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Held by 430 of 5,944 reporting institutions (96th percentile) — extremely crowded.
Data as of Q1 2026
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Solve the discounted cash flow backwards, then stress-test the assumptions.
To be worth $137.76 today, the market must believe free cash flow compounds 9.6%/yr for a decade (off $340M normalized FCF).
The market's 9.6% is more optimistic than its 9-yr track record.
2-stage DCF · 0.04B shares · net debt $2.7B
mean 6.4% · volatility σ 40% · implied rate exceeded in 4/9 yrs
Central path = implied 9.6%/yr growth; shaded band = ±1σ (40%) of this company's historical FCF volatility, widening with time. The wider the band, the less certain the growth.
Reverse DCF: rather than guessing a fair value, we solve for the growth the current price implies, then you stress-test the assumptions. Enterprise value of the FCF stream, less net debt, ÷ shares. Educational — not a recommendation.
Total shares institutions bought (green) vs sold (red) each quarter across all holders.
Inferred from quarter-over-quarter change in each fund's 13F position (new stakes count as buys, exits as sells). Not tick-level trades.
Total return (dividends reinvested) vs the market, from quarter-end prices.
Above 0 = ahead of the S&P 500 since the window start; below 0 = behind. Rising means it's pulling ahead.
How far the stock fell below its prior peak. Deeper, longer drawdowns = a rougher ride to the same return.
Quarter-end, dividend-adjusted (total return). Beta & volatility from quarterly returns (annualized). Benchmark is the S&P 500 (SPY total return). Annual returns compound the quarters ending in each calendar year; the first and last years in a window may be partial. Past performance doesn't predict future results.
Top 40 institutional holders — bubble size is position value, color is the move since last quarter. Hover any holder for detail.
Drag any bubble to rearrange · size = dollar value of the position
Ranked against 490 sector peers with collected financials. Valuation from latest close × latest fiscal-year fundamentals; 13F conviction as of 2026-03-31.
Percentile is “goodness” within the peer set (100 = best). For valuation and leverage that means cheaper / less-levered ranks higher.
| Company | Mkt cap ▼ | P/E | EV/EBITDA | P/S | Rev gr | Gross | Net | ROE | ROIC | Net D/EBITDA | 13F |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMZN | $2.70T | — | — | — | — | — | — | 20.5% | 16.2% | — | 5,764 |
| TSLA | $1.37T | 339.1× | 145.5× | 14.5× | -2.9% | 18.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 0.9× | 4,029 |
| TM | $614.2B | 60.0× | 24.8× | 2.6× | 3.8% | 18.4% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 1.7× | 665 |
| PDD | $442.6B | 32.9× | 31.9× | 7.2× | 14.5% | 56.3% | 22.7% | 23.7% | 23.7% | — | 548 |
| HD | $301.3B | 21.3× | 14.3× | 1.8× | 3.2% | 33.3% | 8.6% | 110% | 22.8% | 2.0× | 3,970 |
| BABA | $201.7B | 135.7× | — | 1.4× | 8.1% | 39.8% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.8% | — | 1,298 |
| TJX | $140.1B | 26.0× | — | 2.3× | 7.1% | 31.0% | 9.1% | 53.9% | 42.1% | — | 2,608 |
| HTHT | $132.7B | 187.9× | 114.3× | — | — | — | — | 39.7% | 27.3% | 0.7× | 258 |
| SBUX | $109.9B | 59.3× | 26.8× | 3.0× | 2.8% | — | 5.0% | -22.9% | 23.3% | 3.4× | 2,252 |
| LOW | $108.9B | 16.4× | 12.0× | 1.3× | 3.1% | 33.5% | 7.7% | -67.1% | 22.3% | 3.2× | 2,591 |
| ABNB | $101.7B | — | 37.9× | 8.3× | 10.3% | 83.0% | 20.5% | 30.6% | 24.6% | 0.8× | 1,246 |
| MELI | $92.5B | 46.3× | — | 3.2× | 39.1% | 44.5% | 6.9% | 29.6% | 12.5% | — | 1,380 |
| MAR | $88.8B | 35.1× | 20.6× | 3.4× | 4.3% | — | 9.9% | -69.0% | -69.4% | 0.0× | 1,559 |
| LKNCY | $86.3B | 168.2× | 90.8× | 12.3× | 48.9% | — | 7.3% | 23.0% | 23.0% | — | 9 |
| GM | $78.3B | 26.5× | 3.9× | 0.4× | -1.3% | — | 1.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | — | 1,447 |
