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Data as of Q1 2026
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Solve the discounted cash flow backwards, then stress-test the assumptions.
To be worth $64.67 today, the market must believe free cash flow compounds 2.0%/yr for a decade (off $17.9B normalized FCF).
The market's 2.0% is more conservative than its 9-yr track record.
2-stage DCF · 3.70B shares · net debt -$3.5B
mean 9.9% · volatility σ 19% · implied rate exceeded in 6/9 yrs
Central path = implied 2.0%/yr growth; shaded band = ±1σ (19%) of this company's historical FCF volatility, widening with time. The wider the band, the less certain the growth.
Reverse DCF: rather than guessing a fair value, we solve for the growth the current price implies, then you stress-test the assumptions. Enterprise value of the FCF stream, less net debt, ÷ shares. Educational — not a recommendation.
Is the value real, and is the business safe? Academic scores + earnings quality + solvency, from SEC filings.
6/8 of the 9 checks — 1 couldn't be scored (see above), so the score is out of the 8 with data.
Insufficient balance-sheet detail (needs retained earnings, working capital, equity).
Needs granular two-year detail (receivables, PP&E, D&A, SG&A) — not fully reported.
Earnings are backed by cash (FCF ≥ net income) — high quality. Lower/negative accruals = higher quality (Sloan).
Interest coverage is thin — monitor; leverage rising year-over-year.
F-Score (0–9 fundamental momentum), Altman Z (distress risk), and Beneish M (earnings-manipulation screen) are academic models computed from the SEC filings. Screens and context — educational, not recommendations.
What the company returns to shareholders — and whether it's covered by cash.
The dividend is comfortably covered — only 22% of free cash flow, leaving room to grow it and fund buybacks. Last year: $4.9B dividends + $7.2B buybacks = $12.0B returned on $21.9B FCF.
9 consecutive years of dividend increases · 10%/yr.
Yields use the latest fiscal-year dividends/buybacks over current market cap. Dividends and buybacks from the SEC cash-flow statement; payout coverage vs net income and free cash flow. Educational — not a recommendation.
How management deployed cash over 10 years — and what it earned on reinvestment.
A balanced mix of reinvestment and shareholder returns.
Modest payoff on reinvested capital. Current ROIC on all capital: 19%. Rough measure (includes maintenance capex).
Cash uses aggregated from the SEC cash-flow statement over 10 fiscal years. "Return on reinvestment" is a rough proxy — operating-income change ÷ cumulative CapEx + M&A — and includes maintenance capex. Educational — not a recommendation.
EOD close · as of 2026-09-17
How a revenue dollar becomes profit — FY2025
Each value shows its share of revenue below it (common-size).
| Line Item | FY2025 | FY2024 | FY2023 | FY2022 | FY2021 | FY2020 | FY2019 | FY2018 | FY2017 | FY2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $123.71B 100.0% | $123.73B 100.0% | $121.57B 100.0% | $121.43B 100.0% | $116.39B 100.0% | $103.56B 100.0% | $108.94B 100.0% | $94.51B 100.0% | $85.03B 100.0% | $80.74B 100.0% |
| Total Operating Expenses | $103.03B 83.3% | $100.43B 81.2% | $98.26B 80.8% | $107.39B 88.4% | $95.57B 82.1% | $86.07B 83.1% | $87.82B 80.6% | $75.50B 79.9% | $67.01B 78.8% | $63.91B 79.2% |
| Operating Income | $20.67B 16.7% | $23.30B 18.8% | $23.31B 19.2% | $14.04B 11.6% | $20.82B 17.9% | $17.49B 16.9% | $21.13B 19.4% | $19.01B 20.1% | $18.02B 21.2% | $16.83B 20.8% |
| Interest Expense | $4.41B 3.6% | $4.13B 3.3% | $4.09B 3.4% | $3.90B 3.2% | $4.28B 3.7% | $4.59B 4.4% | $4.57B 4.2% | $3.54B 3.7% | $3.09B 3.6% | $2.94B 3.6% |
