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Held by 511 of 5,944 reporting institutions (97th percentile) — extremely crowded.
Data as of Q1 2026
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Solve the discounted cash flow backwards, then stress-test the assumptions.
To be worth $184.86 today, the market must believe free cash flow compounds 26.9%/yr for a decade (off $121M normalized FCF).
The market's 26.9% is more optimistic than its 8-yr track record.
2-stage DCF · 0.05B shares (market data) · net debt -$66M
mean -34.7% · volatility σ 97% · implied rate exceeded in 1/6 yrs
Central path = implied 26.9%/yr growth; shaded band = ±1σ (97%) of this company's historical FCF volatility, widening with time. The wider the band, the less certain the growth.
Reverse DCF: rather than guessing a fair value, we solve for the growth the current price implies, then you stress-test the assumptions. Enterprise value of the FCF stream, less net debt, ÷ shares. Educational — not a recommendation.
Is the value real, and is the business safe? Academic scores + earnings quality + solvency, from SEC filings.
5/8 of the 9 checks — 1 couldn't be scored (see above), so the score is out of the 8 with data.
Safe > 2.99 · grey 1.81–2.99 · distress < 1.81
Eight indices comparing this year to last (receivables, margins, asset quality, growth, accruals, leverage). Above −1.78 suggests possible manipulation; below −2.22 is clean.
A screen, not proof — high growth alone can raise it.
Cash conversion lags reported earnings — watch accruals. Lower/negative accruals = higher quality (Sloan).
Comfortably covers interest; leverage falling year-over-year.
F-Score (0–9 fundamental momentum), Altman Z (distress risk), and Beneish M (earnings-manipulation screen) are academic models computed from the SEC filings. Screens and context — educational, not recommendations.
What the company returns to shareholders — and whether it's covered by cash.
No dividend to cover. Last year: $0 dividends + $7M buybacks = $7M returned on $105M FCF.
Yields use the latest fiscal-year dividends/buybacks over current market cap. Dividends and buybacks from the SEC cash-flow statement; payout coverage vs net income and free cash flow. Educational — not a recommendation.
How management deployed cash over 10 years — and what it earned on reinvestment.
A reinvestment story — most cash went back into growth rather than to shareholders.
Reinvestment has been productive — operating income grew well per dollar put in. Current ROIC on all capital: 10%. Rough measure (includes maintenance capex).
Cash uses aggregated from the SEC cash-flow statement over 10 fiscal years. "Return on reinvestment" is a rough proxy — operating-income change ÷ cumulative CapEx + M&A — and includes maintenance capex. Educational — not a recommendation.
How much the company owes, how it's trended, and how comfortably it's serviced.
Cash of $74M covers the $44M due within a year 1.7× over. Scheduled principal only (excludes interest & revolver draws). As of 2026-03-31 (10-K).
Green ≤ 1.5× · amber ≤ 3× · red > 3× (leverage relative to cash earnings).
Interest is easily covered by operating profit. Effective rate ~421.3% on $8M of debt.
Cash of $74M fully covers short-term debt of $8M.
Mostly short-term debt (balance-sheet current vs non-current split). See the maturity ladder above for the year-by-year repayment schedule.
Debt, cash, interest and equity from the SEC balance sheet & income statement. Effective rate = interest ÷ average debt. Maturity ladder from the SEC long-term-debt repayment schedule. Educational — not a recommendation.
Total shares institutions bought (green) vs sold (red) each quarter across all holders.
Inferred from quarter-over-quarter change in each fund's 13F position (new stakes count as buys, exits as sells). Not tick-level trades.