| ROST | $74.0B | 34.7× | 22.0× | 3.3× | 7.7% | 27.7% | 9.4% | 34.7% | 27.8% | 0.5× | 1,276 |
| ORLY | $71.5B | 28.6× | 19.5× | 4.0× | 6.4% | 51.6% | 14.3% | -333% | 48.3% | 1.5× | 1,569 |
| HLT | $69.7B | 49.4× | 24.0× | 5.8× | 7.7% | — | 12.1% | -27.0% | -27.0% | — | 1,126 |
| RCL | $67.7B | 16.0× | — | 3.8× | 8.8% | 49.4% | 23.8% | 42.5% | 32.3% | — | 1,114 |
| SE | $62.0B | 40.2× | 24.6× | 2.7× | 36.4% | 44.7% | 6.9% | 12.6% | 12.6% | — | 718 |
| F | $54.2B | — | 4.5× | 0.3× | 1.2% | 6.8% | -4.4% | -22.7% | -22.7% | — | — |
| NKE | $53.9B | 17.3× | — | 1.2× | 0.2% | 42.9% | 6.7% | 20.9% | 13.6% | — | 1,848 |
| EBAY | $50.7B | 26.0× | 18.4× | 4.6× | 7.9% | 71.5% | 18.3% | 45.3% | 38.8% | 0.3× | 1,182 |
| AZO | $47.8B | 19.6× | 13.3× | 2.5× | 2.4% | 52.6% | 13.2% | -73.2% | 46.4% | 2.1× | 1,245 |
| CMG | $44.8B | 29.4× | 19.4× | 3.8× | 5.4% | — | 12.9% | 54.3% | 54.3% | 0.0× | 1,203 |
| MTN | $5.1B | 18.3× | 9.2× | 1.7× | 2.7% | — | 9.4% | 66.0% | 7.9% | 3.7× | 430 |
Peers = companies sharing MTN's sector (Consumer Cyclical) with collected SEC financials. Multiples use the most recent end-of-day close and latest fiscal-year fundamentals (trailing, not forward). Missing cells mean the peer never reported that line item, has no collected price, or has a non-positive denominator. Not investment advice.
Is the value real, and is the business safe? Academic scores + earnings quality + solvency, from SEC filings.
6/8 of the 9 checks — 1 couldn't be scored (see above), so the score is out of the 8 with data.
Safe > 2.99 · grey 1.81–2.99 · distress < 1.81
Needs granular two-year detail (receivables, PP&E, D&A, SG&A) — not fully reported.
Earnings are backed by cash (FCF ≥ net income) — high quality. Lower/negative accruals = higher quality (Sloan).
Interest coverage is thin — monitor; leverage rising year-over-year.
F-Score (0–9 fundamental momentum), Altman Z (distress risk), and Beneish M (earnings-manipulation screen) are academic models computed from the SEC filings. Screens and context — educational, not recommendations.
What the company returns to shareholders — and whether it's covered by cash.
The dividend exceeds free cash flow (103%) — funded from the balance sheet or debt, a red flag if it persists. Last year: $328M dividends + $270M buybacks = $598M returned on $320M FCF.
4 consecutive years of dividend increases · 13%/yr.
Yields use the latest fiscal-year dividends/buybacks over current market cap. Dividends and buybacks from the SEC cash-flow statement; payout coverage vs net income and free cash flow. Educational — not a recommendation.
How management deployed cash over 10 years — and what it earned on reinvestment.
A cash-return story — far more went to shareholders than back into the business (mature, low-reinvestment).
Reinvestment has been productive — operating income grew well per dollar put in. Current ROIC on all capital: 8%. Rough measure (includes maintenance capex).
Cash uses aggregated from the SEC cash-flow statement over 10 fiscal years. "Return on reinvestment" is a rough proxy — operating-income change ÷ cumulative CapEx + M&A — and includes maintenance capex. Educational — not a recommendation.
How much the company owes, how it's trended, and how comfortably it's serviced.
Cash of $440M covers the $17M due within a year 25.9× over. Scheduled principal only (excludes interest & revolver draws). As of 2026-04-30 (10-Q).
Green ≤ 1.5× · amber ≤ 3× · red > 3× (leverage relative to cash earnings).
Coverage is adequate but not comfortable. Effective rate ~5.5% on $3.1B of debt.
Cash of $440M is below short-term debt of $525M — relies on refinancing/operations.
Mostly long-term debt (balance-sheet current vs non-current split). See the maturity ladder above for the year-by-year repayment schedule.
Debt, cash, interest and equity from the SEC balance sheet & income statement. Effective rate = interest ÷ average debt. Maturity ladder from the SEC long-term-debt repayment schedule. Educational — not a recommendation.
