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Held by 1,877 of 5,944 reporting institutions (100th percentile) — extremely crowded.
Data as of Q1 2026
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Total shares institutions bought (green) vs sold (red) each quarter across all holders.
Inferred from quarter-over-quarter change in each fund's 13F position (new stakes count as buys, exits as sells). Not tick-level trades.
Solve the discounted cash flow backwards, then stress-test the assumptions.
To be worth $523.88 today, the market must believe free cash flow compounds 16.6%/yr for a decade (off $1.8B normalized FCF).
The market's 16.6% is more optimistic than its 9-yr track record.
2-stage DCF · 0.14B shares · net debt -$2.8B
mean 91.5% · volatility σ 259% · implied rate exceeded in 4/9 yrs
Central path = implied 16.6%/yr growth; shaded band = ±1σ (259%) of this company's historical FCF volatility, widening with time. The wider the band, the less certain the growth.
Reverse DCF: rather than guessing a fair value, we solve for the growth the current price implies, then you stress-test the assumptions. Enterprise value of the FCF stream, less net debt, ÷ shares. Educational — not a recommendation.
Top 40 institutional holders — bubble size is position value, color is the move since last quarter. Hover any holder for detail.
Drag any bubble to rearrange · size = dollar value of the position
EOD close · as of 2026-09-17
How a revenue dollar becomes profit — FY2025
Each value shows its share of revenue below it (common-size).
| Line Item | FY2025 | FY2024 | FY2023 | FY2022 | FY2021 | FY2020 | FY2019 | FY2018 | FY2017 | FY2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $33.67B 100.0% | $34.10B 100.0% | $34.06B 100.0% | $28.07B 100.0% | $24.02B 100.0% | $19.81B 100.0% | $23.57B 100.0% | $23.77B 100.0% | $20.43B 100.0% | $17.51B 100.0% |
| Cost of Revenue | $25.15B 74.7% | $25.66B 75.3% | $25.82B 75.8% | $21.36B 76.1% | $18.33B 76.3% | $14.92B 75.3% | $17.59B 74.6% | $18.03B 75.9% | $15.33B 75.0% | $13.05B 74.5% |
| Gross Profit | $8.52B 25.3% | $8.44B 24.7% | $8.25B 24.2% | $6.72B 23.9% | $5.70B 23.7% | $4.89B 24.7% | $5.98B 25.4% | $5.74B 24.1% | $5.10B 25.0% | $4.46B 25.5% |
| Research & Development | $1.40B 4.1% | $1.46B 4.3% | $1.50B 4.4% | $1.28B 4.6% | $1.09B 4.5% | $906.0M 4.6% | $1.00B 4.2% | $902.0M 3.8% | $754.0M 3.7% | $637.0M 3.6% |
| Selling, General & Admin | $3.13B 9.3% | $3.27B 9.6% | $3.33B 9.8% | $2.69B 9.6% | $2.37B 9.9% | $2.13B 10.7% | $2.45B 10.4% | $2.44B 10.3% | $2.43B 11.9% | $2.10B 12.0% |
| Operating Income | $4.03B 12.0% | $3.75B 11.0% | $1.76B 5.2% | $2.93B 10.4% | $2.71B 11.3% | $2.27B 11.5% | $2.70B 11.5% | $2.79B 11.7% | $2.33B 11.4% | $1.88B 10.7% |
| Interest Expense | $329.0M 1.0% | $370.0M 1.1% | $375.0M 1.1% | $199.0M 0.7% | $111.0M 0.5% | $100.0M 0.5% | $109.0M 0.5% | $114.0M 0.5% | $81.0M 0.4% | $69.0M 0.4% |
| Interest & Investment Income | — | — | — | — | — | $21.0M 0.1% | $46.0M 0.2% | $35.0M 0.1% | $18.0M 0.1% | $23.0M 0.1% |
| Other Income (Expense), net | $267.0M 0.8% | $1.52B 4.5% | $240.0M 0.7% | $89.0M 0.3% | $156.0M 0.6% | $169.0M 0.9% | $243.0M 1.0% | $81.0M 0.3% | $94.0M 0.5% | $96.0M 0.5% |
