B 100.0% | $5.13B 100.0% | $4.58B 100.0% | $4.32B 100.0% | $2.95B 100.0% |
| Selling, General & Admin | $1.47B 28.7% | $1.50B 30.6% | $1.39B 29.8% | $1.35B 30.8% | $1.54B 36.7% | $1.72B 32.4% | $1.41B 27.4% | $1.25B 27.2% | $1.21B 28.0% | $858.9M 29.1% |
| Operating Income | $1.31B 25.5% | $1.21B 24.7% | $1.18B 25.3% | $725.1M 16.5% | $9.8M 0.2% | $40.6M 0.8% | $196.4M 3.8% | $277.8M 6.1% | $282.4M 6.5% | -$229.3M -7.8% |
| Interest Expense | $470.0M 9.2% | $451.0M 9.2% | $586.0M 12.6% | $277.0M 6.3% | $457.0M 10.9% | $710.0M 13.4% | $623.0M 12.2% | $620.0M 13.5% | $645.0M 14.9% | $468.0M 15.9% |
| Other Income (Expense), net | -$15.8M -0.3% | $48.1M 1.0% | -$4.7M -0.1% | -$57.6M -1.3% | $8.3M 0.2% | $8.3M 0.2% | $5.0M 0.1% | $22.0M 0.5% | $33.0M 0.8% | -$23.6M -0.8% |
| Pretax Income | $833.8M 16.3% | $815.2M 16.6% | $604.4M 13.0% | $404.5M 9.2% | -$475.8M -11.3% | -$778.9M -14.7% | -$522.2M -10.2% | -$632.6M -13.8% | -$421.7M -9.8% | -$802.7M -27.2% |
| Income Tax Expense | $233.3M 4.5% | $195.8M 4.0% | $160.6M 3.5% | $87.7M 2.0% | -$131.7M -3.1% | -$146.7M -2.8% | -$98.0M -1.9% | $23.5M 0.5% | $764.3M 17.7% | -$266.2M -9.0% |
| Net Income | $596.0M 11.6% | $501.1M 10.2% | $463.0M 10.0% | $132.7M 3.0% | -$340.8M -8.1% | -$632.2M -11.9% | -$424.1M -8.3% | -$609.2M -13.3% | $342.6M 7.9% | -$536.6M -18.2% |
| Per Share | ||||||||||
| EPS (Basic) | — | — | — | — | — | — | $-0.57 | $-0.81 | $0.53 | $-0.84 |
| EPS (Diluted) | — | — | — | — | — | — | $-0.57 | $-0.81 | $0.53 | $-0.84 |
| Weighted Avg Shares (Basic) | — | — | — | — | — | — | 747.2M | 747.7M | 641.1M | 640.7M |
| Weighted Avg Shares (Diluted) | — | — | — | — | — | — | 747.2M | 747.7M | 641.1M | 640.7M |
Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL filings (annual, fiscal year). Quarterly flow items are derived from cumulative filings; balance-sheet figures are as-of each period end. Ratios and margins are computed, not reported.
Ranked against 651 sector peers with collected financials. Valuation from latest close × latest fiscal-year fundamentals; 13F conviction as of 2026-03-31.
Percentile is “goodness” within the peer set (100 = best). For valuation and leverage that means cheaper / less-levered ranks higher.
| Company | Mkt cap ▼ | P/E | EV/EBITDA | P/S | Rev gr | Gross | Net | ROE | ROIC | Net D/EBITDA | 13F |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LTM | $29.49T | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 160 |
| CAT | $371.6B | 42.5× | 29.7× | 5.5× | 4.3% | 33.8% | 13.1% | 41.7% | 15.4% | 2.7× | 3,616 |
| GE | $328.8B | 38.5× | — | 7.2× | 18.5% | — | 19.0% | 46.6% | 22.2% | — | 3,077 |
| RTX | $259.8B | 39.0× | 18.5× | 2.9× | 9.7% | — | 7.6% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 0.0× | 3,277 |
| BA | $199.4B | 79.4× | 40.2× | 2.2× | 34.5% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 41.0% | 3.3% | 10.0× | 2,435 |
| DE | $185.4B | 37.1× | — | 4.1× | -11.7% | — | 11.0% | 19.4% | 12.6% | — | 2,491 |
| ABBNY | $177.4B | 47.9× | 31.6× | 5.5× | 9.5% | 34.8% | 11.9% | 28.5% | 20.4% | 0.9× | 48 |
| UNP | $167.6B | 23.6× | 16.1× | 6.8× | 1.1% | — | 29.1% | 38.7% | 14.2% | 2.6× | 2,648 |
| ETN | $158.8B | 39.2× | — | 5.8× | 10.3% | 37.6% | 14.9% | 21.0% | 13.9% | — | 2,398 |
| HON | $131.2B | 28.1× | 16.1× | 3.5× | 7.8% | 36.9% | 12.6% | 34.0% | 9.8% | 3.6× | 2,694 |
| LMT | $123.2B | 25.0× | 16.1× | 1.6× | 5.6% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 74.6% | 17.7% | 2.5× | 2,807 |
| PH | $118.7B | 34.1× | 26.8× | 6.0× | -0.4% | 36.9% | 17.8% | 25.8% | 16.7% | 1.6× | 1,845 |
| ADP | $108.3B | 24.9× | — | 4.9× | 6.7% | 46.4% | 20.1% | 73.2% | 40.1% | — | 2,179 |