EOD close · as of 2026-09-17
How a revenue dollar becomes profit — FY2026
Each value shows its share of revenue below it (common-size).
| Line Item | FY2026 | FY2025 | FY2024 | FY2023 | FY2022 | FY2021 | FY2020 | FY2019 | FY2018 | FY2017 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $3.18B 100.0% | $2.58B 100.0% | $2.41B 100.0% | $2.30B 100.0% | $2.05B 100.0% | $1.81B 100.0% | $1.98B 100.0% | $2.21B 100.0% | $2.10B 100.0% | $1.50B 100.0% |
| Cost of Revenue | $2.45B 77.0% | $1.94B 75.1% | $1.88B 78.2% | $1.91B 83.1% | $1.74B 84.9% | $1.51B 83.8% | $1.67B 84.4% | $1.85B 83.5% | $1.75B 83.0% | $1.25B 83.1% |
| Gross Profit | $731.1M 23.0% | $643.8M 24.9% | $525.6M 21.8% | $389.4M 16.9% | $309.3M 15.1% | $293.4M 16.2% | $307.5M 15.6% | $365.5M 16.5% | $356.5M 17.0% | $254.4M 16.9% |
| Research & Development | $29.3M 0.9% | $34.9M 1.4% | $42.0M 1.7% | $44.0M 1.9% | $50.3M 2.5% | $46.3M 2.6% | $59.5M 3.0% | $69.8M 3.2% | $65.8M 3.1% | $64.4M 4.3% |
| Selling, General & Admin | $360.1M 11.3% | $332.1M 12.9% | $273.9M 11.4% | $234.0M 10.2% | $215.1M 10.5% | $210.9M 11.7% | $249.6M 12.6% | $244.1M 11.0% | $245.8M 11.7% | $203.2M 13.5% |
| Operating Income | $342.4M 10.8% | $283.5M 11.0% | $240.7M 10.0% | $150.4M 6.5% | $119.2M 5.8% | -$97.7M -5.4% | $37.9M 1.9% | $109.7M 5.0% | $92.2M 4.4% | $42.3M 2.8% |
| Interest Expense | $31.6M 1.0% | $26.4M 1.0% | $24.1M 1.0% | $20.7M 0.9% | $15.6M 0.8% | $19.4M 1.1% | $22.7M 1.1% | $24.8M 1.1% | $25.6M 1.2% | $17.2M 1.1% |
| Interest & Investment Income | $2.0M 0.1% | $2.7M 0.1% | $4.3M 0.2% | $1.3M 0.1% | $400K 0.0% | $500K 0.0% | $400K 0.0% | $400K 0.0% | $400K 0.0% | $400K 0.0% |
| Other Income (Expense), net | -$8.2M -0.3% | -$3.1M -0.1% | -$2.0M -0.1% | -$4.4M -0.2% | -$2.1M -0.1% | -$2.2M -0.1% | -$4.8M -0.2% | -$4.1M -0.2% | -$3.3M -0.2% | -$4.3M -0.3% |
| Pretax Income | $186.5M 5.9% | $254.0M 9.8% | $214.6M 8.9% | $125.3M 5.5% | $101.5M 5.0% | -$119.3M -6.6% | $10.4M 0.5% | $80.8M 3.7% | $63.3M 3.0% | $20.8M 1.4% |
| Income Tax Expense | $63.2M 2.0% | $68.5M 2.7% | $51.2M 2.1% | -$28.3M -1.2% | $15.2M 0.7% | $90.2M 5.0% | $12.4M 0.6% | -$5.1M -0.2% | $39.5M 1.9% | $5.9M 0.4% |
| Net Income | $121.5M 3.8% | $184.0M 7.1% | $161.5M 6.7% | $153.1M 6.7% | $85.2M 4.2% | -$210.7M -11.7% | -$2.2M -0.1% | $84.8M 3.8% | $22.2M 1.1% | $14.2M 0.9% |
| Per Share | ||||||||||
| EPS (Basic) | $2.30 | $3.50 | $3.08 | $2.93 | $1.64 | $-4.11 | $-0.04 | $1.67 | $0.44 | $0.29 |
| EPS (Diluted) | $2.26 | $3.42 | $3.03 | $2.90 | $1.62 | $-4.11 | $-0.04 | $1.65 | $0.43 | $0.29 |
| Weighted Avg Shares (Basic) | 52.8M | 52.6M | 52.4M | 52.3M | 52.0M | 51.3M | 50.8M | 50.5M | 49.9M | 47.8M |
| Weighted Avg Shares (Diluted) | 53.8M | 53.9M | 53.4M | 52.8M | 52.5M | 51.3M | 50.8M | 51.3M | 50.9M | 48.3M |
Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL filings (annual, fiscal year). Quarterly flow items are derived from cumulative filings; balance-sheet figures are as-of each period end. Ratios and margins are computed, not reported.
