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Held by 1,760 of 5,944 reporting institutions (100th percentile) — extremely crowded.
Data as of Q1 2026
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Total shares institutions bought (green) vs sold (red) each quarter across all holders.
Inferred from quarter-over-quarter change in each fund's 13F position (new stakes count as buys, exits as sells). Not tick-level trades.
Solve the discounted cash flow backwards, then stress-test the assumptions.
To be worth $318.97 today, the market must believe free cash flow compounds 18.8%/yr for a decade (off $1.6B normalized FCF).
The market's 18.8% is more optimistic than its 9-yr track record.
2-stage DCF · 0.22B shares · net debt -$923M
mean 16.0% · volatility σ 43% · implied rate exceeded in 4/9 yrs
Central path = implied 18.8%/yr growth; shaded band = ±1σ (43%) of this company's historical FCF volatility, widening with time. The wider the band, the less certain the growth.
Reverse DCF: rather than guessing a fair value, we solve for the growth the current price implies, then you stress-test the assumptions. Enterprise value of the FCF stream, less net debt, ÷ shares. Educational — not a recommendation.
Total return (dividends reinvested) vs the market, from quarter-end prices.
Above 0 = ahead of the S&P 500 since the window start; below 0 = behind. Rising means it's pulling ahead.
How far the stock fell below its prior peak. Deeper, longer drawdowns = a rougher ride to the same return.
Quarter-end, dividend-adjusted (total return). Beta & volatility from quarterly returns (annualized). Benchmark is the S&P 500 (SPY total return). Annual returns compound the quarters ending in each calendar year; the first and last years in a window may be partial. Past performance doesn't predict future results.
Ranked against 651 sector peers with collected financials. Valuation from latest close × latest fiscal-year fundamentals; 13F conviction as of 2026-03-31.
Percentile is “goodness” within the peer set (100 = best). For valuation and leverage that means cheaper / less-levered ranks higher.
| Company | Mkt cap ▼ | P/E | EV/EBITDA | P/S | Rev gr | Gross | Net | ROE | ROIC | Net D/EBITDA | 13F |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LTM | $29.49T | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 160 |
| CAT | $371.6B | 42.5× | 29.7× | 5.5× | 4.3% | 33.8% | 13.1% | 41.7% | 15.4% | 2.7× | 3,616 |
| GE | $328.8B | 38.5× | — | 7.2× | 18.5% | — | 19.0% | 46.6% | 22.2% | — | 3,077 |
| RTX | $259.8B | 39.0× | 18.5× | 2.9× | 9.7% | — | 7.6% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 0.0× | 3,277 |
| BA | $199.4B | 79.4× | 40.2× | 2.2× | 34.5% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 41.0% | 3.3% | 10.0× | 2,435 |
| DE | $185.4B | 37.1× | — | 4.1× | -11.7% | — | 11.0% | 19.4% | 12.6% | — | 2,491 |
| ABBNY | $177.4B | 47.9× | 31.6× | 5.5× | 9.5% | 34.8% | 11.9% | 28.5% | 20.4% | 0.9× | 48 |
| UNP | $167.6B | 23.6× | 16.1× | 6.8× | 1.1% | — | 29.1% | 38.7% | 14.2% | 2.6× | 2,648 |
| ETN | $158.8B | 39.2× | — | 5.8× | 10.3% | 37.6% | 14.9% | 21.0% | 13.9% | — | 2,398 |
| HON | $131.2B | 28.1× | 16.1× | 3.5× | 7.8% | 36.9% | 12.6% | 34.0% | 9.8% | 3.6× | 2,694 |
| LMT | $123.2B | 25.0× | 16.1× | 1.6× | 5.6% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 74.6% | 17.7% | 2.5× | 2,807 |
| PH | $118.7B | 34.1× | 26.8× | 6.0× | -0.4% | 36.9% | 17.8% | 25.8% | 16.7% | 1.6× | 1,845 |
| ADP | $108.3B | 24.9× | — | 4.9× | 6.7% | 46.4% | 20.1% | 73.2% | 40.1% | — | 2,179 |
| GD | $96.2B | 23.0× | 16.9× | 1.8× | 10.1% | — | 8.0% | 16.4% | 12.5% | 1.3× | 2,123 |
| TT | $94.4B | 32.6× | 23.3× | 4.4× | 7.5% | — | 13.7% | 34.0% | 22.1% | 1.1× | 1,658 |
| VRT | $92.4B | 70.8× | 43.8× | 9.0× | 27.7% | 36.3% | 13.0% | 33.8% | 19.4% | 1.4× | 1,748 |
