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Held by 1,047 of 5,944 reporting institutions (99th percentile) — extremely crowded.
Data as of Q1 2026
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Total shares institutions bought (green) vs sold (red) each quarter across all holders.
Inferred from quarter-over-quarter change in each fund's 13F position (new stakes count as buys, exits as sells). Not tick-level trades.
Ranked against 490 sector peers with collected financials. Valuation from latest close × latest fiscal-year fundamentals; 13F conviction as of 2026-03-31.
Percentile is “goodness” within the peer set (100 = best). For valuation and leverage that means cheaper / less-levered ranks higher.
| Company | Mkt cap ▼ | P/E | EV/EBITDA | P/S | Rev gr | Gross | Net | ROE | ROIC | Net D/EBITDA | 13F |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMZN | $2.70T | — | — | — | — | — | — | 20.5% | 16.2% | — | 5,764 |
| TSLA | $1.37T | 339.1× | 145.5× | 14.5× | -2.9% | 18.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 0.9× | 4,029 |
| TM | $614.2B | 60.0× | 24.8× | 2.6× | 3.8% | 18.4% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 1.7× | 665 |
| PDD | $442.6B | 32.9× | 31.9× | 7.2× | 14.5% | 56.3% | 22.7% | 23.7% | 23.7% | — | 548 |
| HD | $301.3B | 21.3× | 14.3× | 1.8× | 3.2% | 33.3% | 8.6% | 110% | 22.8% | 2.0× | 3,970 |
| BABA | $201.7B | 135.7× | — | 1.4× | 8.1% | 39.8% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.8% | — | 1,298 |
| TJX | $140.1B | 26.0× | — | 2.3× | 7.1% | 31.0% | 9.1% | 53.9% | 42.1% | — | 2,608 |
| HTHT | $132.7B | 187.9× | 114.3× | — | — | — | — | 39.7% | 27.3% | 0.7× | 258 |
| SBUX | $109.9B | 59.3× | 26.8× | 3.0× | 2.8% | — | 5.0% | -22.9% | 23.3% | 3.4× | 2,252 |
| LOW | $108.9B | 16.4× | 12.0× | 1.3× | 3.1% | 33.5% | 7.7% | -67.1% | 22.3% | 3.2× | 2,591 |
| ABNB | $101.7B | — | 37.9× | 8.3× | 10.3% | 83.0% | 20.5% | 30.6% | 24.6% | 0.8× | 1,246 |
| MELI | $92.5B | 46.3× | — | 3.2× | 39.1% | 44.5% | 6.9% | 29.6% | 12.5% | — | 1,380 |
| MAR | $88.8B | 35.1× | 20.6× | 3.4× | 4.3% | — | 9.9% | -69.0% | -69.4% | 0.0× | 1,559 |
| LKNCY | $86.3B | 168.2× | 90.8× | 12.3× | 48.9% | — | 7.3% | 23.0% | 23.0% | — | 9 |
| GM | $78.3B | 26.5× | 3.9× | 0.4× | -1.3% | — | 1.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | — | 1,447 |
| ROST | $74.0B | 34.7× | 22.0× | 3.3× | 7.7% | 27.7% | 9.4% | 34.7% | 27.8% | 0.5× | 1,276 |
| ORLY | $71.5B | 28.6× | 19.5× | 4.0× | 6.4% | 51.6% | 14.3% | -333% | 48.3% | 1.5× | 1,569 |
| HLT | $69.7B | 49.4× | 24.0× | 5.8× | 7.7% | — | 12.1% | -27.0% | -27.0% | — | 1,126 |
| RCL | $67.7B | 16.0× | — | 3.8× | 8.8% | 49.4% | 23.8% | 42.5% | 32.3% | — | 1,114 |
| SE | $62.0B | 40.2× | 24.6× | 2.7× | 36.4% | 44.7% | 6.9% | 12.6% | 12.6% | — | 718 |
| F | $54.2B | — | 4.5× | 0.3× | 1.2% | 6.8% | -4.4% | -22.7% | -22.7% | — | — |
| NKE | $53.9B | 17.3× | — | 1.2× | 0.2% | 42.9% | 6.7% | 20.9% | 13.6% | — | 1,848 |
| EBAY | $50.7B | 26.0× | 18.4× | 4.6× | 7.9% | 71.5% | 18.3% | 45.3% | 38.8% | 0.3× | 1,182 |
| AZO | $47.8B | 19.6× | 13.3× | 2.5× | 2.4% | 52.6% | 13.2% | -73.2% | 46.4% | 2.1× | 1,245 |
| CMG | $44.8B | 29.4× | 19.4× | 3.8× | 5.4% | — | 12.9% | 54.3% | 54.3% | 0.0× | 1,203 |
| EXPE | $33.3B | 29.0× | 12.3× | 2.3× | 7.6% | — | 8.8% | 101% | 17.4% | 2.2× | 1,047 |
Peers = companies sharing EXPE's sector (Consumer Cyclical) with collected SEC financials. Multiples use the most recent end-of-day close and latest fiscal-year fundamentals (trailing, not forward). Missing cells mean the peer never reported that line item, has no collected price, or has a non-positive denominator. Not investment advice.
