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Strong institutional distribution: ownership decreased -3.12% quarter-over-quarter.
Data as of Q1 2026
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Total shares institutions bought (green) vs sold (red) each quarter across all holders.
Inferred from quarter-over-quarter change in each fund's 13F position (new stakes count as buys, exits as sells). Not tick-level trades.
Solve the discounted cash flow backwards, then stress-test the assumptions.
To be worth $2.65 today, the market must believe free cash flow compounds -29.5%/yr for a decade (off $3M normalized FCF).
2-stage DCF · 0.01B shares · net debt -$16M
mean 49.8% · volatility σ 457% · implied rate exceeded in 3/8 yrs
Central path = implied -29.5%/yr growth; shaded band = ±1σ (457%) of this company's historical FCF volatility, widening with time. The wider the band, the less certain the growth.
Reverse DCF: rather than guessing a fair value, we solve for the growth the current price implies, then you stress-test the assumptions. Enterprise value of the FCF stream, less net debt, ÷ shares. Educational — not a recommendation.
Total return (dividends reinvested) vs the market, from quarter-end prices.
Above 0 = ahead of the S&P 500 since the window start; below 0 = behind. Rising means it's pulling ahead.
How far the stock fell below its prior peak. Deeper, longer drawdowns = a rougher ride to the same return.
Quarter-end, dividend-adjusted (total return). Beta & volatility from quarterly returns (annualized). Benchmark is the S&P 500 (SPY total return). Annual returns compound the quarters ending in each calendar year; the first and last years in a window may be partial. Past performance doesn't predict future results.
Ranked against 490 sector peers with collected financials. Valuation from latest close × latest fiscal-year fundamentals; 13F conviction as of 2026-03-31.
Percentile is “goodness” within the peer set (100 = best). For valuation and leverage that means cheaper / less-levered ranks higher.
| Company | Mkt cap ▼ | P/E | EV/EBITDA | P/S | Rev gr | Gross | Net | ROE | ROIC | Net D/EBITDA | 13F |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMZN | $2.70T | — | — | — | — | — | — | 20.5% | 16.2% | — | 5,764 |
| TSLA | $1.37T | 339.1× | 145.5× | 14.5× | -2.9% | 18.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 0.9× | 4,029 |
| TM | $614.2B | 60.0× | 24.8× | 2.6× | 3.8% | 18.4% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 1.7× | 665 |
| PDD | $442.6B | 32.9× | 31.9× | 7.2× | 14.5% | 56.3% | 22.7% | 23.7% | 23.7% | — | 548 |
| HD | $301.3B | 21.3× | 14.3× | 1.8× | 3.2% | 33.3% | 8.6% | 110% | 22.8% | 2.0× | 3,970 |
| BABA | $201.7B | 135.7× | — | 1.4× | 8.1% | 39.8% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.8% | — | 1,298 |
| TJX | $140.1B | 26.0× | — | 2.3× | 7.1% | 31.0% | 9.1% | 53.9% | 42.1% | — | 2,608 |
| HTHT | $132.7B | 187.9× | 114.3× | — | — | — | — | 39.7% | 27.3% | 0.7× | 258 |
| SBUX | $109.9B | 59.3× | 26.8× | 3.0× | 2.8% | — | 5.0% | -22.9% | 23.3% | 3.4× | 2,252 |
| LOW | $108.9B | 16.4× | 12.0× | 1.3× | 3.1% | 33.5% | 7.7% | -67.1% | 22.3% | 3.2× | 2,591 |
| ABNB | $101.7B | — | 37.9× | 8.3× | 10.3% | 83.0% | 20.5% | 30.6% | 24.6% | 0.8× | 1,246 |
| MELI | $92.5B | 46.3× | — | 3.2× | 39.1% | 44.5% | 6.9% | 29.6% | 12.5% | — | 1,380 |
| MAR | $88.8B | 35.1× | 20.6× | 3.4× | 4.3% | — | 9.9% | -69.0% | -69.4% | 0.0× | 1,559 |
| LKNCY | $86.3B | 168.2× | 90.8× | 12.3× | 48.9% | — | 7.3% | 23.0% | 23.0% | — | 9 |
| GM | $78.3B | 26.5× | 3.9× | 0.4× | -1.3% | — | 1.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | — | 1,447 |
| ROST | $74.0B | 34.7× | 22.0× | 3.3× | 7.7% | 27.7% | 9.4% | 34.7% | 27.8% | 0.5× | 1,276 |
