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Held by 406 of 5,944 reporting institutions (96th percentile) — extremely crowded.
Data as of Q1 2026
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Solve the discounted cash flow backwards, then stress-test the assumptions.
To be worth $77.86 today, the market must believe free cash flow compounds 10.3%/yr for a decade (off $479M normalized FCF).
The market's 10.3% is more optimistic than its 9-yr track record.
2-stage DCF · 0.06B shares · net debt $7.2B
mean 30.6% · volatility σ 103% · implied rate exceeded in 3/9 yrs
Central path = implied 10.3%/yr growth; shaded band = ±1σ (103%) of this company's historical FCF volatility, widening with time. The wider the band, the less certain the growth.
Reverse DCF: rather than guessing a fair value, we solve for the growth the current price implies, then you stress-test the assumptions. Enterprise value of the FCF stream, less net debt, ÷ shares. Educational — not a recommendation.
Total shares institutions bought (green) vs sold (red) each quarter across all holders.
Inferred from quarter-over-quarter change in each fund's 13F position (new stakes count as buys, exits as sells). Not tick-level trades.
EOD close · as of 2026-09-17
How a revenue dollar becomes profit — FY2025
Each value shows its share of revenue below it (common-size).
| Line Item | FY2025 | FY2024 | FY2023 | FY2022 | FY2021 | FY2020 | FY2019 | FY2018 | FY2017 | FY2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $8.16B 100.0% | $7.92B 100.0% | $6.99B 100.0% | $5.85B 100.0% | $4.98B 100.0% | $4.71B 100.0% | $5.68B 100.0% | $6.26B 100.0% | $5.23B 100.0% | $5.03B 100.0% |
| Cost of Revenue | $5.82B 71.3% | $5.62B 70.9% | $5.11B 73.1% | $4.38B 74.9% | $3.55B 71.3% | $3.26B 69.2% | $3.89B 68.5% | $4.40B 70.4% | $3.65B 69.9% | $3.48B 69.2% |
| Cost of Products | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | $3.65B 69.9% | $3.48B 69.2% |
| Gross Profit | $2.34B 28.7% | $2.30B 29.1% | $1.88B 26.9% | $1.47B 25.1% | $1.43B 28.7% | $1.45B 30.8% | $1.79B 31.5% | $1.85B 29.6% | $1.57B 30.1% | $1.55B 30.8% |
| Research & Development | $31.9M 0.4% | $29.0M 0.4% | $22.9M 0.3% | $18.9M 0.3% | $21.9M 0.4% | $19.1M 0.4% | $25.0M 0.4% | $25.1M 0.4% | $18.6M 0.4% | $16.3M 0.3% |
| Selling, General & Admin | $1.31B 16.0% | $1.33B 16.8% | $1.08B 15.4% | $904.7M 15.5% | $807.0M 16.2% | $782.5M 16.6% | $911.6M 16.0% | $976.4M 15.6% | $867.7M 16.6% | $839.7M 16.7% |
| Operating Income | $799.3M 9.8% | $793.5M 10.0% | $598.9M 8.6% | $415.6M 7.1% | $487.7M 9.8% | $536.5M 11.4% | $781.0M 13.7% | $573.5M 9.2% | $516.7M 9.9% | $545.7M 10.9% |
| Interest Expense | $361.4M 4.4% | $316.5M 4.0% | $279.1M 4.0% | $317.8M 5.4% | $332.6M 6.7% | $333.9M 7.1% | $322.4M 5.7% | $387.3M 6.2% | $314.8M 6.0% | $306.5M 6.1% |
| Interest & Investment Income | $26.5M 0.3% | $14.8M 0.2% | $20.9M 0.3% | $4.4M 0.1% | $600K 0.0% | $6.2M 0.1% | $7.9M 0.1% | $7.4M 0.1% | $6.8M 0.1% | $2.7M 0.1% |
| Other Income (Expense), net | $5.0M 0.1% | $12.9M 0.2% | $12.7M 0.2% | $19.8M 0.3% | $29.3M 0.6% | $11.5M 0.2% | -$306.6M -5.4% | $95.6M 1.5% | $91.8M 1.8% | -$182.9M -3.6% |
| Pretax Income | $444.0M 5.4% | $472.1M 6.0% | $412.9M 5.9% | $895.3M 15.3% | $214.0M 4.3% | -$45.9M -1.0% | $159.1M 2.8% | $264.7M 4.2% | $74.4M 1.4% | -$30.1M -0.6% |
| Income Tax Expense | $108.7M 1.3% | $105.1M 1.3% | $99.7M 1.4% | $85.7M 1.5% | $58.2M 1.2% | -$21.3M -0.5% | -$3.9M -0.1% | -$204.0M -3.3% | $26.1M 0.5% | -$26.8M -0.5% |
| Net Income | $335.7M 4.1% | $366.7M 4.6% | $301.3M 4.3% | $756.6M 12.9% | $166.7M 3.3% | $800K 0.0% | $124.7M 2.2% | $467.3M 7.5% | $48.3M 0.9% | -$3.3M -0.1% |
| Per Share | ||||||||||
| EPS (Basic) | $5.98 | $6.12 | $5.21 | $12.42 | $2.42 | $0.01 | $1.72 | $6.87 | $0.51 | $-0.41 |
| EPS (Diluted) | $5.51 | $5.64 | $4.82 | $12.09 | $2.38 | $0.01 | $1.66 | $6.16 | $0.50 | $-0.41 |
| Weighted Avg Shares (Basic) | 56.1M | 59.9M | 60.0M | 60.9M | 64.2M | 68.9M | 70.8M | 66.6M | 67.8M | 68.8M |
| Weighted Avg Shares (Diluted) | 62.9M | 66.9M | 67.0M | 62.7M | 65.3M | 68.9M | 75.1M | 75.9M | 69.9M | 68.8M |
Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL filings (annual, fiscal year). Quarterly flow items are derived from cumulative filings; balance-sheet figures are as-of each period end. Ratios and margins are computed, not reported.