| Pretax Income | $3.96B 11.8% | $4.90B 14.4% | $1.63B 4.8% | $2.82B 10.0% | $2.75B 11.5% | $2.34B 11.8% | $2.83B 12.0% | $2.75B 11.6% | $2.37B 11.6% | $1.93B 11.0% |
| Income Tax Expense | $1.01B 3.0% | $835.0M 2.4% | $786.0M 2.3% | $636.0M 2.3% | $587.0M 2.4% | $527.0M 2.7% | $566.0M 2.4% | $566.0M 2.4% | $1.37B 6.7% | $474.0M 2.7% |
| Net Income | $2.96B 8.8% | $4.07B 11.9% | $840.0M 2.5% | $2.18B 7.8% | $2.16B 9.0% | $1.81B 9.1% | $2.27B 9.6% | $2.19B 9.2% | $994.0M 4.9% | $1.46B 8.3% |
| Per Share | ||||||||||
| EPS (Basic) | $20.62 | $28.55 | $5.19 | $15.20 | $14.74 | $12.07 | $14.54 | $13.20 | $5.99 | $8.25 |
| EPS (Diluted) | $20.50 | $28.37 | $5.15 | $15.12 | $14.61 | $12.01 | $14.48 | $13.15 | $5.97 | $8.23 |
| Weighted Avg Shares (Basic) | 137.9M | 138.2M | 141.7M | 141.5M | 144.6M | 148.2M | 155.4M | 162.2M | 166.7M | 169.0M |
| Weighted Avg Shares (Diluted) | 138.7M | 139.1M | 142.7M | 142.3M | 145.9M | 149.0M | 156.1M | 162.8M | 167.3M | 169.3M |
Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL filings (annual, fiscal year). Quarterly flow items are derived from cumulative filings; balance-sheet figures are as-of each period end. Ratios and margins are computed, not reported.
Is the value real, and is the business safe? Academic scores + earnings quality + solvency, from SEC filings.
Safe > 2.99 · grey 1.81–2.99 · distress < 1.81
Eight indices comparing this year to last (receivables, margins, asset quality, growth, accruals, leverage). Above −1.78 suggests possible manipulation; below −2.22 is clean.
A screen, not proof — high growth alone can raise it.
Cash conversion lags reported earnings — watch accruals. Lower/negative accruals = higher quality (Sloan).
Comfortably covers interest; leverage falling year-over-year.
F-Score (0–9 fundamental momentum), Altman Z (distress risk), and Beneish M (earnings-manipulation screen) are academic models computed from the SEC filings. Screens and context — educational, not recommendations.
What the company returns to shareholders — and whether it's covered by cash.
The dividend is comfortably covered — only 44% of free cash flow, leaving room to grow it and fund buybacks. Last year: $1.1B dividends + $0 buybacks = $1.1B returned on $2.4B FCF.
9 consecutive years of dividend increases · 7%/yr.
Yields use the latest fiscal-year dividends/buybacks over current market cap. Dividends and buybacks from the SEC cash-flow statement; payout coverage vs net income and free cash flow. Educational — not a recommendation.
How management deployed cash over 10 years — and what it earned on reinvestment.
A balanced mix of reinvestment and shareholder returns.
Reinvestment has been productive — operating income grew well per dollar put in. Current ROIC on all capital: 24%. Rough measure (includes maintenance capex).
Cash uses aggregated from the SEC cash-flow statement over 10 fiscal years. "Return on reinvestment" is a rough proxy — operating-income change ÷ cumulative CapEx + M&A — and includes maintenance capex. Educational — not a recommendation.
How much the company owes, how it's trended, and how comfortably it's serviced.
Cash of $2.8B covers all $2.3B of scheduled principal — no refinancing pressure. Scheduled principal only (excludes interest & revolver draws). As of 2026-06-30 (10-Q).