| ORLY | $71.5B | 28.6× | 19.5× | 4.0× | 6.4% | 51.6% | 14.3% | -333% | 48.3% | 1.5× | 1,569 |
| HLT | $69.7B | 49.4× | 24.0× | 5.8× | 7.7% | — | 12.1% | -27.0% | -27.0% | — | 1,126 |
| RCL | $67.7B | 16.0× | — | 3.8× | 8.8% | 49.4% | 23.8% | 42.5% | 32.3% | — | 1,114 |
| SE | $62.0B | 40.2× | 24.6× | 2.7× | 36.4% | 44.7% | 6.9% | 12.6% | 12.6% | — | 718 |
| F | $54.2B | — | 4.5× | 0.3× | 1.2% | 6.8% | -4.4% | -22.7% | -22.7% | — | — |
| NKE | $53.9B | 17.3× | — | 1.2× | 0.2% | 42.9% | 6.7% | 20.9% | 13.6% | — | 1,848 |
| EBAY | $50.7B | 26.0× | 18.4× | 4.6× | 7.9% | 71.5% | 18.3% | 45.3% | 38.8% | 0.3× | 1,182 |
| AZO | $47.8B | 19.6× | 13.3× | 2.5× | 2.4% | 52.6% | 13.2% | -73.2% | 46.4% | 2.1× | 1,245 |
| CMG | $44.8B | 29.4× | 19.4× | 3.8× | 5.4% | — | 12.9% | 54.3% | 54.3% | 0.0× | 1,203 |
| TLF | $21M | 2.4× | — | 0.3× | 2.6% | 57.0% | 11.9% | 17.3% | 17.3% | — | 23 |
Peers = companies sharing TLF's sector (Consumer Cyclical) with collected SEC financials. Multiples use the most recent end-of-day close and latest fiscal-year fundamentals (trailing, not forward). Missing cells mean the peer never reported that line item, has no collected price, or has a non-positive denominator. Not investment advice.
EOD close · as of 2026-09-17
How a revenue dollar becomes profit — FY2025
Each value shows its share of revenue below it (common-size).
| Line Item | FY2025 | FY2024 | FY2023 | FY2022 | FY2021 | FY2020 | FY2019 | FY2018 | FY2017 | FY2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $76.3M 100.0% | $74.4M 100.0% | $76.2M 100.0% | $80.3M 100.0% | $82.7M 100.0% | $64.1M 100.0% | $74.9M 100.0% | $83.2M 100.0% | $82.4M 100.0% | $82.9M 100.0% |
| Cost of Revenue | $32.8M 43.0% | $32.6M 43.8% | $31.1M 40.8% | $33.8M 42.1% | $35.7M 43.1% | $28.0M 43.7% | $33.0M 44.0% | $32.3M 38.8% | $33.3M 40.4% | $31.2M 37.6% |
| Cost of Products | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | $30.2M 36.7% | $31.2M 37.6% |
| Gross Profit | $43.5M 57.0% | $41.8M 56.2% | $45.2M 59.2% | $46.5M 57.9% | $47.0M 56.9% | $36.1M 56.3% | $42.0M 56.0% | $50.9M 61.2% | $49.1M 59.6% | $51.7M 62.4% |
| Total Operating Expenses | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | $11.1M 13.3% | $44.9M 54.4% | $41.4M 49.9% |
| Operating Income | -$963K -1.3% | $628K 0.8% | $4.4M 5.8% | $1.4M 1.7% | $2.3M 2.8% | -$6.3M -9.9% | -$2.6M -3.5% | $6.0M 7.2% | $6.4M 7.7% | $10.3M 12.4% |
| Interest Expense | — | — | — | — | $16K 0.0% | $7K 0.0% | $36K 0.0% | $305K 0.4% | $206K 0.2% | $155K 0.2% |
| Other Income (Expense), net | $13.3M 17.4% | $463K 0.6% | $135K 0.2% | $20K 0.0% | -$107K -0.1% | $69K 0.1% | $4K 0.0% | $249K 0.3% | -$38K -0.0% | -$98K -0.1% |
| Pretax Income | $12.3M 16.1% | $1.1M 1.5% | $4.5M 6.0% | $1.4M 1.8% | $2.2M 2.7% | -$6.3M -9.8% | -$2.6M -3.5% | $3.7M 4.5% | $7.2M 8.7% | $10.2M 12.3% |
| Income Tax Expense | $3.2M 4.2% | $264K 0.4% | $777K 1.0% | $181K 0.2% | $839K 1.0% | -$1.4M -2.2% | -$690K -0.9% | $1.8M 2.2% | $3.9M 4.7% | $3.8M 4.6% |
| Net Income | $9.1M 11.9% | $827K 1.1% | $3.8M 5.0% | $1.2M 1.5% | $1.4M 1.6% | -$4.9M -7.6% | -$1.9M -2.5% | $4.4M 5.3% | $2.5M 3.0% | $6.4M 7.7% |
| Per Share | ||||||||||
| EPS (Basic) | $1.11 | $0.10 | $0.45 | $0.15 | $0.16 | $-0.54 | $-0.21 | $0.48 | $0.27 | $0.69 |
| EPS (Diluted) | $1.10 | $0.09 | $0.45 | $0.15 | $0.16 | $-0.54 | $-0.21 | $0.48 | $0.27 | $0.69 |
| Weighted Avg Shares (Basic) | 8.2M | 8.5M | 8.3M | 8.4M | 8.7M | 9.1M | 9.0M | 9.2M | 9.2M | 9.3M |
| Weighted Avg Shares (Diluted) | 8.3M | 8.8M | 8.4M | 8.4M | 8.7M | 9.1M | 9.0M | 9.2M | 9.2M | 9.3M |
Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL filings (annual, fiscal year). Quarterly flow items are derived from cumulative filings; balance-sheet figures are as-of each period end. Ratios and margins are computed, not reported.
