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Held by 912 of 5,944 reporting institutions (99th percentile) — extremely crowded.
Data as of Q1 2026
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Solve the discounted cash flow backwards, then stress-test the assumptions.
To be worth $173.00 today, the market must believe free cash flow compounds 17.4%/yr for a decade (off $885M normalized FCF).
The market's 17.4% is more conservative than its 9-yr track record.
2-stage DCF · 0.21B shares · net debt -$80M
mean 27.4% · volatility σ 37% · implied rate exceeded in 4/9 yrs
Central path = implied 17.4%/yr growth; shaded band = ±1σ (37%) of this company's historical FCF volatility, widening with time. The wider the band, the less certain the growth.
Reverse DCF: rather than guessing a fair value, we solve for the growth the current price implies, then you stress-test the assumptions. Enterprise value of the FCF stream, less net debt, ÷ shares. Educational — not a recommendation.
Is the value real, and is the business safe? Academic scores + earnings quality + solvency, from SEC filings.
5/8 of the 9 checks — 1 couldn't be scored (see above), so the score is out of the 8 with data.
Safe > 2.99 · grey 1.81–2.99 · distress < 1.81
Needs granular two-year detail (receivables, PP&E, D&A, SG&A) — not fully reported.
Cash conversion lags reported earnings — watch accruals. Lower/negative accruals = higher quality (Sloan).
Comfortably covers interest; leverage rising year-over-year.
F-Score (0–9 fundamental momentum), Altman Z (distress risk), and Beneish M (earnings-manipulation screen) are academic models computed from the SEC filings. Screens and context — educational, not recommendations.
What the company returns to shareholders — and whether it's covered by cash.
The dividend is comfortably covered — only 25% of free cash flow, leaving room to grow it and fund buybacks. Last year: $236M dividends + $730M buybacks = $966M returned on $955M FCF.
2 consecutive years of dividend increases · 14%/yr.
Yields use the latest fiscal-year dividends/buybacks over current market cap. Dividends and buybacks from the SEC cash-flow statement; payout coverage vs net income and free cash flow. Educational — not a recommendation.
How management deployed cash over 10 years — and what it earned on reinvestment.
A cash-return story — far more went to shareholders than back into the business (mature, low-reinvestment).
Insufficient data. Current ROIC on all capital: 24%. Rough measure (includes maintenance capex).
Cash uses aggregated from the SEC cash-flow statement over 10 fiscal years. "Return on reinvestment" is a rough proxy — operating-income change ÷ cumulative CapEx + M&A — and includes maintenance capex. Educational — not a recommendation.
How much the company owes, how it's trended, and how comfortably it's serviced.
Cash of $120M covers all $105M of scheduled principal — no refinancing pressure. Scheduled principal only (excludes interest & revolver draws). As of 2016-12-31 (10-K).
Green ≤ 1.5× · amber ≤ 3× · red > 3× (leverage relative to cash earnings).
Interest is easily covered by operating profit. Effective rate ~0.7% on $40M of debt.
Cash of $120M fully covers short-term debt of $20M.
Mostly short-term debt (balance-sheet current vs non-current split). See the maturity ladder above for the year-by-year repayment schedule.
Debt, cash, interest and equity from the SEC balance sheet & income statement. Effective rate = interest ÷ average debt. Maturity ladder from the SEC long-term-debt repayment schedule. Educational — not a recommendation.
EOD close · as of 2026-09-18
How a revenue dollar becomes profit — FY2025
Each value shows its share of revenue below it (common-size).
