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Held by 241 of 5,944 reporting institutions (93th percentile) — extremely crowded.
Data as of Q1 2026
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Solve the discounted cash flow backwards, then stress-test the assumptions.
To be worth $43.76 today, the market must believe free cash flow compounds 7.0%/yr for a decade (off $75M normalized FCF).
The market's 7.0% is more optimistic than its 9-yr track record.
2-stage DCF · 0.02B shares · net debt $445M
mean -21.8% · volatility σ 70% · implied rate exceeded in 4/8 yrs
Central path = implied 7.0%/yr growth; shaded band = ±1σ (70%) of this company's historical FCF volatility, widening with time. The wider the band, the less certain the growth.
Reverse DCF: rather than guessing a fair value, we solve for the growth the current price implies, then you stress-test the assumptions. Enterprise value of the FCF stream, less net debt, ÷ shares. Educational — not a recommendation.
EOD close · as of 2026-09-17
How a revenue dollar becomes profit — FY2026
Each value shows its share of revenue below it (common-size).
| Line Item | FY2026 | FY2025 | FY2023 | FY2022 | FY2021 | FY2020 | FY2020 | FY2019 | FY2017 | FY2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $3.48B 100.0% | $3.47B 100.0% | $3.44B 100.0% | $3.27B 100.0% | $2.82B 100.0% | $2.52B 100.0% | $3.07B 100.0% | $3.03B 100.0% | $2.93B 100.0% | $2.91B 100.0% |
| Cost of Revenue | $1.08B 31.0% | $1.09B 31.3% | $1.13B 32.8% | $1.05B 32.1% | $865.3M 30.7% | $779.9M 30.9% | $931.1M 30.3% | $935.4M 30.9% | $891.3M 30.5% | $928.2M 31.9% |
| Selling, General & Admin | $217.5M 6.2% | $207.1M 6.0% | $174.1M 5.1% | $157.4M 4.8% | $147.8M 5.2% | $147.0M 5.8% | $152.8M 5.0% | $143.8M 4.7% | $141.4M 4.8% | $143.0M 4.9% |
| Operating Income | $55.0M 1.6% | $45.1M 1.3% | $120.6M 3.5% | $153.0M 4.7% | $366.7M 13.0% | $103.6M 4.1% | $282.8M 9.2% | $293.6M 9.7% | $313.2M 10.7% | $280.5M 9.6% |
| Interest Expense | — | — | — | — | — | — | $16.5M 0.5% | $15.2M 0.5% | $14.3M 0.5% | $14.1M 0.5% |
| Pretax Income | $37.7M 1.1% | $24.2M 0.7% | $103.6M 3.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Income Tax Expense | -$8.7M -0.2% | -$16.7M -0.5% | $4.6M 0.1% | $11.5M 0.4% | $56.0M 2.0% | -$28.7M -1.1% | $43.0M 1.4% | $30.8M 1.0% | $97.0M 3.3% | $77.1M 2.6% |
| Net Income | $46.4M 1.3% | $40.9M 1.2% | $99.0M 2.9% | $131.9M 4.0% | $254.5M 9.0% | -$32.5M -1.3% | $223.4M 7.3% | $247.6M 8.2% | $201.9M 6.9% | $189.3M 6.5% |
| Per Share | ||||||||||
| EPS (Basic) | $2.08 | $1.84 | $4.47 | $5.69 | $10.74 | $-1.36 | $9.29 | $10.31 | $8.40 | $7.91 |
| EPS (Diluted) | $2.06 | $1.83 | $4.45 | $5.67 | $10.71 | $-1.36 | $9.27 | $10.29 | $8.37 | $7.86 |
| Weighted Avg Shares (Basic) | 22.3M | 22.2M | 22.2M | 23.2M | 23.7M | 23.9M | 24.0M | 24.0M | 24.0M | 23.9M |
| Weighted Avg Shares (Diluted) | 22.5M | 22.3M | 22.3M | 23.2M | 23.8M | 23.9M | 24.1M | 24.1M | 24.1M | 24.1M |
Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL filings (annual, fiscal year). Quarterly flow items are derived from cumulative filings; balance-sheet figures are as-of each period end. Ratios and margins are computed, not reported.
Is the value real, and is the business safe? Academic scores + earnings quality + solvency, from SEC filings.
Insufficient balance-sheet detail (needs retained earnings, working capital, equity).
Eight indices comparing this year to last (receivables, margins, asset quality, growth, accruals, leverage). Above −1.78 suggests possible manipulation; below −2.22 is clean.
A screen, not proof — high growth alone can raise it.
Earnings are backed by cash (FCF ≥ net income) — high quality. Lower/negative accruals = higher quality (Sloan).