| GD | $96.2B | 23.0× | 16.9× | 1.8× | 10.1% | — | 8.0% | 16.4% | 12.5% | 1.3× | 2,123 |
| TT | $94.4B | 32.6× | 23.3× | 4.4× | 7.5% | — | 13.7% | 34.0% | 22.1% | 1.1× | 1,658 |
| VRT | $92.4B | 70.8× | 43.8× | 9.0× | 27.7% | 36.3% | 13.0% | 33.8% | 19.4% | 1.4× | 1,748 |
| PWR | $92.2B | 90.7× | 45.8× | 3.2× | 20.3% | 15.0% | 3.6% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 0.4× | 1,659 |
| JCI | $91.9B | 28.0× | — | 3.9× | 2.8% | 36.4% | 13.9% | 25.5% | 14.4% | — | 1,487 |
| HWM | $90.7B | 60.9× | 39.9× | 11.0× | 11.1% | — | 18.3% | 28.2% | 17.9% | 1.3× | 1,399 |
| CSX | $89.1B | 31.1× | 14.4× | 6.3× | -3.1% | — | 20.5% | 22.0% | 22.0% | — | 1,791 |
| MMM | $87.3B | 27.4× | 16.8× | 3.5× | 1.5% | 39.9% | 13.0% | 69.1% | 18.8% | 2.1× | 2,051 |
| WM | $86.0B | 31.8× | 12.1× | 3.4× | 14.2% | 40.4% | 10.7% | 27.1% | 25.3% | 0.1× | 2,262 |
| UPS | $85.0B | 15.3× | 9.5× | 1.0× | -2.6% | — | 6.3% | 34.3% | 13.8% | 2.2× | 2,025 |
| EMR | $83.0B | 36.5× | — | 4.6× | 3.0% | 52.8% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 6.9% | — | 2,112 |
| CTAS | $79.8B | 45.0× | 28.7× | 7.7× | 7.7% | 50.0% | 17.5% | 38.7% | 25.5% | 0.8× | 1,366 |
| ADT | $5.1B | — | 4.8× | 1.0× | 4.7% | — | 11.6% | 15.8% | 5.2% | 2.9× | 432 |
Peers = companies sharing ADT's sector (Industrials) with collected SEC financials. Multiples use the most recent end-of-day close and latest fiscal-year fundamentals (trailing, not forward). Missing cells mean the peer never reported that line item, has no collected price, or has a non-positive denominator. Not investment advice.
Total return (dividends reinvested) vs the market, from quarter-end prices.
Above 0 = ahead of the S&P 500 since the window start; below 0 = behind. Rising means it's pulling ahead.
How far the stock fell below its prior peak. Deeper, longer drawdowns = a rougher ride to the same return.
Quarter-end, dividend-adjusted (total return). Beta & volatility from quarterly returns (annualized). Benchmark is the S&P 500 (SPY total return). Annual returns compound the quarters ending in each calendar year; the first and last years in a window may be partial. Past performance doesn't predict future results.
EOD close · as of 2026-09-17
Where each multiple sits in its own 8-yr range
Dot = today · shaded = middle 50% · line = median. Lower percentile = cheaper vs its own 8-yr history.
Is the profit real, and how strong is the balance sheet?
FY2025 · every deduction from revenue to net income
DuPont — the three levers
Watch the leverage lever — a chunk of ROE comes from the balance sheet.
What the company owes vs. what it holds
Year-by-year maturities aren't in SEC companyfacts (footnote-only), so this shows the debt/cash structure and net leverage instead.
Latest year: profit growth vs revenue growth
High operating leverage: profit moved 1.8× as fast as sales — great in an upturn, painful in a downturn.
Each line as % of revenue — the trend in color
| % of revenue | FY2018 | FY2019 | FY2020 | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SG&A | 27.2 | 27.4 | 32.4 | 36.7 | 30.8 | 29.8 | 30.6 | 28.7 |
| Operating Income | 6.1 | 3.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 16.5 | 25.3 | 24.7 | 25.5 |
| Income Tax | 0.5 | -1.9 | -2.8 | -3.1 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 4.0 | 4.5 |
| Net Income | -13.3 | -8.3 | -11.9 | -8.1 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 10.2 | 11.6 |
Green = margin-favorable vs the row's own range · red = unfavorable.
The metrics that matter, over time
A 30-second read on ADT: price, valuation, headline fundamentals, and an auto-generated scorecard from SEC filings. Flags are rule-based signals, not recommendations.