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Held by 1,180 of 5,944 reporting institutions (99th percentile) — extremely crowded.
Data as of Q1 2026
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Solve the discounted cash flow backwards, then stress-test the assumptions.
To be worth $68.70 today, the market must believe free cash flow compounds 9.4%/yr for a decade (off $1.5B normalized FCF).
The market's 9.4% is more optimistic than its 7-yr track record.
2-stage DCF · 0.39B shares · net debt $6.0B
mean 1.1% · volatility σ 10% · implied rate exceeded in 1/7 yrs
Central path = implied 9.4%/yr growth; shaded band = ±1σ (10%) of this company's historical FCF volatility, widening with time. The wider the band, the less certain the growth.
Reverse DCF: rather than guessing a fair value, we solve for the growth the current price implies, then you stress-test the assumptions. Enterprise value of the FCF stream, less net debt, ÷ shares. Educational — not a recommendation.
EOD close · as of 2026-09-17
How a revenue dollar becomes profit — FY2025
Each value shows its share of revenue below it (common-size).
| Line Item | FY2025 | FY2024 | FY2023 | FY2022 | FY2021 | FY2020 | FY2019 | FY2018 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $14.43B 100.0% | $14.26B 100.0% | $14.21B 100.0% | $13.69B 100.0% | $14.30B 100.0% | $12.76B 100.0% | $13.12B 100.0% | $12.91B 100.0% |
| Research & Development | $152.0M 1.1% | $152.0M 1.1% | $144.0M 1.0% | $150.0M 1.1% | $159.0M 1.1% | $152.0M 1.2% | $163.0M 1.2% | $181.0M 1.4% |
| Selling, General & Admin | $1.98B 13.7% | $1.86B 13.0% | $1.88B 13.3% | $1.76B 12.9% | $1.95B 13.6% | $1.92B 15.1% | $1.81B 13.8% | $1.74B 13.4% |
| Total Operating Expenses | $12.19B 84.5% | $12.02B 84.3% | $12.04B 84.8% | $11.68B 85.3% | $12.21B 85.4% | $11.05B 86.6% | $11.27B 85.9% | $11.11B 86.0% |
| Operating Income | $2.13B 14.8% | $2.01B 14.1% | $2.19B 15.4% | $2.03B 14.9% | $2.11B 14.7% | $1.64B 12.8% | $1.81B 13.8% | $1.83B 14.2% |
| Interest Expense | $217.0M 1.5% | $183.0M 1.3% | $155.0M 1.1% | $140.0M 1.0% | $136.0M 1.0% | $124.0M 1.0% | $0 0.0% | — |
| Pretax Income | $1.93B 13.4% | $2.04B 14.3% | $2.03B 14.3% | $1.89B 13.8% | $1.96B 13.7% | $1.51B 11.8% | $1.86B 14.2% | $1.89B 14.7% |
| Income Tax Expense | $479.0M 3.3% | $305.0M 2.1% | $533.0M 3.8% | $519.0M 3.8% | $541.0M 3.8% | $455.0M 3.6% | $594.0M 4.5% | $683.0M 5.3% |
| Net Income | $1.38B 9.6% | $1.65B 11.5% | $1.41B 9.9% | $1.25B 9.2% | $1.25B 8.7% | $906.0M 7.1% | $1.12B 8.5% | $1.05B 8.1% |
| Per Share | ||||||||
| EPS (Basic) | $3.52 | $4.10 | $3.42 | $2.98 | $2.91 | $2.09 | $2.55 | $2.42 |
| EPS (Diluted) | $3.50 | $4.07 | $3.39 | $2.96 | $2.89 | $2.08 | $2.55 | $2.42 |
| Weighted Avg Shares (Basic) | 392.8M | 401.7M | 411.4M | 420.0M | 427.7M | 433.2M | 433.1M | 433.1M |
| Weighted Avg Shares (Diluted) | 394.9M | 404.4M | 414.6M | 423.0M | 431.4M | 434.6M | 433.1M | 433.1M |
Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL filings (annual, fiscal year). Quarterly flow items are derived from cumulative filings; balance-sheet figures are as-of each period end. Ratios and margins are computed, not reported.
Is the value real, and is the business safe? Academic scores + earnings quality + solvency, from SEC filings.
5/8 of the 9 checks — 1 couldn't be scored (see above), so the score is out of the 8 with data.
Safe > 2.99 · grey 1.81–2.99 · distress < 1.81
Needs granular two-year detail (receivables, PP&E, D&A, SG&A) — not fully reported.
Earnings are backed by cash (FCF ≥ net income) — high quality. Lower/negative accruals = higher quality (Sloan).
Comfortably covers interest; leverage falling year-over-year.
