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Held by 4,050 of 5,944 reporting institutions (100th percentile) — extremely crowded.
Data as of Q1 2026
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Solve the discounted cash flow backwards, then stress-test the assumptions.
To be worth $893.93 today, the market must believe free cash flow compounds 21.5%/yr for a decade (off $7.1B normalized FCF).
The market's 21.5% is more optimistic than its 8-yr track record.
2-stage DCF · 0.44B shares · net debt -$8.4B
mean 16.2% · volatility σ 48% · implied rate exceeded in 2/8 yrs
Central path = implied 21.5%/yr growth; shaded band = ±1σ (48%) of this company's historical FCF volatility, widening with time. The wider the band, the less certain the growth.
Reverse DCF: rather than guessing a fair value, we solve for the growth the current price implies, then you stress-test the assumptions. Enterprise value of the FCF stream, less net debt, ÷ shares. Educational — not a recommendation.
Total shares institutions bought (green) vs sold (red) each quarter across all holders.
Inferred from quarter-over-quarter change in each fund's 13F position (new stakes count as buys, exits as sells). Not tick-level trades.
EOD close · as of 2026-09-17
How a revenue dollar becomes profit — FY2025
Each value shows its share of revenue below it (common-size).
| Line Item | FY2025 | FY2025 | FY2024 | FY2022 | FY2021 | FY2020 | FY2020 | FY2019 | FY2018 | FY2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $275.24B 100.0% | $254.45B 100.0% | $242.29B 100.0% | $226.95B 100.0% | $195.93B 100.0% | $166.76B 100.0% | $152.70B 100.0% | $141.58B 100.0% | $129.03B 100.0% | $118.72B 100.0% |
| Cost of Revenue | $239.89B 87.2% | $222.36B 87.4% | $212.59B 87.7% | $199.38B 87.9% | $170.68B 87.1% | $144.94B 86.9% | $132.89B 87.0% | $123.15B 87.0% | $111.88B 86.7% | $102.90B 86.7% |
| Cost of Products | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | $111.88B 86.7% | $102.90B 86.7% |
| Gross Profit | — | — | — | — | — | — | $16.46B 10.8% | — | — | — |
| Selling, General & Admin | $24.97B 9.1% | $22.81B 9.0% | $21.59B 8.9% | $19.78B 8.7% | $18.54B 9.5% | $16.39B 9.8% | $14.99B 9.8% | $13.88B 9.8% | $12.95B 10.0% | $12.07B 10.2% |
| Operating Income | $10.38B 3.8% | $9.29B 3.6% | $8.11B 3.3% | $7.79B 3.4% | $6.71B 3.4% | $5.43B 3.3% | $4.74B 3.1% | $4.48B 3.2% | $4.11B 3.2% | $3.67B 3.1% |
| Interest Expense | $154.0M 0.1% | $169.0M 0.1% | $160.0M 0.1% | $158.0M 0.1% | $171.0M 0.1% | $160.0M 0.1% | $150.0M 0.1% | $159.0M 0.1% | $134.0M 0.1% | $133.0M 0.1% |
| Pretax Income | $10.82B 3.9% | $9.74B 3.8% | $8.49B 3.5% | $7.84B 3.5% | $6.68B 3.4% | $5.37B 3.2% | $4.76B 3.1% | $4.44B 3.1% | $4.04B 3.1% | $3.62B 3.0% |
| Income Tax Expense | $2.72B 1.0% | $2.37B 0.9% | $2.19B 0.9% | $1.93B 0.8% | $1.60B 0.8% | $1.31B 0.8% | $1.06B 0.7% | $1.26B 0.9% | $1.32B 1.0% | $1.24B 1.0% |
| Net Income | $8.10B 2.9% | $7.37B 2.9% | $6.29B 2.6% | $5.84B 2.6% | $5.01B 2.6% | $4.00B 2.4% | $3.66B 2.4% | $3.13B 2.2% | $2.68B 2.1% | $2.35B 2.0% |
| Per Share | ||||||||||
| EPS (Basic) | $18.24 | $16.59 | $14.18 | $13.17 | $11.30 | $9.05 | $8.32 | $7.15 | $6.11 | $5.36 |
| EPS (Diluted) | $18.21 | $16.56 | $14.16 | $13.14 | $11.27 | $9.02 | $8.26 | $7.09 | $6.08 | $5.33 |
| Weighted Avg Shares (Basic) | 444.0M | 443.9M | 443.9M | 443.7M | 443.1M | 442.3M | 439.8M | 438.5M | 438.4M | 438.6M |
| Weighted Avg Shares (Diluted) | 444.8M | 444.8M | 444.5M | 444.8M | 444.3M | 443.9M | 442.9M | 441.8M | 440.9M | 441.3M |
Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL filings (annual, fiscal year). Quarterly flow items are derived from cumulative filings; balance-sheet figures are as-of each period end. Ratios and margins are computed, not reported.