| Line Item | FY2025 | FY2024 | FY2023 | FY2022 | FY2021 | FY2020 | FY2019 | FY2018 | FY2017 | FY2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $5.50B 100.0% | $5.81B 100.0% | $5.87B 100.0% | $6.26B 100.0% | $5.26B 100.0% | $4.02B 100.0% | $4.11B 100.0% | $4.04B 100.0% | $3.36B 100.0% | $2.99B 100.0% |
| Total Operating Expenses | $4.14B 75.2% | $4.27B 73.4% | $4.23B 72.0% | $4.42B 70.6% | $3.86B 73.5% | $3.11B 77.4% | $3.29B 80.1% | $3.23B 79.8% | $2.78B 82.9% | $2.51B 83.8% |
| Operating Income | $1.36B 24.8% | $1.54B 26.6% | $1.64B 28.0% | $1.84B 29.4% | $1.39B 26.5% | $906.9M 22.6% | $818.7M 19.9% | $817.1M 20.2% | $575.9M 17.1% | $483.8M 16.2% |
| Interest Expense | $296K 0.0% | $212K 0.0% | $464K 0.0% | $1.6M 0.0% | $1.7M 0.0% | $2.8M 0.1% | $377K 0.0% | $189K 0.0% | $2.2M 0.1% | $4.3M 0.1% |
| Other Income (Expense), net | $263K 0.0% | $13.6M 0.2% | $7.1M 0.1% | $717K 0.0% | -$3.2M -0.1% | -$5.5M -0.1% | $5.2M 0.1% | -$1.5M -0.0% | -$54K -0.0% | -$6.2M -0.2% |
| Pretax Income | $1.36B 24.8% | $1.56B 26.8% | $1.65B 28.1% | $1.84B 29.4% | $1.39B 26.4% | $901.4M 22.4% | $823.9M 20.1% | $815.5M 20.2% | $575.8M 17.1% | $477.6M 16.0% |
| Income Tax Expense | $337.6M 6.1% | $371.5M 6.4% | $408.3M 7.0% | $464.2M 7.4% | $354.0M 6.7% | $228.7M 5.7% | $208.4M 5.1% | $209.8M 5.2% | $112.1M 3.3% | $181.8M 6.1% |
| Net Income | $1.02B 18.6% | $1.19B 20.4% | $1.24B 21.1% | $1.38B 22.0% | $1.03B 19.7% | $672.7M 16.8% | $615.5M 15.0% | $605.7M 15.0% | $463.8M 13.8% | $295.8M 9.9% |
| Per Share | ||||||||||
| EPS (Basic) | $4.86 | $5.51 | $5.66 | $6.13 | $8.94 | $5.71 | $5.11 | $4.93 | $5.63 | $3.56 |
| EPS (Diluted) | $4.84 | $5.48 | $5.63 | $6.09 | $8.89 | $5.68 | $5.10 | $4.92 | $5.63 | $3.56 |
| Weighted Avg Shares (Basic) | 210.5M | 215.3M | 218.8M | 224.7M | 115.7M | 117.7M | 120.4M | 122.9M | 82.3M | 83.1M |
| Weighted Avg Shares (Diluted) | 211.6M | 216.5M | 220.2M | 226.2M | 116.4M | 118.5M | 120.6M | 123.0M | 82.4M | 83.2M |
Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL filings (annual, fiscal year). Quarterly flow items are derived from cumulative filings; balance-sheet figures are as-of each period end. Ratios and margins are computed, not reported.
Total shares institutions bought (green) vs sold (red) each quarter across all holders.
Inferred from quarter-over-quarter change in each fund's 13F position (new stakes count as buys, exits as sells). Not tick-level trades.
EOD close · as of 2026-09-18
No material risks flagged.
Where each multiple sits in its own 14-yr range · 93th pct blended
Dot = today · shaded = middle 50% · line = median. Lower percentile = cheaper vs its own 14-yr history.
Is the profit real, and how strong is the balance sheet?
FY2025 · every deduction from revenue to net income
DuPont — the three levers
Returns are margin-driven, not leverage-driven — higher quality.
What the company owes vs. what it holds
Year-by-year maturities aren't in SEC companyfacts (footnote-only), so this shows the debt/cash structure and net leverage instead.
Latest year: profit growth vs revenue growth
High operating leverage: profit moved 2.2× as fast as sales — great in an upturn, painful in a downturn.
Each line as % of revenue — the trend in color
| % of revenue | FY2018 | FY2019 | FY2020 | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Income | 20.2 | 19.9 | 22.6 | 26.5 | 29.4 | 28.0 | 26.6 | 24.8 |
| Income Tax | 5.2 | 5.1 | 5.7 | 6.7 | 7.4 | 7.0 | 6.4 | 6.1 |
| Net Income | 15.0 | 15.0 | 16.8 | 19.7 | 22.0 | 21.1 | 20.4 | 18.6 |
Green = margin-favorable vs the row's own range · red = unfavorable.
The metrics that matter, over time
A 30-second read on ODFL: price, valuation, headline fundamentals, and an auto-generated scorecard from SEC filings. Flags are rule-based signals, not recommendations.
Top 40 institutional holders — bubble size is position value, color is the move since last quarter. Hover any holder for detail.
Drag any bubble to rearrange · size = dollar value of the position
Total return (dividends reinvested) vs the market, from quarter-end prices.
Above 0 = ahead of the S&P 500 since the window start; below 0 = behind. Rising means it's pulling ahead.
How far the stock fell below its prior peak. Deeper, longer drawdowns = a rougher ride to the same return.
Quarter-end, dividend-adjusted (total return). Beta & volatility from quarterly returns (annualized). Benchmark is the S&P 500 (SPY total return). Annual returns compound the quarters ending in each calendar year; the first and last years in a window may be partial. Past performance doesn't predict future results.
Ranked against 651 sector peers with collected financials. Valuation from latest close × latest fiscal-year fundamentals; 13F conviction as of 2026-03-31.