Is the value real, and is the business safe? Academic scores + earnings quality + solvency, from SEC filings.
Safe > 2.99 · grey 1.81–2.99 · distress < 1.81
Needs granular two-year detail (receivables, PP&E, D&A, SG&A) — not fully reported.
Earnings are backed by cash (FCF ≥ net income) — high quality. Lower/negative accruals = higher quality (Sloan).
Interest coverage is thin — monitor; leverage rising year-over-year.
F-Score (0–9 fundamental momentum), Altman Z (distress risk), and Beneish M (earnings-manipulation screen) are academic models computed from the SEC filings. Screens and context — educational, not recommendations.
What the company returns to shareholders — and whether it's covered by cash.
No dividend to cover. Last year: $0 dividends + $0 buybacks = $0 returned on $488M FCF.
Yields use the latest fiscal-year dividends/buybacks over current market cap. Dividends and buybacks from the SEC cash-flow statement; payout coverage vs net income and free cash flow. Educational — not a recommendation.
How management deployed cash over 10 years — and what it earned on reinvestment.
A reinvestment story — most cash went back into growth rather than to shareholders.
Modest payoff on reinvested capital. Current ROIC on all capital: 3%. Rough measure (includes maintenance capex).
Cash uses aggregated from the SEC cash-flow statement over 10 fiscal years. "Return on reinvestment" is a rough proxy — operating-income change ÷ cumulative CapEx + M&A — and includes maintenance capex. Educational — not a recommendation.
How much the company owes, how it's trended, and how comfortably it's serviced.
Cash of $177M covers the $1M due within a year 147.3× over. Scheduled principal only (excludes interest & revolver draws). As of 2025-09-30 (10-K).
Green ≤ 1.5× · amber ≤ 3× · red > 3× (leverage relative to cash earnings).
Coverage is adequate but not comfortable. Effective rate ~4.9% on $7.4B of debt.
Cash of $177M fully covers short-term debt of $1M.
Mostly long-term debt (balance-sheet current vs non-current split). See the maturity ladder above for the year-by-year repayment schedule.
Debt, cash, interest and equity from the SEC balance sheet & income statement. Effective rate = interest ÷ average debt. Maturity ladder from the SEC long-term-debt repayment schedule. Educational — not a recommendation.
Top 40 institutional holders — bubble size is position value, color is the move since last quarter. Hover any holder for detail.
Drag any bubble to rearrange · size = dollar value of the position
Total return (dividends reinvested) vs the market, from quarter-end prices.
Above 0 = ahead of the S&P 500 since the window start; below 0 = behind. Rising means it's pulling ahead.
How far the stock fell below its prior peak. Deeper, longer drawdowns = a rougher ride to the same return.
Quarter-end, dividend-adjusted (total return). Beta & volatility from quarterly returns (annualized). Benchmark is the S&P 500 (SPY total return). Annual returns compound the quarters ending in each calendar year; the first and last years in a window may be partial. Past performance doesn't predict future results.
Ranked against 229 sector peers with collected financials. Valuation from latest close × latest fiscal-year fundamentals; 13F conviction as of 2026-03-31.
Percentile is “goodness” within the peer set (100 = best). For valuation and leverage that means cheaper / less-levered ranks higher.