| PWR | $92.2B | 90.7× | 45.8× | 3.2× | 20.3% | 15.0% | 3.6% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 0.4× | 1,659 |
| JCI | $91.9B | 28.0× | — | 3.9× | 2.8% | 36.4% | 13.9% | 25.5% | 14.4% | — | 1,487 |
| HWM | $90.7B | 60.9× | 39.9× | 11.0× | 11.1% | — | 18.3% | 28.2% | 17.9% | 1.3× | 1,399 |
| CSX | $89.1B | 31.1× | 14.4× | 6.3× | -3.1% | — | 20.5% | 22.0% | 22.0% | — | 1,791 |
| MMM | $87.3B | 27.4× | 16.8× | 3.5× | 1.5% | 39.9% | 13.0% | 69.1% | 18.8% | 2.1× | 2,051 |
| WM | $86.0B | 31.8× | 12.1× | 3.4× | 14.2% | 40.4% | 10.7% | 27.1% | 25.3% | 0.1× | 2,262 |
| UPS | $85.0B | 15.3× | 9.5× | 1.0× | -2.6% | — | 6.3% | 34.3% | 13.8% | 2.2× | 2,025 |
| EMR | $83.0B | 36.5× | — | 4.6× | 3.0% | 52.8% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 6.9% | — | 2,112 |
| CTAS | $79.8B | 45.0× | 28.7× | 7.7× | 7.7% | 50.0% | 17.5% | 38.7% | 25.5% | 0.8× | 1,366 |
| NSC | $71.6B | 25.0× | 12.3× | 5.9× | 0.5% | — | 23.6% | 18.5% | 17.8% | 0.1× | 1,760 |
Peers = companies sharing NSC's sector (Industrials) with collected SEC financials. Multiples use the most recent end-of-day close and latest fiscal-year fundamentals (trailing, not forward). Missing cells mean the peer never reported that line item, has no collected price, or has a non-positive denominator. Not investment advice.
EOD close · as of 2026-09-17
How a revenue dollar becomes profit — FY2025
Each value shows its share of revenue below it (common-size).
| Line Item | FY2025 | FY2024 | FY2023 | FY2022 | FY2021 | FY2020 | FY2019 | FY2018 | FY2017 | FY2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $12.18B 100.0% | $12.12B 100.0% | $12.16B 100.0% | $12.74B 100.0% | $11.14B 100.0% | $9.79B 100.0% | $11.30B 100.0% | $11.46B 100.0% | $10.55B 100.0% | $9.89B 100.0% |
| Total Operating Expenses | $7.82B 64.2% | $8.05B 66.4% | $9.30B 76.5% | $7.94B 62.3% | $6.70B 60.1% | $6.79B 69.3% | $7.31B 64.7% | $7.50B 65.4% | $7.03B 66.6% | $6.88B 69.6% |
| Operating Income | $4.36B 35.8% | $4.07B 33.6% | $2.85B 23.5% | $4.81B 37.7% | $4.45B 39.9% | $3.00B 30.7% | $3.99B 35.3% | $3.96B 34.6% | $3.52B 33.4% | $3.01B 30.4% |
| Interest Expense | $792.0M 6.5% | $807.0M 6.7% | $722.0M 5.9% | $692.0M 5.4% | $646.0M 5.8% | $625.0M 6.4% | $604.0M 5.3% | $557.0M 4.9% | $550.0M 5.2% | $563.0M 5.7% |
| Interest & Investment Income | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | $13.0M 0.1% | $10.0M 0.1% |
| Other Income (Expense), net | $101.0M 0.8% | $65.0M 0.5% | $191.0M 1.6% | $13.0M 0.1% | $77.0M 0.7% | $153.0M 1.6% | $106.0M 0.9% | $67.0M 0.6% | $156.0M 1.5% | $136.0M 1.4% |
| Pretax Income | $3.67B 30.1% | $3.33B 27.5% | $2.32B 19.1% | $4.13B 32.4% | $3.88B 34.8% | $2.53B 25.8% | $3.49B 30.9% | $3.47B 30.3% | $3.13B 29.6% | $2.58B 26.1% |
| Income Tax Expense | $792.0M 6.5% | $707.0M 5.8% | $493.0M 4.1% | $860.0M 6.7% | $873.0M 7.8% | $517.0M 5.3% | $769.0M 6.8% | $803.0M 7.0% | -$2.28B -21.6% | $914.0M 9.2% |
| Net Income | $2.87B 23.6% | $2.62B 21.6% | $1.83B 15.0% | $3.27B 25.7% | $3.00B 27.0% | $2.01B 20.6% | $2.72B 24.1% | $2.67B 23.3% | $5.40B 51.2% | $1.67B 16.9% |
| Per Share | ||||||||||
| EPS (Basic) | $12.76 | $11.58 | $8.04 | $13.92 | $12.16 | $7.88 | $10.32 | $9.58 | $18.76 | $5.66 |
| EPS (Diluted) | $12.75 | $11.57 | $8.02 | $13.88 | $12.11 | $7.84 | $10.25 | $9.51 | $18.61 | $5.62 |
| Weighted Avg Shares (Basic) | 225.0M | 226.1M | 226.9M | 234.8M | 246.9M | 255.1M | 263.3M | 277.7M | 287.9M | 293.9M |
| Weighted Avg Shares (Diluted) | 225.3M | 226.4M | 227.4M | 235.6M | 248.1M | 256.6M | 265.6M | 280.2M | 290.3M | 296.0M |
Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL filings (annual, fiscal year). Quarterly flow items are derived from cumulative filings; balance-sheet figures are as-of each period end. Ratios and margins are computed, not reported.