Is the value real, and is the business safe? Academic scores + earnings quality + solvency, from SEC filings.
Safe > 2.99 · grey 1.81–2.99 · distress < 1.81
Needs granular two-year detail (receivables, PP&E, D&A, SG&A) — not fully reported.
Cash conversion lags reported earnings — watch accruals. Lower/negative accruals = higher quality (Sloan).
Comfortably covers interest; leverage falling year-over-year.
F-Score (0–9 fundamental momentum), Altman Z (distress risk), and Beneish M (earnings-manipulation screen) are academic models computed from the SEC filings. Screens and context — educational, not recommendations.
What the company returns to shareholders — and whether it's covered by cash.
The dividend is comfortably covered — only 28% of free cash flow, leaving room to grow it and fund buybacks. Last year: $2.2B dividends + $903M buybacks = $3.1B returned on $7.8B FCF.
Yields use the latest fiscal-year dividends/buybacks over current market cap. Dividends and buybacks from the SEC cash-flow statement; payout coverage vs net income and free cash flow. Educational — not a recommendation.
How management deployed cash over 10 years — and what it earned on reinvestment.
A balanced mix of reinvestment and shareholder returns.
Reinvestment has been productive — operating income grew well per dollar put in. Current ROIC on all capital: 23%. Rough measure (includes maintenance capex).
Cash uses aggregated from the SEC cash-flow statement over 10 fiscal years. "Return on reinvestment" is a rough proxy — operating-income change ÷ cumulative CapEx + M&A — and includes maintenance capex. Educational — not a recommendation.
How much the company owes, how it's trended, and how comfortably it's serviced.
Cash of $14.2B covers all $5.8B of scheduled principal — no refinancing pressure. Scheduled principal only (excludes interest & revolver draws). As of 2025-08-31 (10-K).
Green ≤ 1.5× · amber ≤ 3× · red > 3× (leverage relative to cash earnings).
Interest is easily covered by operating profit. Effective rate ~2.7% on $5.8B of debt.
Cash of $14.2B fully covers short-term debt of $75M.
Mostly long-term debt (balance-sheet current vs non-current split). See the maturity ladder above for the year-by-year repayment schedule.
Debt, cash, interest and equity from the SEC balance sheet & income statement. Effective rate = interest ÷ average debt. Maturity ladder from the SEC long-term-debt repayment schedule. Educational — not a recommendation.
EOD close · as of 2026-09-17
No material risks flagged.
Is the profit real, and how strong is the balance sheet?
FY2025 · every deduction from revenue to net income
DuPont — the three levers
Watch the leverage lever — a chunk of ROE comes from the balance sheet.
What the company owes vs. what it holds
Year-by-year maturities aren't in SEC companyfacts (footnote-only), so this shows the debt/cash structure and net leverage instead.
Latest year: profit growth vs revenue growth
High operating leverage: profit moved 1.4× as fast as sales — great in an upturn, painful in a downturn.
Each line as % of revenue — the trend in color
| % of revenue | FY2019 | FY2020 | FY2020 | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2024 | FY2025 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cost of Revenue | 87.0 | 87.0 | 86.9 | 87.1 | 87.9 | 87.7 | 87.4 | 87.2 |
| Gross Profit | — | 10.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| SG&A | 9.8 | 9.8 | 9.8 | 9.5 | 8.7 | 8.9 | 9.0 | 9.1 |
| Operating Income | 3.2 | 3.1 | 3.3 | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.3 | 3.6 | 3.8 |
| Income Tax | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 1.0 |
| Net Income | 2.2 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 2.9 | 2.9 |
Green = margin-favorable vs the row's own range · red = unfavorable.
The metrics that matter, over time
A 30-second read on COST: price, valuation, headline fundamentals, and an auto-generated scorecard from SEC filings. Flags are rule-based signals, not recommendations.
Top 40 institutional holders — bubble size is position value, color is the move since last quarter. Hover any holder for detail.
Drag any bubble to rearrange · size = dollar value of the position
Total return (dividends reinvested) vs the market, from quarter-end prices.
Above 0 = ahead of the S&P 500 since the window start; below 0 = behind. Rising means it's pulling ahead.
How far the stock fell below its prior peak. Deeper, longer drawdowns = a rougher ride to the same return.