Coverage data unavailable; leverage falling year-over-year.
F-Score (0–9 fundamental momentum), Altman Z (distress risk), and Beneish M (earnings-manipulation screen) are academic models computed from the SEC filings. Screens and context — educational, not recommendations.
What the company returns to shareholders — and whether it's covered by cash.
The dividend is comfortably covered — only 39% of free cash flow, leaving room to grow it and fund buybacks. Last year: $23M dividends + $0 buybacks = $23M returned on $60M FCF.
Yields use the latest fiscal-year dividends/buybacks over current market cap. Dividends and buybacks from the SEC cash-flow statement; payout coverage vs net income and free cash flow. Educational — not a recommendation.
How management deployed cash over 10 years — and what it earned on reinvestment.
A balanced mix of reinvestment and shareholder returns.
Operating income fell despite reinvestment — a warning on capital productivity. Current ROIC on all capital: 5%. Rough measure (includes maintenance capex).
Cash uses aggregated from the SEC cash-flow statement over 10 fiscal years. "Return on reinvestment" is a rough proxy — operating-income change ÷ cumulative CapEx + M&A — and includes maintenance capex. Educational — not a recommendation.
How much the company owes, how it's trended, and how comfortably it's serviced.
Cash of $40M covers the $103000 due within a year 384.9× over. Scheduled principal only (excludes interest & revolver draws). As of 2011-07-29 (10-K).
Green ≤ 1.5× · amber ≤ 3× · red > 3× (leverage relative to cash earnings).
Interest is easily covered by operating profit. Effective rate ~4.1% on $400M of debt. Interest last disclosed in FY2020 (no longer broken out).
Cash of $40M is below short-term debt of $149M — relies on refinancing/operations.
Mostly long-term debt (balance-sheet current vs non-current split). See the maturity ladder above for the year-by-year repayment schedule.
Debt, cash, interest and equity from the SEC balance sheet & income statement. Effective rate = interest ÷ average debt. Maturity ladder from the SEC long-term-debt repayment schedule. Educational — not a recommendation.
EOD close · as of 2026-09-17
Is the profit real, and how strong is the balance sheet?
FY2026 · every deduction from revenue to net income
DuPont — the three levers
Watch the leverage lever — a chunk of ROE comes from the balance sheet.
What the company owes vs. what it holds
Year-by-year maturities aren't in SEC companyfacts (footnote-only), so this shows the debt/cash structure and net leverage instead.
Latest year: profit growth vs revenue growth
Operating leverage needs meaningful revenue change.
Each line as % of revenue — the trend in color
| % of revenue | FY2019 | FY2020 | FY2020 | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2025 | FY2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cost of Revenue | 30.9 | 30.3 | 30.9 | 30.7 | 32.1 | 32.8 | 31.3 | 31.0 |
| SG&A | 4.7 | 5.0 | 5.8 | 5.2 | 4.8 | 5.1 | 6.0 | 6.2 |
| Operating Income | 9.7 | 9.2 | 4.1 | 13.0 | 4.7 | 3.5 | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| Income Tax | 1.0 | 1.4 | -1.1 | 2.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | -0.5 | -0.2 |
| Net Income | 8.2 | 7.3 | -1.3 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
Green = margin-favorable vs the row's own range · red = unfavorable.
The metrics that matter, over time
A 30-second read on CBRL: price, valuation, headline fundamentals, and an auto-generated scorecard from SEC filings. Flags are rule-based signals, not recommendations.
Total shares institutions bought (green) vs sold (red) each quarter across all holders.
Inferred from quarter-over-quarter change in each fund's 13F position (new stakes count as buys, exits as sells). Not tick-level trades.
Top 40 institutional holders — bubble size is position value, color is the move since last quarter. Hover any holder for detail.
Drag any bubble to rearrange · size = dollar value of the position
Total return (dividends reinvested) vs the market, from quarter-end prices.
Above 0 = ahead of the S&P 500 since the window start; below 0 = behind. Rising means it's pulling ahead.
How far the stock fell below its prior peak. Deeper, longer drawdowns = a rougher ride to the same return.
Quarter-end, dividend-adjusted (total return). Beta & volatility from quarterly returns (annualized). Benchmark is the S&P 500 (SPY total return). Annual returns compound the quarters ending in each calendar year; the first and last years in a window may be partial. Past performance doesn't predict future results.
Ranked against 490 sector peers with collected financials. Valuation from latest close × latest fiscal-year fundamentals; 13F conviction as of 2026-03-31.