| Company | Mkt cap ▼ | P/E | EV/EBITDA | P/S | Rev gr | Gross | Net | ROE | ROIC | Net D/EBITDA | 13F |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WMT | $858.2B | 39.4× | — | 1.2× | 4.7% | 24.9% | 3.1% | 22.0% | 15.5% | — | 4,273 |
| COST | $396.1B | 49.1× | 30.3× | 1.4× | 8.2% | 12.8% | 2.9% | 27.8% | 23.2% | 0.5× | 4,050 |
| KO | $378.1B | 28.9× | 24.8× | 7.9× | 1.9% | 61.6% | 27.3% | 40.7% | 40.7% | — | 3,427 |
| PG | $345.5B | 22.6× | 16.3× | 4.1× | 0.3% | 51.2% | 19.0% | 30.6% | 18.4% | 1.5× | 3,849 |
| PM | $298.3B | 26.4× | 17.4× | 7.3× | 7.3% | 67.1% | 27.9% | -114% | -115% | 0.0× | 2,744 |
| PEP | $183.9B | 22.4× | 15.0× | 2.0× | 2.3% | 54.1% | 8.8% | 40.4% | 11.8% | 3.3× | 3,404 |
| MO | $117.4B | 17.0× | 13.6× | 5.0× | -3.1% | 62.5% | 29.8% | -198% | 31.3% | 2.5× | 2,375 |
| MDLZ | $80.7B | 33.0× | 18.9× | 2.1× | 5.8% | 28.4% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 0.6× | 1,821 |
| TGT | $70.0B | 19.0× | 10.2× | 0.7× | -1.7% | 27.9% | 3.5% | 22.9% | 12.1% | 1.7× | 1,771 |
| CL | $69.7B | 33.1× | 19.4× | 3.4× | 1.4% | 60.1% | 10.5% | 3948% | 26.5% | 2.0× | 1,873 |
| MNST | $43.6B | — | 16.4× | 5.3× | 10.7% | 55.8% | 23.0% | 23.1% | 23.1% | — | 1,169 |
| KDP | $43.2B | 20.8× | 14.5× | 2.6× | 8.2% | 54.2% | 12.5% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 4.0× | 784 |
| FMX | $41.2B | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 290 |
| ADM | $41.1B | 38.1× | — | 0.5× | -6.2% | 6.3% | 1.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | — | 1,070 |
| JBS | $40.2B | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 241 |
| KR | $39.9B | 39.7× | 10.0× | 0.3× | 0.4% | — | 0.7% | 17.1% | 4.7% | 3.0× | 1,327 |
| SYY | $38.4B | 21.1× | 9.6× | 0.5× | 3.2% | 18.4% | 2.2% | 99.9% | 99.9% | — | 1,489 |
| HSY | $34.6B | — | 20.3× | 3.0× | 4.4% | 33.5% | 7.6% | 19.0% | 9.3% | 2.5× | 1,406 |
| EL | $34.4B | — | 782.5× | 2.4× | -8.2% | 74.0% | -7.9% | -29.3% | -29.3% | 0.1× | 800 |
| KVUE | $34.2B | 23.5× | 11.6× | 2.3× | -2.1% | 58.1% | 9.7% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 0.5× | 967 |
| KMB | $32.6B | 16.2× | 10.3× | 2.0× | -2.1% | 36.0% | 12.3% | 135% | 92.0% | 0.2× | 1,585 |
| KHC | $29.3B | — | — | 1.2× | -3.5% | 33.3% | -23.4% | -14.0% | -14.0% | — | 1,059 |
| DG | $27.1B | 18.0× | 8.0× | 0.6× | 5.2% | 30.7% | 3.5% | 17.8% | 17.8% | — | 1,099 |
| KOF | $23.6B | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 249 |
| CHD | $23.2B | 31.6× | 18.9× | 3.7× | 1.6% | 44.7% | 11.9% | 18.4% | 11.9% | 1.7× | 1,004 |
| POST | $4.4B | 14.3× | 8.8× | 0.5× | 3.0% | 28.7% | 4.1% | 8.9% | 3.0% | 5.6× | 406 |
Peers = companies sharing POST's sector (Consumer Defensive) with collected SEC financials. Multiples use the most recent end-of-day close and latest fiscal-year fundamentals (trailing, not forward). Missing cells mean the peer never reported that line item, has no collected price, or has a non-positive denominator. Not investment advice.
EOD close · as of 2026-09-17
Where each multiple sits in its own 14-yr range · 23th pct blended
Dot = today · shaded = middle 50% · line = median. Lower percentile = cheaper vs its own 14-yr history.
Is the profit real, and how strong is the balance sheet?
FY2025 · every deduction from revenue to net income
DuPont — the three levers
Watch the leverage lever — a chunk of ROE comes from the balance sheet.
What the company owes vs. what it holds
Year-by-year maturities aren't in SEC companyfacts (footnote-only), so this shows the debt/cash structure and net leverage instead.
Latest year: profit growth vs revenue growth
Low operating leverage — profit tracks sales closely (stable, less cyclical).
Each line as % of revenue — the trend in color
| % of revenue | FY2018 | FY2019 | FY2020 | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cost of Revenue | 70.4 | 68.5 | 69.2 | 71.3 | 74.9 | 73.1 | 70.9 | 71.3 |
| Gross Profit | 29.6 | 31.5 | 30.8 | 28.7 | 25.1 | 26.9 | 29.1 | 28.7 |
| R&D | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| SG&A | 15.6 | 16.0 | 16.6 | 16.2 | 15.5 | 15.4 | 16.8 | 16.0 |
| Operating Income | 9.2 | 13.7 | 11.4 | 9.8 | 7.1 | 8.6 | 10.0 | 9.8 |
| Income Tax | -3.3 | -0.1 | -0.5 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| Net Income | 7.5 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 3.3 | 12.9 | 4.3 | 4.6 | 4.1 |
Green = margin-favorable vs the row's own range · red = unfavorable.
The metrics that matter, over time
A 30-second read on POST: price, valuation, headline fundamentals, and an auto-generated scorecard from SEC filings. Flags are rule-based signals, not recommendations.