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Held by 321 of 5,944 reporting institutions (95th percentile) — extremely crowded.
Data as of Q1 2026
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Total shares institutions bought (green) vs sold (red) each quarter across all holders.
Inferred from quarter-over-quarter change in each fund's 13F position (new stakes count as buys, exits as sells). Not tick-level trades.
Solve the discounted cash flow backwards, then stress-test the assumptions.
To be worth $95.87 today, the market must believe free cash flow compounds 19.4%/yr for a decade (off $110M normalized FCF).
The market's 19.4% is more optimistic than its 9-yr track record.
2-stage DCF · 0.05B shares · net debt $414M
mean -7.9% · volatility σ 70% · implied rate exceeded in 4/8 yrs
Central path = implied 19.4%/yr growth; shaded band = ±1σ (70%) of this company's historical FCF volatility, widening with time. The wider the band, the less certain the growth.
Reverse DCF: rather than guessing a fair value, we solve for the growth the current price implies, then you stress-test the assumptions. Enterprise value of the FCF stream, less net debt, ÷ shares. Educational — not a recommendation.
Top 40 institutional holders — bubble size is position value, color is the move since last quarter. Hover any holder for detail.
Drag any bubble to rearrange · size = dollar value of the position
EOD close · as of 2026-09-17
How a revenue dollar becomes profit — FY2025
Each value shows its share of revenue below it (common-size).
| Line Item | FY2025 | FY2024 | FY2024 | FY2023 | FY2021 | FY2020 | FY2019 | FY2019 | FY2018 | FY2017 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $3.75B 100.0% | $3.58B 100.0% | $3.44B 100.0% | $3.30B 100.0% | $2.93B 100.0% | $1.98B 100.0% | $2.48B 100.0% | $2.33B 100.0% | $2.26B 100.0% | $2.28B 100.0% |
| Cost of Revenue | — | — | — | — | $653.1M 22.3% | $458.3M 23.1% | $561.8M 22.6% | $532.9M 22.8% | $519.4M 23.0% | $526.6M 23.1% |
| Selling, General & Admin | $244.9M 6.5% | $228.7M 6.4% | $217.4M 6.3% | $205.8M 6.2% | $186.1M 6.4% | $157.6M 7.9% | $160.2M 6.5% | $154.8M 6.6% | $141.5M 6.3% | $146.0M 6.4% |
| Total Operating Expenses | $3.56B 95.0% | $3.40B 95.0% | $3.33B 96.8% | $3.26B 98.8% | $2.85B 97.2% | $2.33B 117.5% | $2.38B 95.8% | $2.21B 94.9% | $2.11B 93.2% | $2.07B 91.2% |
| Operating Income | $187.3M 5.0% | $178.3M 5.0% | $108.6M 3.2% | $38.9M 1.2% | $82.3M 2.8% | -$347.4M -17.5% | $103.6M 4.2% | $118.9M 5.1% | $152.8M 6.8% | $201.0M 8.8% |
| Other Income (Expense), net | $1.9M 0.1% | $2.8M 0.1% | $1.6M 0.0% | $1.4M 0.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pretax Income | $162.9M 4.3% | $171.0M 4.8% | $100.0M 2.9% | $32.9M 1.0% | $71.6M 2.4% | -$356.0M -18.0% | $140.3M 5.7% | $107.4M 4.6% | $146.5M 6.5% | $191.8M 8.4% |
| Income Tax Expense | $14.5M 0.4% | $14.3M 0.4% | -$1.3M -0.0% | -$10.2M -0.3% | -$753K -0.0% | -$102.7M -5.2% | $13.0M 0.5% | $8.4M 0.4% | -$10.9M -0.5% | $52.3M 2.3% |
| Net Income | $148.0M 3.9% | $157.0M 4.4% | $101.0M 2.9% | $43.0M 1.3% | $72.0M 2.5% | -$253.4M -12.8% | $127.3M 5.1% | $99.0M 4.2% | — | — |
| Per Share | ||||||||||
| EPS (Basic) | $3.17 | $3.28 | $2.10 | $0.87 | $1.03 | $-6.32 | $2.90 | $2.19 | $3.35 | $2.91 |
| EPS (Diluted) | $3.06 | $3.20 | $2.07 | $0.86 | $1.01 | $-6.32 | $2.86 | $2.14 | $3.27 | $2.83 |
| Weighted Avg Shares (Basic) | 46.8M | 47.8M | 48.3M | 49.8M | 47.5M | 43.9M | 43.9M | 45.3M | 46.9M | 48.0M |
| Weighted Avg Shares (Diluted) | 48.6M | 49.0M | 49.0M | 50.4M | 48.5M | 43.9M | 44.5M | 46.2M | 48.2M | 49.4M |
Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL filings (annual, fiscal year). Quarterly flow items are derived from cumulative filings; balance-sheet figures are as-of each period end. Ratios and margins are computed, not reported.