EOD close · as of 2026-09-17
Is the profit real, and how strong is the balance sheet?
FY2025 · every deduction from revenue to net income
DuPont — the three levers
Watch the leverage lever — a chunk of ROE comes from the balance sheet.
What the company owes vs. what it holds
Year-by-year maturities aren't in SEC companyfacts (footnote-only), so this shows the debt/cash structure and net leverage instead.
Latest year: profit growth vs revenue growth
High operating leverage: profit moved 5.3× as fast as sales — great in an upturn, painful in a downturn.
Each line as % of revenue — the trend in color
| % of revenue | FY2018 | FY2019 | FY2020 | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Income | 20.3 | 21.0 | 11.4 | 13.7 | 23.8 | 17.5 | 16.9 | 18.9 |
| Income Tax | -3.0 | 3.3 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 3.2 | 3.5 |
| Net Income | 18.9 | 13.3 | 5.0 | 6.7 | 13.8 | 9.2 | 8.0 | 9.4 |
Green = margin-favorable vs the row's own range · red = unfavorable.
The metrics that matter, over time
A 30-second read on MTN: price, valuation, headline fundamentals, and an auto-generated scorecard from SEC filings. Flags are rule-based signals, not recommendations.
EOD close · as of 2026-09-17
How a revenue dollar becomes profit — FY2025
Each value shows its share of revenue below it (common-size).
| Line Item | FY2025 | FY2024 | FY2023 | FY2022 | FY2021 | FY2020 | FY2019 | FY2018 | FY2017 | FY2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $2.96B 100.0% | $2.89B 100.0% | $2.89B 100.0% | $2.53B 100.0% | $1.91B 100.0% | $1.96B 100.0% | $2.27B 100.0% | $2.01B 100.0% | $1.91B 100.0% | $1.60B 100.0% |
| Operating Income | $560.0M 18.9% | $488.8M 16.9% | $504.4M 17.5% | $601.7M 23.8% | $261.0M 13.7% | $223.4M 11.4% | $476.3M 21.0% | $408.8M 20.3% | $379.3M 19.9% | $283.0M 17.7% |
| Interest Expense | $171.6M 5.8% | $164.6M 5.7% | $155.4M 5.4% | $148.2M 5.9% | $151.4M 7.9% | $106.7M 5.4% | $79.5M 3.5% | $63.2M 3.1% | $54.1M 2.8% | $42.4M 2.6% |
| Interest & Investment Income | $10.1M 0.3% | $18.6M 0.6% | $23.7M 0.8% | $3.7M 0.1% | $586K 0.0% | $1.3M 0.1% | $3.1M 0.1% | $1.9M 0.1% | $6.1M 0.3% | $723K 0.0% |
| Pretax Income | $402.4M 13.6% | $339.8M 11.8% | $370.4M 12.8% | $457.2M 18.1% | $125.2M 6.6% | $116.4M 5.9% | $399.0M 17.6% | $340.1M 16.9% | $348.4M 18.3% | $242.6M 15.2% |
| Income Tax Expense | $104.4M 3.5% | $92.8M 3.2% | $87.6M 3.0% | $88.8M 3.5% | $726K 0.0% | $7.4M 0.4% | $75.5M 3.3% | -$61.1M -3.0% | $116.7M 6.1% | $93.2M 5.8% |
| Net Income | $280.0M 9.4% | $231.1M 8.0% | $265.8M 9.2% | $347.9M 13.8% | $127.8M 6.7% | $98.8M 5.0% | $301.2M 13.3% | $379.9M 18.9% | $210.6M 11.0% | $149.8M 9.4% |
| Per Share | ||||||||||
| EPS (Basic) | $7.54 | $6.10 | $6.70 | $8.60 | $3.17 | $2.45 | $7.46 | $9.40 | $5.36 | $4.13 |
| EPS (Diluted) | $7.53 | $6.09 | $6.69 | $8.55 | $3.13 | $2.42 | $7.32 | $9.13 | $5.22 | $4.01 |
| Weighted Avg Shares (Basic) | 37.2M | 37.9M | 39.7M | 40.5M | 40.3M | 40.3M | 40.3M | 40.4M | 39.3M | 36.3M |
| Weighted Avg Shares (Diluted) | 37.2M | 38.0M | 39.8M | 40.7M | 40.8M | 40.8M | 41.2M | 41.6M | 40.4M | 37.3M |
Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL filings (annual, fiscal year). Quarterly flow items are derived from cumulative filings; balance-sheet figures are as-of each period end. Ratios and margins are computed, not reported.