Top 40 institutional holders — bubble size is position value, color is the move since last quarter. Hover any holder for detail.
Drag any bubble to rearrange · size = dollar value of the position
Ranked against 490 sector peers with collected financials. Valuation from latest close × latest fiscal-year fundamentals; 13F conviction as of 2026-03-31.
Percentile is “goodness” within the peer set (100 = best). For valuation and leverage that means cheaper / less-levered ranks higher.
| Company | Mkt cap ▼ | P/E | EV/EBITDA | P/S | Rev gr | Gross | Net | ROE | ROIC | Net D/EBITDA | 13F |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMZN | $2.65T | — | — | — | — | — | — | 20.5% | 16.2% | — | 5,764 |
| TSLA | $1.34T | 331.6× | 142.2× | 14.2× | -2.9% | 18.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 0.9× | 4,029 |
| TM | $608.8B | 59.5× | 24.6× | 2.6× | 3.8% | 18.4% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 1.7× | 665 |
| PDD | $448.4B | 33.4× | 32.3× | 7.3× | 14.5% | 56.3% | 22.7% | 23.7% | 23.7% | — | 548 |
| HD | $301.3B | 21.3× | 14.3× | 1.8× | 3.2% | 33.3% | 8.6% | 110% | 22.8% | 2.0× | 3,970 |
| BABA | $199.3B | 134.1× | — | 1.3× | 8.1% | 39.8% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.8% | — | 1,298 |
| TJX | $136.0B | 25.2× | — | 2.3× | 7.1% | 31.0% | 9.1% | 53.9% | 42.1% | — | 2,608 |
| HTHT | $131.2B | 185.7× | 113.0× | — | — | — | — | 39.7% | 27.3% | 0.7× | 258 |
| SBUX | $110.7B | 59.7× | 26.9× | 3.0× | 2.8% | — | 5.0% | -22.9% | 23.3% | 3.4× | 2,252 |
| LOW | $108.9B | 16.4× | 12.0× | 1.3× | 3.1% | 33.5% | 7.7% | -67.1% | 22.3% | 3.2× | 2,591 |
| ABNB | $102.7B | — | 38.3× | 8.4× | 10.3% | 83.0% | 20.5% | 30.6% | 24.6% | 0.8× | 1,246 |
| MELI | $93.3B | 46.7× | — | 3.2× | 39.1% | 44.5% | 6.9% | 29.6% | 12.5% | — | 1,380 |
| MAR | $89.1B | 35.2× | 20.7× | 3.4× | 4.3% | — | 9.9% | -69.0% | -69.4% | 0.0× | 1,559 |
| LKNCY | $87.3B | 170.2× | 91.9× | 12.4× | 48.9% | — | 7.3% | 23.0% | 23.0% | — | 9 |
| GM | $76.2B | 25.8× | 3.7× | 0.4× | -1.3% | — | 1.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | — | 1,447 |
| ROST | $72.5B | 34.0× | 21.6× | 3.2× | 7.7% | 27.7% | 9.4% | 34.7% | 27.8% | 0.5× | 1,276 |
| ORLY | $70.5B | 28.2× | 19.2× | 4.0× | 6.4% | 51.6% | 14.3% | -333% | 48.3% | 1.5× | 1,569 |
| HLT | $70.4B | 49.9× | 24.2× | 5.8× | 7.7% | — | 12.1% | -27.0% | -27.0% | — | 1,126 |
| RCL | $68.8B | 16.3× | — | 3.8× | 8.8% | 49.4% | 23.8% | 42.5% | 32.3% | — | 1,114 |
| SE | $63.4B | 41.1× | 25.1× | 2.8× | 36.4% | 44.7% | 6.9% | 12.6% | 12.6% | — | 718 |
| F | $53.1B | — | 4.4× | 0.3× | 1.2% | 6.8% | -4.4% | -22.7% | -22.7% | — | — |
| NKE | $53.1B | 17.0× | — | 1.1× | 0.2% | 42.9% | 6.7% | 20.9% | 13.6% | — | 1,848 |
| EBAY | $49.0B | 25.1× | 17.8× | 4.4× | 7.9% | 71.5% | 18.3% | 45.3% | 38.8% | 0.3× | 1,182 |
| AZO | $47.8B | 19.7× | 13.3× | 2.5× | 2.4% | 52.6% | 13.2% | -73.2% | 46.4% | 2.1× | 1,245 |