Green ≤ 1.5× · amber ≤ 3× · red > 3× (leverage relative to cash earnings).
Interest is easily covered by operating profit. Effective rate ~350.0% on $94M of debt.
Cash of $2.8B fully covers short-term debt of $94M.
Mostly short-term debt (balance-sheet current vs non-current split). See the maturity ladder above for the year-by-year repayment schedule.
Debt, cash, interest and equity from the SEC balance sheet & income statement. Effective rate = interest ÷ average debt. Maturity ladder from the SEC long-term-debt repayment schedule. Educational — not a recommendation.
Ranked against 651 sector peers with collected financials. Valuation from latest close × latest fiscal-year fundamentals; 13F conviction as of 2026-03-31.
Percentile is “goodness” within the peer set (100 = best). For valuation and leverage that means cheaper / less-levered ranks higher.
| Company | Mkt cap ▼ | P/E | EV/EBITDA | P/S | Rev gr | Gross | Net | ROE | ROIC | Net D/EBITDA | 13F |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LTM | $29.49T | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 160 |
| CAT | $371.6B | 42.5× | 29.7× | 5.5× | 4.3% | 33.8% | 13.1% | 41.7% | 15.4% | 2.7× | 3,616 |
| GE | $328.8B | 38.5× | — | 7.2× | 18.5% | — | 19.0% | 46.6% | 22.2% | — | 3,077 |
| RTX | $259.8B | 39.0× | 18.5× | 2.9× | 9.7% | — | 7.6% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 0.0× | 3,277 |
| BA | $199.4B | 79.4× | 40.2× | 2.2× | 34.5% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 41.0% | 3.3% | 10.0× | 2,435 |
| DE | $185.4B | 37.1× | — | 4.1× | -11.7% | — | 11.0% | 19.4% | 12.6% | — | 2,491 |
| ABBNY | $177.4B | 47.9× | 31.6× | 5.5× | 9.5% | 34.8% | 11.9% | 28.5% | 20.4% | 0.9× | 48 |
| UNP | $167.6B | 23.6× | 16.1× | 6.8× | 1.1% | — | 29.1% | 38.7% | 14.2% | 2.6× | 2,648 |
| ETN | $158.8B | 39.2× | — | 5.8× | 10.3% | 37.6% | 14.9% | 21.0% | 13.9% | — | 2,398 |
| HON | $131.2B | 28.1× | 16.1× | 3.5× | 7.8% | 36.9% | 12.6% | 34.0% | 9.8% | 3.6× | 2,694 |
| LMT | $123.2B | 25.0× | 16.1× | 1.6× | 5.6% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 74.6% | 17.7% | 2.5× | 2,807 |
| PH | $118.7B | 34.1× | 26.8× | 6.0× | -0.4% | 36.9% | 17.8% | 25.8% | 16.7% | 1.6× | 1,845 |
| ADP | $108.3B | 24.9× | — | 4.9× | 6.7% | 46.4% | 20.1% | 73.2% | 40.1% | — | 2,179 |
| GD | $96.2B | 23.0× | 16.9× | 1.8× | 10.1% | — | 8.0% | 16.4% | 12.5% | 1.3× | 2,123 |
| TT | $94.4B | 32.6× | 23.3× | 4.4× | 7.5% | — | 13.7% | 34.0% | 22.1% | 1.1× | 1,658 |
| VRT | $92.4B | 70.8× | 43.8× | 9.0× | 27.7% | 36.3% | 13.0% | 33.8% | 19.4% | 1.4× | 1,748 |
| PWR | $92.2B | 90.7× | 45.8× | 3.2× | 20.3% | 15.0% | 3.6% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 0.4× | 1,659 |
| JCI | $91.9B | 28.0× | — | 3.9× | 2.8% | 36.4% | 13.9% | 25.5% | 14.4% | — | 1,487 |
| HWM | $90.7B | 60.9× | 39.9× | 11.0× | 11.1% | — | 18.3% | 28.2% | 17.9% | 1.3× | 1,399 |
| CSX | $89.1B | 31.1× | 14.4× | 6.3× | -3.1% | — | 20.5% | 22.0% | 22.0% | — | 1,791 |
| MMM | $87.3B | 27.4× | 16.8× | 3.5× | 1.5% | 39.9% | 13.0% | 69.1% | 18.8% | 2.1× | 2,051 |