Percentile is “goodness” within the peer set (100 = best). For valuation and leverage that means cheaper / less-levered ranks higher.
| Company | Mkt cap ▼ | P/E | EV/EBITDA | P/S | Rev gr | Gross | Net | ROE | ROIC | Net D/EBITDA | 13F |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMZN | $2.70T | — | — | — | — | — | — | 20.5% | 16.2% | — | 5,764 |
| TSLA | $1.34T | 331.6× | 142.2× | 14.2× | -2.9% | 18.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 0.9× | 4,029 |
| TM | $608.8B | 59.5× | 24.6× | 2.6× | 3.8% | 18.4% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 1.7× | 665 |
| PDD | $448.4B | 33.4× | 32.3× | 7.3× | 14.5% | 56.3% | 22.7% | 23.7% | 23.7% | — | 548 |
| HD | $301.3B | 21.3× | 14.3× | 1.8× | 3.2% | 33.3% | 8.6% | 110% | 22.8% | 2.0× | 3,970 |
| BABA | $201.7B | 135.7× | — | 1.4× | 8.1% | 39.8% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.8% | — | 1,298 |
| TJX | $136.0B | 25.2× | — | 2.3× | 7.1% | 31.0% | 9.1% | 53.9% | 42.1% | — | 2,608 |
| HTHT | $132.7B | 187.9× | 114.3× | — | — | — | — | 39.7% | 27.3% | 0.7× | 258 |
| SBUX | $110.7B | 59.7× | 26.9× | 3.0× | 2.8% | — | 5.0% | -22.9% | 23.3% | 3.4× | 2,252 |
| LOW | $108.9B | 16.4× | 12.0× | 1.3× | 3.1% | 33.5% | 7.7% | -67.1% | 22.3% | 3.2× | 2,591 |
| ABNB | $101.7B | — | 37.9× | 8.3× | 10.3% | 83.0% | 20.5% | 30.6% | 24.6% | 0.8× | 1,246 |
| MELI | $93.3B | 46.7× | — | 3.2× | 39.1% | 44.5% | 6.9% | 29.6% | 12.5% | — | 1,380 |
| MAR | $88.8B | 35.1× | 20.6× | 3.4× | 4.3% | — | 9.9% | -69.0% | -69.4% | 0.0× | 1,559 |
| LKNCY | $86.3B | 168.2× | 90.8× | 12.3× | 48.9% | — | 7.3% | 23.0% | 23.0% | — | 9 |
| GM | $78.3B | 26.5× | 3.9× | 0.4× | -1.3% | — | 1.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | — | 1,447 |
| ROST | $72.5B | 34.0× | 21.6× | 3.2× | 7.7% | 27.7% | 9.4% | 34.7% | 27.8% | 0.5× | 1,276 |
| ORLY | $70.5B | 28.2× | 19.2× | 4.0× | 6.4% | 51.6% | 14.3% | -333% | 48.3% | 1.5× | 1,569 |
| HLT | $69.7B | 49.4× | 24.0× | 5.8× | 7.7% | — | 12.1% | -27.0% | -27.0% | — | 1,126 |
| RCL | $68.8B | 16.3× | — | 3.8× | 8.8% | 49.4% | 23.8% | 42.5% | 32.3% | — | 1,114 |
| SE | $63.4B | 41.1× | 25.1× | 2.8× | 36.4% | 44.7% | 6.9% | 12.6% | 12.6% | — | 718 |
| F | $54.2B | — | 4.5× | 0.3× | 1.2% | 6.8% | -4.4% | -22.7% | -22.7% | — | — |
| NKE | $53.1B | 17.0× | — | 1.1× | 0.2% | 42.9% | 6.7% | 20.9% | 13.6% | — | 1,848 |
| EBAY | $50.7B | 26.0× | 18.4× | 4.6× | 7.9% | 71.5% | 18.3% | 45.3% | 38.8% | 0.3× | 1,182 |
| AZO | $47.8B | 19.6× | 13.3× | 2.5× | 2.4% | 52.6% | 13.2% | -73.2% | 46.4% | 2.1× | 1,245 |
| CMG | $44.8B | 29.4× | 19.4× | 3.8× | 5.4% | — | 12.9% | 54.3% | 54.3% | 0.0× | 1,203 |
| CBRL | $974M | 21.2× | 8.0× | 0.3× | 0.4% | 69.0% | 1.3% | 10.0% | 4.9% | 2.7× | 241 |
Peers = companies sharing CBRL's sector (Consumer Cyclical) with collected SEC financials. Multiples use the most recent end-of-day close and latest fiscal-year fundamentals (trailing, not forward). Missing cells mean the peer never reported that line item, has no collected price, or has a non-positive denominator. Not investment advice.