F-Score (0–9 fundamental momentum), Altman Z (distress risk), and Beneish M (earnings-manipulation screen) are academic models computed from the SEC filings. Screens and context — educational, not recommendations.
What the company returns to shareholders — and whether it's covered by cash.
The dividend is comfortably covered — only 45% of free cash flow, leaving room to grow it and fund buybacks. Last year: $647M dividends + $809M buybacks = $1.5B returned on $1.4B FCF.
6 consecutive years of dividend increases · 22%/yr.
Yields use the latest fiscal-year dividends/buybacks over current market cap. Dividends and buybacks from the SEC cash-flow statement; payout coverage vs net income and free cash flow. Educational — not a recommendation.
How management deployed cash over 8 years — and what it earned on reinvestment.
A cash-return story — far more went to shareholders than back into the business (mature, low-reinvestment).
Reinvestment has been productive — operating income grew well per dollar put in. Current ROIC on all capital: 80%. Rough measure (includes maintenance capex).
Cash uses aggregated from the SEC cash-flow statement over 8 fiscal years. "Return on reinvestment" is a rough proxy — operating-income change ÷ cumulative CapEx + M&A — and includes maintenance capex. Educational — not a recommendation.
How much the company owes, how it's trended, and how comfortably it's serviced.
Cash of $1.1B covers the $842M due within a year 1.3× over. Scheduled principal only (excludes interest & revolver draws). As of 2025-12-31 (10-K).
Green ≤ 1.5× · amber ≤ 3× · red > 3× (leverage relative to cash earnings).
Interest is easily covered by operating profit. Effective rate ~3.0% on $7.1B of debt.
Cash of $1.1B fully covers short-term debt of $1.1B.
Mostly long-term debt (balance-sheet current vs non-current split). See the maturity ladder above for the year-by-year repayment schedule.
Debt, cash, interest and equity from the SEC balance sheet & income statement. Effective rate = interest ÷ average debt. Maturity ladder from the SEC long-term-debt repayment schedule. Educational — not a recommendation.
Total shares institutions bought (green) vs sold (red) each quarter across all holders.
Inferred from quarter-over-quarter change in each fund's 13F position (new stakes count as buys, exits as sells). Not tick-level trades.
Top 40 institutional holders — bubble size is position value, color is the move since last quarter. Hover any holder for detail.
Drag any bubble to rearrange · size = dollar value of the position
Ranked against 651 sector peers with collected financials. Valuation from latest close × latest fiscal-year fundamentals; 13F conviction as of 2026-03-31.
Percentile is “goodness” within the peer set (100 = best). For valuation and leverage that means cheaper / less-levered ranks higher.
| Company | Mkt cap ▼ | P/E | EV/EBITDA | P/S | Rev gr | Gross | Net | ROE | ROIC | Net D/EBITDA | 13F |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LTM | $28.75T | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 160 |
| CAT | $364.2B | 41.6× | 29.1× | 5.4× | 4.3% | 33.8% | 13.1% | 41.7% | 15.4% | 2.7× | 3,616 |
| GE | $328.2B | 38.4× | — | 7.2× | 18.5% | — | 19.0% | 46.6% | 22.2% | — | 3,077 |
| RTX | $264.2B | 39.7× | 18.8× | 3.0× | 9.7% | — | 7.6% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 0.0× | 3,277 |
| BA | $204.4B | 81.4× | 41.0× | 2.3× | 34.5% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 41.0% | 3.3% | 10.0× | 2,435 |
| DE | $181.0B | 36.2× | — | 4.0× | -11.7% | — | 11.0% | 19.4% | 12.6% | — | 2,491 |
| ABBNY | $174.3B | 47.1× | 31.1× | 5.4× | 9.5% | 34.8% | 11.9% | 28.5% | 20.4% | 0.9× | 48 |
| UNP | $166.7B | 23.4× | 16.0× | 6.8× | 1.1% | — | 29.1% | 38.7% | 14.2% | 2.6× | 2,648 |
| ETN | $154.3B | 38.1× | — | 5.6× | 10.3% | 37.6% | 14.9% | 21.0% | 13.9% | — | 2,398 |
| HON | $131.9B | 28.2× | 16.2× | 3.5× | 7.8% | 36.9% | 12.6% | 34.0% | 9.8% | 3.6× | 2,694 |