| Other Income (Expense), net | $9.50B 7.7% | -$490.0M -0.4% | $1.25B 1.0% | -$861.0M -0.7% | $2.56B 2.2% | $1.16B 1.1% | $438.0M 0.4% | -$225.0M -0.2% | $421.0M 0.5% | $437.0M 0.5% |
| Pretax Income | $25.77B 20.8% | $18.67B 15.1% | $20.48B 16.8% | $9.28B 7.6% | $19.09B 16.4% | $14.06B 13.6% | $17.00B 15.6% | $15.24B 16.1% | $15.35B 18.1% | $14.33B 17.7% |
| Income Tax Expense | $6.11B 4.9% | $2.80B 2.3% | $5.37B 4.4% | $4.36B 3.6% | $5.26B 4.5% | $3.36B 3.2% | $3.67B 3.4% | $3.38B 3.6% | -$7.57B -8.9% | $5.30B 6.6% |
| Net Income | $20.00B 16.2% | $16.19B 13.1% | $15.39B 12.7% | $5.37B 4.4% | $14.16B 12.2% | $10.53B 10.2% | $13.06B 12.0% | $11.73B 12.4% | $22.73B 26.7% | $8.68B 10.7% |
| Per Share | ||||||||||
| EPS (Basic) | $5.41 | $4.17 | $3.73 | $1.22 | $3.09 | $2.30 | $2.87 | $2.56 | $4.83 | $1.80 |
| EPS (Diluted) | $5.39 | $4.14 | $3.71 | $1.21 | $3.04 | $2.28 | $2.83 | $2.53 | $4.75 | $1.78 |
| Weighted Avg Shares (Basic) | 3.70B | 3.88B | 4.12B | 4.41B | 4.58B | 4.57B | 4.55B | 4.58B | 4.71B | 4.82B |
| Weighted Avg Shares (Diluted) | 3.71B | 3.91B | 4.15B | 4.43B | 4.65B | 4.62B | 4.61B | 4.64B | 4.79B | 4.88B |
Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL filings (annual, fiscal year). Quarterly flow items are derived from cumulative filings; balance-sheet figures are as-of each period end. Ratios and margins are computed, not reported.
Total return (dividends reinvested) vs the market, from quarter-end prices.
Above 0 = ahead of the S&P 500 since the window start; below 0 = behind. Rising means it's pulling ahead.
How far the stock fell below its prior peak. Deeper, longer drawdowns = a rougher ride to the same return.
Quarter-end, dividend-adjusted (total return). Beta & volatility from quarterly returns (annualized). Benchmark is the S&P 500 (SPY total return). Annual returns compound the quarters ending in each calendar year; the first and last years in a window may be partial. Past performance doesn't predict future results.
EOD close · as of 2026-09-17
Nothing notable to watch.
Where each multiple sits in its own 13-yr range · 33th pct blended
Dot = today · shaded = middle 50% · line = median. Lower percentile = cheaper vs its own 13-yr history.
Is the profit real, and how strong is the balance sheet?
FY2025 · every deduction from revenue to net income
DuPont — the three levers
Watch the leverage lever — a chunk of ROE comes from the balance sheet.
What the company owes vs. what it holds
Year-by-year maturities aren't in SEC companyfacts (footnote-only), so this shows the debt/cash structure and net leverage instead.
Latest year: profit growth vs revenue growth
Operating leverage needs meaningful revenue change.
Each line as % of revenue — the trend in color
| % of revenue | FY2018 | FY2019 | FY2020 | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Income | 20.1 | 19.4 | 16.9 | 17.9 | 11.6 | 19.2 | 18.8 | 16.7 |
| Income Tax | 3.6 | 3.4 | 3.2 | 4.5 | 3.6 | 4.4 | 2.3 | 4.9 |
| Net Income | 12.4 | 12.0 | 10.2 | 12.2 | 4.4 | 12.7 | 13.1 | 16.2 |
Green = margin-favorable vs the row's own range · red = unfavorable.
The metrics that matter, over time
A 30-second read on CCZ: price, valuation, headline fundamentals, and an auto-generated scorecard from SEC filings. Flags are rule-based signals, not recommendations.
How much the company owes, how it's trended, and how comfortably it's serviced.
Cash of $9.5B covers the $4.9B due within a year 1.9× over. Scheduled principal only (excludes interest & revolver draws). As of 2024-12-31 (10-K).
Green ≤ 1.5× · amber ≤ 3× · red > 3× (leverage relative to cash earnings).
Coverage is adequate but not comfortable. Effective rate ~74.0% on $6.0B of debt.
Cash of $9.5B fully covers short-term debt of $6.0B.
Mostly short-term debt (balance-sheet current vs non-current split). See the maturity ladder above for the year-by-year repayment schedule.