Is the value real, and is the business safe? Academic scores + earnings quality + solvency, from SEC filings.
5/8 of the 9 checks — 1 couldn't be scored (see above), so the score is out of the 8 with data.
Safe > 2.99 · grey 1.81–2.99 · distress < 1.81
Needs granular two-year detail (receivables, PP&E, D&A, SG&A) — not fully reported.
Earnings are backed by cash (FCF ≥ net income) — high quality. Lower/negative accruals = higher quality (Sloan).
Coverage data unavailable; leverage rising year-over-year.
F-Score (0–9 fundamental momentum), Altman Z (distress risk), and Beneish M (earnings-manipulation screen) are academic models computed from the SEC filings. Screens and context — educational, not recommendations.
What the company returns to shareholders — and whether it's covered by cash.
The dividend is comfortably covered — only 34% of free cash flow, leaving room to grow it and fund buybacks. Last year: $52M dividends + $154M buybacks = $206M returned on $155M FCF.
1 consecutive years of dividend increases · 2%/yr.
Yields use the latest fiscal-year dividends/buybacks over current market cap. Dividends and buybacks from the SEC cash-flow statement; payout coverage vs net income and free cash flow. Educational — not a recommendation.
How management deployed cash over 10 years — and what it earned on reinvestment.
A balanced mix of reinvestment and shareholder returns.
Operating income fell despite reinvestment — a warning on capital productivity. Current ROIC on all capital: 14%. Rough measure (includes maintenance capex).
Cash uses aggregated from the SEC cash-flow statement over 10 fiscal years. "Return on reinvestment" is a rough proxy — operating-income change ÷ cumulative CapEx + M&A — and includes maintenance capex. Educational — not a recommendation.
How much the company owes, how it's trended, and how comfortably it's serviced.
Green ≤ 1.5× · amber ≤ 3× · red > 3× (leverage relative to cash earnings).
Interest expense isn't separately reported — often netted into “other income (expense), net.”
Cash of $216M fully covers short-term debt of $69M.
Mostly long-term debt (balance-sheet current vs non-current split). A year-by-year maturity schedule wasn't disclosed for this issuer.
Debt, cash, interest and equity from the SEC balance sheet & income statement. Effective rate = interest ÷ average debt. Educational — not a recommendation.
EOD close · as of 2026-09-17
Where each multiple sits in its own 3-yr range · 92th pct blended
Dot = today · shaded = middle 50% · line = median. Lower percentile = cheaper vs its own 3-yr history.
Is the profit real, and how strong is the balance sheet?
FY2025 · every deduction from revenue to net income
DuPont — the three levers
Watch the leverage lever — a chunk of ROE comes from the balance sheet.
What the company owes vs. what it holds
Year-by-year maturities aren't in SEC companyfacts (footnote-only), so this shows the debt/cash structure and net leverage instead.
Latest year: profit growth vs revenue growth
Low operating leverage — profit tracks sales closely (stable, less cyclical).
Each line as % of revenue — the trend in color
| % of revenue | FY2019 | FY2019 | FY2020 | FY2021 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cost of Revenue | 22.8 | 22.6 | 23.1 | 22.3 | — | — | — | — |
| SG&A | 6.6 | 6.5 | 7.9 | 6.4 | 6.2 | 6.3 | 6.4 | 6.5 |
| Operating Income | 5.1 | 4.2 | -17.5 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 3.2 | 5.0 | 5.0 |
| Income Tax | 0.4 | 0.5 | -5.2 | -0.0 | -0.3 | -0.0 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Net Income | 4.2 | 5.1 | -12.8 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 2.9 | 4.4 | 3.9 |
Green = margin-favorable vs the row's own range · red = unfavorable.
The metrics that matter, over time
A 30-second read on CAKE: price, valuation, headline fundamentals, and an auto-generated scorecard from SEC filings. Flags are rule-based signals, not recommendations.
Total return (dividends reinvested) vs the market, from quarter-end prices.
Above 0 = ahead of the S&P 500 since the window start; below 0 = behind. Rising means it's pulling ahead.
How far the stock fell below its prior peak. Deeper, longer drawdowns = a rougher ride to the same return.
Quarter-end, dividend-adjusted (total return). Beta & volatility from quarterly returns (annualized). Benchmark is the S&P 500 (SPY total return). Annual returns compound the quarters ending in each calendar year; the first and last years in a window may be partial. Past performance doesn't predict future results.
Ranked against 490 sector peers with collected financials. Valuation from latest close × latest fiscal-year fundamentals; 13F conviction as of 2026-03-31.