| LMT | $123.0B | 25.0× | 16.1× | 1.6× | 5.6% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 74.6% | 17.7% | 2.5× | 2,807 |
| PH | $117.9B | 33.9× | 26.6× | 5.9× | -0.4% | 36.9% | 17.8% | 25.8% | 16.7% | 1.6× | 1,845 |
| ADP | $108.7B | 25.0× | — | 5.0× | 6.7% | 46.4% | 20.1% | 73.2% | 40.1% | — | 2,179 |
| GD | $97.3B | 23.3× | 17.1× | 1.9× | 10.1% | — | 8.0% | 16.4% | 12.5% | 1.3× | 2,123 |
| TT | $94.0B | 32.5× | 23.2× | 4.4× | 7.5% | — | 13.7% | 34.0% | 22.1% | 1.1× | 1,658 |
| PWR | $92.6B | 91.1× | 46.0× | 3.3× | 20.3% | 15.0% | 3.6% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 0.4× | 1,659 |
| VRT | $91.6B | 70.2× | 43.4× | 8.9× | 27.7% | 36.3% | 13.0% | 33.8% | 19.4% | 1.4× | 1,748 |
| JCI | $91.6B | 27.9× | — | 3.9× | 2.8% | 36.4% | 13.9% | 25.5% | 14.4% | — | 1,487 |
| HWM | $91.5B | 61.4× | 40.3× | 11.1× | 11.1% | — | 18.3% | 28.2% | 17.9% | 1.3× | 1,399 |
| CSX | $89.1B | 31.1× | 14.4× | 6.3× | -3.1% | — | 20.5% | 22.0% | 22.0% | — | 1,791 |
| MMM | $86.2B | 27.1× | 16.6× | 3.5× | 1.5% | 39.9% | 13.0% | 69.1% | 18.8% | 2.1× | 2,051 |
| WM | $86.2B | 31.9× | 12.1× | 3.4× | 14.2% | 40.4% | 10.7% | 27.1% | 25.3% | 0.1× | 2,262 |
| UPS | $83.9B | 15.1× | 9.4× | 0.9× | -2.6% | — | 6.3% | 34.3% | 13.8% | 2.2× | 2,025 |
| EMR | $82.1B | 36.1× | — | 4.6× | 3.0% | 52.8% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 6.9% | — | 2,112 |
| CTAS | $80.4B | 45.3× | 28.9× | 7.8× | 7.7% | 50.0% | 17.5% | 38.7% | 25.5% | 0.8× | 1,366 |
| OTIS | $27.2B | 19.8× | 14.8× | 1.9× | 1.2% | — | 9.6% | -25.7% | 80.3% | 3.2× | 1,180 |
Peers = companies sharing OTIS's sector (Industrials) with collected SEC financials. Multiples use the most recent end-of-day close and latest fiscal-year fundamentals (trailing, not forward). Missing cells mean the peer never reported that line item, has no collected price, or has a non-positive denominator. Not investment advice.
EOD close · as of 2026-09-17
Where each multiple sits in its own 6-yr range · 0th pct blended
Dot = today · shaded = middle 50% · line = median. Lower percentile = cheaper vs its own 6-yr history.
Is the profit real, and how strong is the balance sheet?
FY2025 · every deduction from revenue to net income
DuPont — the three levers
Returns are margin-driven, not leverage-driven — higher quality.
What the company owes vs. what it holds
Year-by-year maturities aren't in SEC companyfacts (footnote-only), so this shows the debt/cash structure and net leverage instead.
Latest year: profit growth vs revenue growth
High operating leverage: profit moved 5.2× as fast as sales — great in an upturn, painful in a downturn.
Each line as % of revenue — the trend in color
| % of revenue | FY2018 | FY2019 | FY2020 | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R&D | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| SG&A | 13.4 | 13.8 | 15.1 | 13.6 | 12.9 | 13.3 | 13.0 | 13.7 |
| Operating Income | 14.2 | 13.8 | 12.8 | 14.7 | 14.9 | 15.4 | 14.1 | 14.8 |
| Income Tax | 5.3 | 4.5 | 3.6 | 3.8 | 3.8 | 3.8 | 2.1 | 3.3 |
| Net Income | 8.1 | 8.5 | 7.1 | 8.7 | 9.2 | 9.9 | 11.5 | 9.6 |
Green = margin-favorable vs the row's own range · red = unfavorable.
The metrics that matter, over time
A 30-second read on OTIS: price, valuation, headline fundamentals, and an auto-generated scorecard from SEC filings. Flags are rule-based signals, not recommendations.
Total return (dividends reinvested) vs the market, from quarter-end prices.
Above 0 = ahead of the S&P 500 since the window start; below 0 = behind. Rising means it's pulling ahead.
How far the stock fell below its prior peak. Deeper, longer drawdowns = a rougher ride to the same return.
Quarter-end, dividend-adjusted (total return). Beta & volatility from quarterly returns (annualized). Benchmark is the S&P 500 (SPY total return). Annual returns compound the quarters ending in each calendar year; the first and last years in a window may be partial. Past performance doesn't predict future results.