| WM | $86.0B | 31.8× | 12.1× | 3.4× | 14.2% | 40.4% | 10.7% | 27.1% | 25.3% | 0.1× | 2,262 |
| UPS | $85.0B | 15.3× | 9.5× | 1.0× | -2.6% | — | 6.3% | 34.3% | 13.8% | 2.2× | 2,025 |
| EMR | $83.0B | 36.5× | — | 4.6× | 3.0% | 52.8% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 6.9% | — | 2,112 |
| CTAS | $79.8B | 45.0× | 28.7× | 7.7× | 7.7% | 50.0% | 17.5% | 38.7% | 25.5% | 0.8× | 1,366 |
| CMI | $72.2B | 25.6× | 13.6× | 2.1× | -1.3% | 25.3% | 8.8% | 23.9% | 23.8% | 0.0× | 1,877 |
Peers = companies sharing CMI's sector (Industrials) with collected SEC financials. Multiples use the most recent end-of-day close and latest fiscal-year fundamentals (trailing, not forward). Missing cells mean the peer never reported that line item, has no collected price, or has a non-positive denominator. Not investment advice.
Total return (dividends reinvested) vs the market, from quarter-end prices.
Above 0 = ahead of the S&P 500 since the window start; below 0 = behind. Rising means it's pulling ahead.
How far the stock fell below its prior peak. Deeper, longer drawdowns = a rougher ride to the same return.
Quarter-end, dividend-adjusted (total return). Beta & volatility from quarterly returns (annualized). Benchmark is the S&P 500 (SPY total return). Annual returns compound the quarters ending in each calendar year; the first and last years in a window may be partial. Past performance doesn't predict future results.
EOD close · as of 2026-09-17
Nothing notable to watch.
No material risks flagged.
Where each multiple sits in its own 14-yr range · 98th pct blended
Dot = today · shaded = middle 50% · line = median. Lower percentile = cheaper vs its own 14-yr history.
Is the profit real, and how strong is the balance sheet?
FY2025 · every deduction from revenue to net income
DuPont — the three levers
Watch the leverage lever — a chunk of ROE comes from the balance sheet.
What the company owes vs. what it holds
Year-by-year maturities aren't in SEC companyfacts (footnote-only), so this shows the debt/cash structure and net leverage instead.
Latest year: profit growth vs revenue growth
Profit and sales moved in opposite directions this year.
Each line as % of revenue — the trend in color
| % of revenue | FY2018 | FY2019 | FY2020 | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cost of Revenue | 75.9 | 74.6 | 75.3 | 76.3 | 76.1 | 75.8 | 75.3 | 74.7 |
| Gross Profit | 24.1 | 25.4 | 24.7 | 23.7 | 23.9 | 24.2 | 24.7 | 25.3 |
| R&D | 3.8 | 4.2 | 4.6 | 4.5 | 4.6 | 4.4 | 4.3 | 4.1 |
| SG&A | 10.3 | 10.4 | 10.7 | 9.9 | 9.6 | 9.8 | 9.6 | 9.3 |
| Operating Income | 11.7 | 11.5 | 11.5 | 11.3 | 10.4 | 5.2 | 11.0 | 12.0 |
| Income Tax | 2.4 | 2.4 | 2.7 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 3.0 |
| Net Income | 9.2 | 9.6 | 9.1 | 9.0 | 7.8 | 2.5 | 11.9 | 8.8 |
Green = margin-favorable vs the row's own range · red = unfavorable.
The metrics that matter, over time
A 30-second read on CMI: price, valuation, headline fundamentals, and an auto-generated scorecard from SEC filings. Flags are rule-based signals, not recommendations.