| CMG | $45.0B | 29.5× | 19.4× | 3.8× | 5.4% | — | 12.9% | 54.3% | 54.3% | 0.0× | 1,203 |
| MOD | $9.6B | 80.2× | 22.6× | 3.0× | 23.1% | 23.0% | 3.8% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 0.0× | 511 |
Peers = companies sharing MOD's sector (Consumer Cyclical) with collected SEC financials. Multiples use the most recent end-of-day close and latest fiscal-year fundamentals (trailing, not forward). Missing cells mean the peer never reported that line item, has no collected price, or has a non-positive denominator. Not investment advice.
Total return (dividends reinvested) vs the market, from quarter-end prices.
Above 0 = ahead of the S&P 500 since the window start; below 0 = behind. Rising means it's pulling ahead.
How far the stock fell below its prior peak. Deeper, longer drawdowns = a rougher ride to the same return.
Quarter-end, dividend-adjusted (total return). Beta & volatility from quarterly returns (annualized). Benchmark is the S&P 500 (SPY total return). Annual returns compound the quarters ending in each calendar year; the first and last years in a window may be partial. Past performance doesn't predict future results.
EOD close · as of 2026-09-17
No material risks flagged.
Where each multiple sits in its own 15-yr range · 91th pct blended
Dot = today · shaded = middle 50% · line = median. Lower percentile = cheaper vs its own 15-yr history.
Is the profit real, and how strong is the balance sheet?
FY2026 · every deduction from revenue to net income
DuPont — the three levers
Watch the leverage lever — a chunk of ROE comes from the balance sheet.
What the company owes vs. what it holds
Year-by-year maturities aren't in SEC companyfacts (footnote-only), so this shows the debt/cash structure and net leverage instead.
Latest year: profit growth vs revenue growth
Low operating leverage — profit tracks sales closely (stable, less cyclical).
Each line as % of revenue — the trend in color
| % of revenue | FY2019 | FY2020 | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | FY2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cost of Revenue | 83.5 | 84.4 | 83.8 | 84.9 | 83.1 | 78.2 | 75.1 | 77.0 |
| Gross Profit | 16.5 | 15.6 | 16.2 | 15.1 | 16.9 | 21.8 | 24.9 | 23.0 |
| R&D | 3.2 | 3.0 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 0.9 |
| SG&A | 11.0 | 12.6 | 11.7 | 10.5 | 10.2 | 11.4 | 12.9 | 11.3 |
| Operating Income | 5.0 | 1.9 | -5.4 | 5.8 | 6.5 | 10.0 | 11.0 | 10.8 |
| Income Tax | -0.2 | 0.6 | 5.0 | 0.7 | -1.2 | 2.1 | 2.7 | 2.0 |
| Net Income | 3.8 | -0.1 | -11.7 | 4.2 | 6.7 | 6.7 | 7.1 | 3.8 |
Green = margin-favorable vs the row's own range · red = unfavorable.
The metrics that matter, over time
A 30-second read on MOD: price, valuation, headline fundamentals, and an auto-generated scorecard from SEC filings. Flags are rule-based signals, not recommendations.