Is the value real, and is the business safe? Academic scores + earnings quality + solvency, from SEC filings.
5/8 of the 9 checks — 1 couldn't be scored (see above), so the score is out of the 8 with data.
Insufficient balance-sheet detail (needs retained earnings, working capital, equity).
Eight indices comparing this year to last (receivables, margins, asset quality, growth, accruals, leverage). Above −1.78 suggests possible manipulation; below −2.22 is clean.
A screen, not proof — high growth alone can raise it.
Cash conversion lags reported earnings — watch accruals. Lower/negative accruals = higher quality (Sloan).
Coverage data unavailable.
F-Score (0–9 fundamental momentum), Altman Z (distress risk), and Beneish M (earnings-manipulation screen) are academic models computed from the SEC filings. Screens and context — educational, not recommendations.
What the company returns to shareholders — and whether it's covered by cash.
Free-cash-flow coverage unavailable. Last year: $13M dividends + $1M buybacks = $14M returned on -$8M FCF.
1 consecutive years of dividend increases.
Yields use the latest fiscal-year dividends/buybacks over current market cap. Dividends and buybacks from the SEC cash-flow statement; payout coverage vs net income and free cash flow. Educational — not a recommendation.
How management deployed cash over 10 years — and what it earned on reinvestment.
A balanced mix of reinvestment and shareholder returns.
Operating income fell despite reinvestment — a warning on capital productivity. Current ROIC on all capital: 17%. Rough measure (includes maintenance capex).
Cash uses aggregated from the SEC cash-flow statement over 10 fiscal years. "Return on reinvestment" is a rough proxy — operating-income change ÷ cumulative CapEx + M&A — and includes maintenance capex. Educational — not a recommendation.
How much the company owes, how it's trended, and how comfortably it's serviced.
Cash of $16M covers all $3M of scheduled principal — no refinancing pressure. Scheduled principal only (excludes interest & revolver draws). As of 2012-12-31 (10-K/A).
Green ≤ 1.5× · amber ≤ 3× · red > 3× (leverage relative to cash earnings).
Interest is easily covered by operating profit. Effective rate ~3.9% on $415000 of debt. Interest last disclosed in FY2021 (no longer broken out).
Cash vs short-term debt unavailable.
Short-term / long-term split not separately reported.
Debt, cash, interest and equity from the SEC balance sheet & income statement. Effective rate = interest ÷ average debt. Maturity ladder from the SEC long-term-debt repayment schedule. Educational — not a recommendation.
EOD close · as of 2026-09-17
Nothing notable to watch.
Where each multiple sits in its own 14-yr range · 24th pct blended
Dot = today · shaded = middle 50% · line = median. Lower percentile = cheaper vs its own 14-yr history.
Is the profit real, and how strong is the balance sheet?
FY2025 · every deduction from revenue to net income
DuPont — the three levers
Returns are margin-driven, not leverage-driven — higher quality.
What the company owes vs. what it holds
Year-by-year maturities aren't in SEC companyfacts (footnote-only), so this shows the debt/cash structure and net leverage instead.
Latest year: profit growth vs revenue growth
Profit and sales moved in opposite directions this year.
Each line as % of revenue — the trend in color
| % of revenue | FY2018 | FY2019 | FY2020 | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cost of Revenue | 38.8 | 44.0 | 43.7 | 43.1 | 42.1 | 40.8 | 43.8 | 43.0 |
| Gross Profit | 61.2 | 56.0 | 56.3 | 56.9 | 57.9 | 59.2 | 56.2 | 57.0 |
| Operating Income | 7.2 | -3.5 | -9.9 | 2.8 | 1.7 | 5.8 | 0.8 | -1.3 |
| Income Tax | 2.2 | -0.9 | -2.2 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 4.2 |
| Net Income | 5.3 | -2.5 | -7.6 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 5.0 | 1.1 | 11.9 |
Green = margin-favorable vs the row's own range · red = unfavorable.
The metrics that matter, over time
A 30-second read on TLF: price, valuation, headline fundamentals, and an auto-generated scorecard from SEC filings. Flags are rule-based signals, not recommendations.
Top 23 institutional holders — bubble size is position value, color is the move since last quarter. Hover any holder for detail.
Drag any bubble to rearrange · size = dollar value of the position