Quarter-end, dividend-adjusted (total return). Beta & volatility from quarterly returns (annualized). Benchmark is the S&P 500 (SPY total return). Annual returns compound the quarters ending in each calendar year; the first and last years in a window may be partial. Past performance doesn't predict future results.
Ranked against 229 sector peers with collected financials. Valuation from latest close × latest fiscal-year fundamentals; 13F conviction as of 2026-03-31.
Percentile is “goodness” within the peer set (100 = best). For valuation and leverage that means cheaper / less-levered ranks higher.
| Company | Mkt cap ▼ | P/E | EV/EBITDA | P/S | Rev gr | Gross | Net | ROE | ROIC | Net D/EBITDA | 13F |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WMT | $858.2B | 39.4× | — | 1.2× | 4.7% | 24.9% | 3.1% | 22.0% | 15.5% | — | 4,273 |
| COST | $396.2B | 49.1× | 30.3× | 1.4× | 8.2% | 12.8% | 2.9% | 27.8% | 23.2% | 0.5× | 4,050 |
| KO | $378.9B | 29.0× | 24.9× | 7.9× | 1.9% | 61.6% | 27.3% | 40.7% | 40.7% | — | 3,427 |
| PG | $345.5B | 22.6× | 16.3× | 4.1× | 0.3% | 51.2% | 19.0% | 30.6% | 18.4% | 1.5× | 3,849 |
| PM | $298.3B | 26.4× | 17.4× | 7.3× | 7.3% | 67.1% | 27.9% | -114% | -115% | 0.0× | 2,744 |
| PEP | $183.9B | 22.4× | 15.0× | 2.0× | 2.3% | 54.1% | 8.8% | 40.4% | 11.8% | 3.3× | 3,404 |
| MO | $117.4B | 17.0× | 13.6× | 5.0× | -3.1% | 62.5% | 29.8% | -198% | 31.3% | 2.5× | 2,375 |
| MDLZ | $80.7B | 33.0× | 18.9× | 2.1× | 5.8% | 28.4% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 0.6× | 1,821 |
| CL | $70.3B | 33.4× | 19.6× | 3.5× | 1.4% | 60.1% | 10.5% | 3948% | 26.5% | 2.0× | 1,873 |
| TGT | $70.0B | 19.0× | 10.2× | 0.7× | -1.7% | 27.9% | 3.5% | 22.9% | 12.1% | 1.7× | 1,771 |
| MNST | $43.6B | — | 16.4× | 5.3× | 10.7% | 55.8% | 23.0% | 23.1% | 23.1% | — | 1,169 |
| KDP | $42.7B | 20.5× | 14.3× | 2.6× | 8.2% | 54.2% | 12.5% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 4.0× | 784 |
| ADM | $42.6B | 39.5× | — | 0.5× | -6.2% | 6.3% | 1.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | — | 1,070 |
| FMX | $41.0B | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 290 |
| JBS | $39.7B | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 241 |
| KR | $39.6B | 39.5× | 10.0× | 0.3× | 0.4% | — | 0.7% | 17.1% | 4.7% | 3.0× | 1,327 |
| SYY | $38.4B | 21.1× | 9.6× | 0.5× | 3.2% | 18.4% | 2.2% | 99.9% | 99.9% | — | 1,489 |
| KVUE | $34.2B | 23.5× | 11.7× | 2.3× | -2.1% | 58.1% | 9.7% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 0.5× | 967 |
| HSY | $34.1B | — | 20.1× | 2.9× | 4.4% | 33.5% | 7.6% | 19.0% | 9.3% | 2.5× | 1,406 |
| EL | $33.8B | — | 768.2× | 2.4× | -8.2% | 74.0% | -7.9% | -29.3% | -29.3% | 0.1× | 800 |
| KMB | $32.6B | 16.2× | 10.3× | 2.0× | -2.1% | 36.0% | 12.3% | 135% | 92.0% | 0.2× | 1,585 |
| KHC | $29.3B | — | — | 1.2× | -3.5% | 33.3% | -23.4% | -14.0% | -14.0% | — | 1,059 |
| DG | $27.5B | 18.2× | 8.1× | 0.6× | 5.2% | 30.7% | 3.5% | 17.8% | 17.8% | — | 1,099 |
| KOF | $23.6B | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 249 |
| CHD | $23.1B | 31.5× | 18.8× | 3.7× | 1.6% | 44.7% | 11.9% | 18.4% | 11.9% | 1.7× | 1,004 |
Peers = companies sharing COST's sector (Consumer Defensive) with collected SEC financials. Multiples use the most recent end-of-day close and latest fiscal-year fundamentals (trailing, not forward). Missing cells mean the peer never reported that line item, has no collected price, or has a non-positive denominator. Not investment advice.