Solve the discounted cash flow backwards, then stress-test the assumptions.
To be worth $284.55 today, the market must believe free cash flow compounds 2.9%/yr for a decade (off $2.4B normalized FCF).
The market's 2.9% is more conservative than its 9-yr track record.
2-stage DCF · 0.12B shares · net debt $748M
mean -35.8% · volatility σ 145% · implied rate exceeded in 4/8 yrs
Central path = implied 2.9%/yr growth; shaded band = ±1σ (145%) of this company's historical FCF volatility, widening with time. The wider the band, the less certain the growth.
Reverse DCF: rather than guessing a fair value, we solve for the growth the current price implies, then you stress-test the assumptions. Enterprise value of the FCF stream, less net debt, ÷ shares. Educational — not a recommendation.
EOD close · as of 2026-09-17
How a revenue dollar becomes profit — FY2025
Each value shows its share of revenue below it (common-size).
| Line Item | FY2025 | FY2024 | FY2023 | FY2022 | FY2021 | FY2020 | FY2019 | FY2018 | FY2017 | FY2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $14.73B 100.0% | $13.69B 100.0% | $12.84B 100.0% | $11.67B 100.0% | $8.60B 100.0% | $5.20B 100.0% | $12.07B 100.0% | $11.22B 100.0% | $10.06B 100.0% | $8.77B 100.0% |
| Cost of Revenue | — | — | — | — | — | — | $2.16B 17.9% | $1.97B 17.5% | $1.76B 17.5% | $1.60B 18.2% |
| Selling, General & Admin | $765.0M 5.2% | $805.0M 5.9% | $771.0M 6.0% | $748.0M 6.4% | $705.0M 8.2% | $589.0M 11.3% | $807.0M 6.7% | $774.0M 6.9% | $676.0M 6.7% | $678.0M 7.7% |
| Operating Income | $1.87B 12.7% | $1.32B 9.6% | $1.03B 8.0% | $1.08B 9.3% | $186.0M 2.2% | -$2.72B -52.3% | $903.0M 7.5% | $714.0M 6.4% | $625.0M 6.2% | $462.0M 5.3% |
| Interest Expense | $299.0M 2.0% | $246.0M 1.8% | $245.0M 1.9% | $277.0M 2.4% | $351.0M 4.1% | $360.0M 6.9% | $173.0M 1.4% | $190.0M 1.7% | $182.0M 1.8% | $173.0M 2.0% |
| Interest & Investment Income | $255.0M 1.7% | $235.0M 1.7% | $207.0M 1.6% | $60.0M 0.5% | $9.0M 0.1% | $18.0M 0.3% | $59.0M 0.5% | $71.0M 0.6% | $34.0M 0.3% | $20.0M 0.2% |
| Other Income (Expense), net | -$280.0M -1.9% | $223.0M 1.6% | -$15.0M -0.1% | -$547.0M -4.7% | -$224.0M -2.6% | -$432.0M -8.3% | -$128.0M -1.1% | -$229.0M -2.0% | -$208.0M -2.1% | -$185.0M -2.1% |
| Pretax Income | $1.59B 10.8% | $1.54B 11.3% | $1.02B 7.9% | $538.0M 4.6% | -$38.0M -0.4% | -$3.15B -60.6% | $775.0M 6.4% | $485.0M 4.3% | $417.0M 4.1% | $277.0M 3.2% |
| Income Tax Expense | $290.0M 2.0% | $318.0M 2.3% | $330.0M 2.6% | $195.0M 1.7% | -$53.0M -0.6% | -$423.0M -8.1% | $203.0M 1.7% | $87.0M 0.8% | $45.0M 0.4% | $16.0M 0.2% |
| Net Income | $1.30B 8.8% | $1.22B 8.9% | $688.0M 5.4% | $343.0M 2.9% | $15.0M 0.2% | -$2.61B -50.2% | $565.0M 4.7% | $406.0M 3.6% | $378.0M 3.8% | $282.0M 3.2% |
| Per Share | ||||||||||
| EPS (Basic) | $10.32 | $9.39 | $5.50 | $2.24 | $-1.80 | $-19.00 | $3.84 | $2.71 | $2.49 | $1.87 |
| EPS (Diluted) | $9.81 | $8.95 | $5.31 | $2.17 | $-1.80 | $-19.00 | $3.77 | $2.65 | $2.42 | $1.82 |
| Weighted Avg Shares (Basic) | 125.4M | 131.4M | 145.0M | 156.7M | 149.7M | 141.4M | 147.2M | 150.0M | 151.6M | 150.4M |
| Weighted Avg Shares (Diluted) | 131.9M | 137.9M | 150.2M | 161.8M | 149.7M | 141.4M | 149.9M | 152.9M | 156.4M | 154.5M |
Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL filings (annual, fiscal year). Quarterly flow items are derived from cumulative filings; balance-sheet figures are as-of each period end. Ratios and margins are computed, not reported.