Is the value real, and is the business safe? Academic scores + earnings quality + solvency, from SEC filings.
5/8 of the 9 checks — 1 couldn't be scored (see above), so the score is out of the 8 with data.
Safe > 2.99 · grey 1.81–2.99 · distress < 1.81
Needs granular two-year detail (receivables, PP&E, D&A, SG&A) — not fully reported.
Cash conversion lags reported earnings — watch accruals. Lower/negative accruals = higher quality (Sloan).
Comfortably covers interest; leverage rising year-over-year.
F-Score (0–9 fundamental momentum), Altman Z (distress risk), and Beneish M (earnings-manipulation screen) are academic models computed from the SEC filings. Screens and context — educational, not recommendations.
What the company returns to shareholders — and whether it's covered by cash.
The dividend is comfortably covered — only 56% of free cash flow, leaving room to grow it and fund buybacks. Last year: $1.2B dividends + $534M buybacks = $1.7B returned on $2.2B FCF.
1 consecutive years of dividend increases · 9%/yr.
Yields use the latest fiscal-year dividends/buybacks over current market cap. Dividends and buybacks from the SEC cash-flow statement; payout coverage vs net income and free cash flow. Educational — not a recommendation.
How management deployed cash over 10 years — and what it earned on reinvestment.
A balanced mix of reinvestment and shareholder returns.
Modest payoff on reinvested capital. Current ROIC on all capital: 18%. Rough measure (includes maintenance capex).
Cash uses aggregated from the SEC cash-flow statement over 10 fiscal years. "Return on reinvestment" is a rough proxy — operating-income change ÷ cumulative CapEx + M&A — and includes maintenance capex. Educational — not a recommendation.
How much the company owes, how it's trended, and how comfortably it's serviced.
Cash of $1.5B covers the $0 due within a year 1530000000.0× over. Scheduled principal only (excludes interest & revolver draws). As of 2025-12-31 (10-K).
Green ≤ 1.5× · amber ≤ 3× · red > 3× (leverage relative to cash earnings).
Coverage is adequate but not comfortable. Effective rate ~130.5% on $607M of debt.
Cash of $1.5B fully covers short-term debt of $607M.
Mostly short-term debt (balance-sheet current vs non-current split). See the maturity ladder above for the year-by-year repayment schedule.
Debt, cash, interest and equity from the SEC balance sheet & income statement. Effective rate = interest ÷ average debt. Maturity ladder from the SEC long-term-debt repayment schedule. Educational — not a recommendation.
EOD close · as of 2026-09-17
Where each multiple sits in its own 14-yr range · 93th pct blended
Dot = today · shaded = middle 50% · line = median. Lower percentile = cheaper vs its own 14-yr history.
Is the profit real, and how strong is the balance sheet?
FY2025 · every deduction from revenue to net income
DuPont — the three levers
Watch the leverage lever — a chunk of ROE comes from the balance sheet.
What the company owes vs. what it holds
Year-by-year maturities aren't in SEC companyfacts (footnote-only), so this shows the debt/cash structure and net leverage instead.
Latest year: profit growth vs revenue growth
Operating leverage needs meaningful revenue change.
Each line as % of revenue — the trend in color
| % of revenue | FY2018 | FY2019 | FY2020 | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Income | 34.6 | 35.3 | 30.7 | 39.9 | 37.7 | 23.5 | 33.6 | 35.8 |
| Income Tax | 7.0 | 6.8 | 5.3 | 7.8 | 6.7 | 4.1 | 5.8 | 6.5 |
| Net Income | 23.3 | 24.1 | 20.6 | 27.0 | 25.7 | 15.0 | 21.6 | 23.6 |
Green = margin-favorable vs the row's own range · red = unfavorable.
The metrics that matter, over time
A 30-second read on NSC: price, valuation, headline fundamentals, and an auto-generated scorecard from SEC filings. Flags are rule-based signals, not recommendations.
Top 40 institutional holders — bubble size is position value, color is the move since last quarter. Hover any holder for detail.
Drag any bubble to rearrange · size = dollar value of the position