Debt, cash, interest and equity from the SEC balance sheet & income statement. Effective rate = interest ÷ average debt. Maturity ladder from the SEC long-term-debt repayment schedule. Educational — not a recommendation.
Ranked against 192 sector peers with collected financials. Valuation from latest close × latest fiscal-year fundamentals; 13F conviction as of 2026-03-31.
Percentile is “goodness” within the peer set (100 = best). For valuation and leverage that means cheaper / less-levered ranks higher.
| Company | Mkt cap ▼ | P/E | EV/EBITDA | P/S | Rev gr | Gross | Net | ROE | ROIC | Net D/EBITDA | 13F |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GOOG | $4.15T | 31.8× | 27.8× | 10.3× | 15.1% | 59.7% | 32.8% | 31.8% | 28.5% | 0.3× | 4,874 |
| META | $1.72T | 29.1× | 17.1× | 8.6× | 22.2% | 82.0% | 30.1% | 27.8% | 21.9% | 0.6× | 4,839 |
| AMX | $1.40T | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 318 |
| CHT | $354.7B | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 206 |
| NFLX | $318.0B | 29.8× | 23.7× | 7.0× | 15.9% | 48.5% | 24.3% | 41.3% | 26.7% | 1.1× | 3,458 |
| CCZ | $239.2B | 12.0× | 6.4× | 1.9× | -0.0% | — | 16.2% | 20.6% | 19.4% | 0.2× | 1 |
| VZ | $204.2B | 11.9× | 4.2× | 1.5× | 2.5% | — | 12.4% | 16.2% | 16.2% | 0.0× | 3,122 |
| DIS | $200.2B | 15.4× | 10.3× | 2.1× | 3.4% | — | 13.1% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 1.8× | 2,883 |
| TMUS | $184.2B | 17.1× | 8.3× | 2.1× | 8.5% | — | 12.4% | 18.6% | 7.6% | 2.7× | 1,648 |
| T | $182.0B | 8.3× | 6.8× | 1.4× | 2.7% | — | 17.5% | 17.4% | 8.1% | 3.2× | 2,848 |
| VEON | $127.2B | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 97 |
| DASH | $83.1B | 91.3× | 53.5× | 6.1× | 27.9% | — | 6.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | — | 973 |
| WBD | $70.0B | 97.4× | 15.3× | 1.9× | -5.1% | — | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 5.1× | 1,259 |
| EA | $52.6B | 59.7× | 36.1× | 7.0× | 0.9% | 79.0% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 13.1% | — | 998 |
| LYV | $39.6B | — | 25.1× | 1.6× | 8.8% | — | 2.0% | 183% | 5.9% | 5.0× | 779 |
| TTWO | $39.0B | — | 424.4× | 5.9× | 18.2% | 57.2% | -4.5% | -8.5% | -4.9% | 26.7× | 1,011 |
| TWLO | $37.5B | 1172.6× | 107.1× | 7.4× | 13.7% | 48.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 2.8× | 776 |
| RDDT | $28.5B | 58.3× | 60.1× | 12.9× | 69.4% | 91.2% | 24.1% | 18.1% | 18.1% | — | 765 |
| FOX | $26.9B | 11.9× | — | 1.6× | 16.6% | — | 14.1% | 19.2% | 12.4% | — | 505 |
| OMC | $24.6B | — | 57.5× | 1.4× | 10.1% | 8.5% | -0.3% | -0.5% | -0.3% | 15.8× | 1,083 |
| ROKU | $22.8B | 261.1× | 530.2× | 4.8× | 15.2% | 43.8% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | — | 665 |
| FWONA | $21.5B | — | 39.5× | 4.8× | 22.7% | — | 12.4% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 7.9× | 283 |
| NWS | $18.9B | 16.1× | — | 2.2× | 2.4% | — | 14.0% | 13.4% | 11.0% | — | 304 |
| CHTR | $18.0B | 3.7× | 5.3× | 0.3× | -0.6% | — | 9.1% | 31.1% | 4.5% | 4.5× | 760 |
| TKO | $15.3B | 83.8× | 13.8× | 3.2× | -3.1% | — | 4.1% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 2.9× | 616 |
Peers = companies sharing CCZ's sector (Communication Services) with collected SEC financials. Multiples use the most recent end-of-day close and latest fiscal-year fundamentals (trailing, not forward). Missing cells mean the peer never reported that line item, has no collected price, or has a non-positive denominator. Not investment advice.