Is the value real, and is the business safe? Academic scores + earnings quality + solvency, from SEC filings.
6/8 of the 9 checks — 1 couldn't be scored (see above), so the score is out of the 8 with data.
Insufficient balance-sheet detail (needs retained earnings, working capital, equity).
Needs granular two-year detail (receivables, PP&E, D&A, SG&A) — not fully reported.
Earnings are backed by cash (FCF ≥ net income) — high quality. Lower/negative accruals = higher quality (Sloan).
Comfortably covers interest; leverage falling year-over-year.
F-Score (0–9 fundamental momentum), Altman Z (distress risk), and Beneish M (earnings-manipulation screen) are academic models computed from the SEC filings. Screens and context — educational, not recommendations.
What the company returns to shareholders — and whether it's covered by cash.
The dividend is comfortably covered — only 6% of free cash flow, leaving room to grow it and fund buybacks. Last year: $200M dividends + $1.9B buybacks = $2.1B returned on $3.1B FCF.
1 consecutive years of dividend increases · 5%/yr.
Yields use the latest fiscal-year dividends/buybacks over current market cap. Dividends and buybacks from the SEC cash-flow statement; payout coverage vs net income and free cash flow. Educational — not a recommendation.
How management deployed cash over 10 years — and what it earned on reinvestment.
A balanced mix of reinvestment and shareholder returns.
Reinvestment has been productive — operating income grew well per dollar put in. Current ROIC on all capital: 17%. Rough measure (includes maintenance capex).
Cash uses aggregated from the SEC cash-flow statement over 10 fiscal years. "Return on reinvestment" is a rough proxy — operating-income change ÷ cumulative CapEx + M&A — and includes maintenance capex. Educational — not a recommendation.
How much the company owes, how it's trended, and how comfortably it's serviced.
Green ≤ 1.5× · amber ≤ 3× · red > 3× (leverage relative to cash earnings).
Interest is easily covered by operating profit. Effective rate ~4.9% on $6.2B of debt.
Cash of $5.4B fully covers short-term debt of $1.7B.
Mostly long-term debt (balance-sheet current vs non-current split). A year-by-year maturity schedule wasn't disclosed for this issuer.
Debt, cash, interest and equity from the SEC balance sheet & income statement. Effective rate = interest ÷ average debt. Educational — not a recommendation.
Top 40 institutional holders — bubble size is position value, color is the move since last quarter. Hover any holder for detail.
Drag any bubble to rearrange · size = dollar value of the position
Total return (dividends reinvested) vs the market, from quarter-end prices.
Above 0 = ahead of the S&P 500 since the window start; below 0 = behind. Rising means it's pulling ahead.
How far the stock fell below its prior peak. Deeper, longer drawdowns = a rougher ride to the same return.
Quarter-end, dividend-adjusted (total return). Beta & volatility from quarterly returns (annualized). Benchmark is the S&P 500 (SPY total return). Annual returns compound the quarters ending in each calendar year; the first and last years in a window may be partial. Past performance doesn't predict future results.
EOD close · as of 2026-09-17
Nothing notable to watch.
Where each multiple sits in its own 14-yr range · 71th pct blended
Dot = today · shaded = middle 50% · line = median. Lower percentile = cheaper vs its own 14-yr history.
Is the profit real, and how strong is the balance sheet?
FY2025 · every deduction from revenue to net income
DuPont — the three levers
Watch the leverage lever — a chunk of ROE comes from the balance sheet.
What the company owes vs. what it holds
Year-by-year maturities aren't in SEC companyfacts (footnote-only), so this shows the debt/cash structure and net leverage instead.
Latest year: profit growth vs revenue growth
High operating leverage: profit moved 5.5× as fast as sales — great in an upturn, painful in a downturn.
Each line as % of revenue — the trend in color
| % of revenue | FY2018 | FY2019 | FY2020 | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cost of Revenue | 17.5 | 17.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| SG&A | 6.9 | 6.7 | 11.3 | 8.2 | 6.4 | 6.0 | 5.9 | 5.2 |
| Operating Income | 6.4 | 7.5 | -52.3 | 2.2 | 9.3 | 8.0 | 9.6 | 12.7 |
| Income Tax | 0.8 | 1.7 | -8.1 | -0.6 | 1.7 | 2.6 | 2.3 | 2.0 |
| Net Income | 3.6 | 4.7 | -50.2 | 0.2 | 2.9 | 5.4 | 8.9 | 8.8 |
Green = margin-favorable vs the row's own range · red = unfavorable.
The metrics that matter, over time
A 30-second read on EXPE: price, valuation, headline fundamentals, and an auto-generated scorecard from SEC filings. Flags are rule-based signals, not recommendations.