Percentile is “goodness” within the peer set (100 = best). For valuation and leverage that means cheaper / less-levered ranks higher.
| Company | Mkt cap ▼ | P/E | EV/EBITDA | P/S | Rev gr | Gross | Net | ROE | ROIC | Net D/EBITDA | 13F |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMZN | $2.70T | — | — | — | — | — | — | 20.5% | 16.2% | — | 5,764 |
| TSLA | $1.37T | 339.1× | 145.5× | 14.5× | -2.9% | 18.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 0.9× | 4,029 |
| TM | $614.2B | 60.0× | 24.8× | 2.6× | 3.8% | 18.4% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 1.7× | 665 |
| PDD | $442.6B | 32.9× | 31.9× | 7.2× | 14.5% | 56.3% | 22.7% | 23.7% | 23.7% | — | 548 |
| HD | $301.3B | 21.3× | 14.3× | 1.8× | 3.2% | 33.3% | 8.6% | 110% | 22.8% | 2.0× | 3,970 |
| BABA | $201.7B | 135.7× | — | 1.4× | 8.1% | 39.8% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.8% | — | 1,298 |
| TJX | $140.1B | 26.0× | — | 2.3× | 7.1% | 31.0% | 9.1% | 53.9% | 42.1% | — | 2,608 |
| HTHT | $132.7B | 187.9× | 114.3× | — | — | — | — | 39.7% | 27.3% | 0.7× | 258 |
| SBUX | $109.9B | 59.3× | 26.8× | 3.0× | 2.8% | — | 5.0% | -22.9% | 23.3% | 3.4× | 2,252 |
| LOW | $108.9B | 16.4× | 12.0× | 1.3× | 3.1% | 33.5% | 7.7% | -67.1% | 22.3% | 3.2× | 2,591 |
| ABNB | $101.7B | — | 37.9× | 8.3× | 10.3% | 83.0% | 20.5% | 30.6% | 24.6% | 0.8× | 1,246 |
| MELI | $92.5B | 46.3× | — | 3.2× | 39.1% | 44.5% | 6.9% | 29.6% | 12.5% | — | 1,380 |
| MAR | $88.8B | 35.1× | 20.6× | 3.4× | 4.3% | — | 9.9% | -69.0% | -69.4% | 0.0× | 1,559 |
| LKNCY | $86.3B | 168.2× | 90.8× | 12.3× | 48.9% | — | 7.3% | 23.0% | 23.0% | — | 9 |
| GM | $78.3B | 26.5× | 3.9× | 0.4× | -1.3% | — | 1.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | — | 1,447 |
| ROST | $74.0B | 34.7× | 22.0× | 3.3× | 7.7% | 27.7% | 9.4% | 34.7% | 27.8% | 0.5× | 1,276 |
| ORLY | $71.5B | 28.6× | 19.5× | 4.0× | 6.4% | 51.6% | 14.3% | -333% | 48.3% | 1.5× | 1,569 |
| HLT | $69.7B | 49.4× | 24.0× | 5.8× | 7.7% | — | 12.1% | -27.0% | -27.0% | — | 1,126 |
| RCL | $67.7B | 16.0× | — | 3.8× | 8.8% | 49.4% | 23.8% | 42.5% | 32.3% | — | 1,114 |
| SE | $62.0B | 40.2× | 24.6× | 2.7× | 36.4% | 44.7% | 6.9% | 12.6% | 12.6% | — | 718 |
| F | $54.2B | — | 4.5× | 0.3× | 1.2% | 6.8% | -4.4% | -22.7% | -22.7% | — | — |
| NKE | $53.9B | 17.3× | — | 1.2× | 0.2% | 42.9% | 6.7% | 20.9% | 13.6% | — | 1,848 |
| EBAY | $50.7B | 26.0× | 18.4× | 4.6× | 7.9% | 71.5% | 18.3% | 45.3% | 38.8% | 0.3× | 1,182 |
| AZO | $47.8B | 19.6× | 13.3× | 2.5× | 2.4% | 52.6% | 13.2% | -73.2% | 46.4% | 2.1× | 1,245 |
| CMG | $44.8B | 29.4× | 19.4× | 3.8× | 5.4% | — | 12.9% | 54.3% | 54.3% | 0.0× | 1,203 |
| CAKE | $4.8B | 31.3× | 17.5× | 1.3× | 4.7% | — | 4.0% | 34.0% | 13.9% | 2.1× | 321 |
Peers = companies sharing CAKE's sector (Consumer Cyclical) with collected SEC financials. Multiples use the most recent end-of-day close and latest fiscal-year fundamentals (trailing, not forward). Missing cells mean the peer never reported that line item, has no collected price, or has a non-positive denominator. Not investment advice.