Percentile is “goodness” within the peer set (100 = best). For valuation and leverage that means cheaper / less-levered ranks higher.
| Company | Mkt cap ▼ | P/E | EV/EBITDA | P/S | Rev gr | Gross | Net | ROE | ROIC | Net D/EBITDA | 13F |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LTM | $29.37T | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 160 |
| CAT | $376.4B | 43.0× | 30.0× | 5.6× | 4.3% | 33.8% | 13.1% | 41.7% | 15.4% | 2.7× | 3,616 |
| GE | $329.6B | 38.6× | — | 7.2× | 18.5% | — | 19.0% | 46.6% | 22.2% | — | 3,077 |
| RTX | $260.4B | 39.1× | 18.5× | 2.9× | 9.7% | — | 7.6% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 0.0× | 3,277 |
| BA | $200.6B | 79.9× | 40.4× | 2.2× | 34.5% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 41.0% | 3.3% | 10.0× | 2,435 |
| DE | $185.0B | 37.0× | — | 4.0× | -11.7% | — | 11.0% | 19.4% | 12.6% | — | 2,491 |
| ABBNY | $179.9B | 48.6× | 32.1× | 5.6× | 9.5% | 34.8% | 11.9% | 28.5% | 20.4% | 0.9× | 48 |
| UNP | $165.7B | 23.3× | 15.9× | 6.8× | 1.1% | — | 29.1% | 38.7% | 14.2% | 2.6× | 2,648 |
| ETN | $164.8B | 40.6× | — | 6.0× | 10.3% | 37.6% | 14.9% | 21.0% | 13.9% | — | 2,398 |
| HON | $131.2B | 28.1× | 16.1× | 3.5× | 7.8% | 36.9% | 12.6% | 34.0% | 9.8% | 3.6× | 2,694 |
| LMT | $122.1B | 24.8× | 16.0× | 1.6× | 5.6% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 74.6% | 17.7% | 2.5× | 2,807 |
| PH | $121.1B | 34.8× | 27.3× | 6.1× | -0.4% | 36.9% | 17.8% | 25.8% | 16.7% | 1.6× | 1,845 |
| ADP | $107.9B | 24.8× | — | 4.9× | 6.7% | 46.4% | 20.1% | 73.2% | 40.1% | — | 2,179 |
| TT | $95.7B | 33.1× | 23.6× | 4.5× | 7.5% | — | 13.7% | 34.0% | 22.1% | 1.1× | 1,658 |
| GD | $95.5B | 22.9× | 16.8× | 1.8× | 10.1% | — | 8.0% | 16.4% | 12.5% | 1.3× | 2,123 |
| VRT | $95.4B | 73.1× | 45.2× | 9.3× | 27.7% | 36.3% | 13.0% | 33.8% | 19.4% | 1.4× | 1,748 |
| PWR | $95.2B | 93.6× | 47.2× | 3.3× | 20.3% | 15.0% | 3.6% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 0.4× | 1,659 |
| JCI | $93.4B | 28.5× | — | 4.0× | 2.8% | 36.4% | 13.9% | 25.5% | 14.4% | — | 1,487 |
| HWM | $92.2B | 61.9× | 40.6× | 11.2× | 11.1% | — | 18.3% | 28.2% | 17.9% | 1.3× | 1,399 |
| MMM | $88.0B | 27.6× | 16.9× | 3.5× | 1.5% | 39.9% | 13.0% | 69.1% | 18.8% | 2.1× | 2,051 |
| CSX | $87.6B | 30.6× | 14.1× | 6.2× | -3.1% | — | 20.5% | 22.0% | 22.0% | — | 1,791 |
| WM | $85.1B | 31.5× | 11.9× | 3.4× | 14.2% | 40.4% | 10.7% | 27.1% | 25.3% | 0.1× | 2,262 |
| EMR | $84.4B | 37.1× | — | 4.7× | 3.0% | 52.8% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 6.9% | — | 2,112 |
| UPS | $84.1B | 15.1× | 9.4× | 0.9× | -2.6% | — | 6.3% | 34.3% | 13.8% | 2.2× | 2,025 |
| CTAS | $79.6B | 44.9× | 28.7× | 7.7× | 7.7% | 50.0% | 17.5% | 38.7% | 25.5% | 0.8× | 1,366 |
| ODFL | $36.1B | 35.7× | 20.9× | 6.6× | -5.5% | — | 18.6% | 23.7% | 23.5% | 0.0× | 912 |
Peers = companies sharing ODFL's sector (Industrials) with collected SEC financials. Multiples use the most recent end-of-day close and latest fiscal-year fundamentals (trailing, not forward). Missing cells mean the peer never reported that line item, has no collected price, or has a non-positive denominator. Not investment advice.