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Held by 2,025 of 5,944 reporting institutions (100th percentile) — extremely crowded.
Data as of Q1 2026
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Total shares institutions bought (green) vs sold (red) each quarter across all holders.
Inferred from quarter-over-quarter change in each fund's 13F position (new stakes count as buys, exits as sells). Not tick-level trades.
Solve the discounted cash flow backwards, then stress-test the assumptions.
To be worth $100.17 today, the market must believe free cash flow compounds 7.2%/yr for a decade (off $5.4B normalized FCF).
The market's 7.2% is more optimistic than its 9-yr track record.
2-stage DCF · 0.85B shares · net debt $18.3B
mean -11.8% · volatility σ 105% · implied rate exceeded in 3/8 yrs
Central path = implied 7.2%/yr growth; shaded band = ±1σ (105%) of this company's historical FCF volatility, widening with time. The wider the band, the less certain the growth.
Reverse DCF: rather than guessing a fair value, we solve for the growth the current price implies, then you stress-test the assumptions. Enterprise value of the FCF stream, less net debt, ÷ shares. Educational — not a recommendation.
Total return (dividends reinvested) vs the market, from quarter-end prices.
Above 0 = ahead of the S&P 500 since the window start; below 0 = behind. Rising means it's pulling ahead.
How far the stock fell below its prior peak. Deeper, longer drawdowns = a rougher ride to the same return.
Quarter-end, dividend-adjusted (total return). Beta & volatility from quarterly returns (annualized). Benchmark is the S&P 500 (SPY total return). Annual returns compound the quarters ending in each calendar year; the first and last years in a window may be partial. Past performance doesn't predict future results.
Ranked against 651 sector peers with collected financials. Valuation from latest close × latest fiscal-year fundamentals; 13F conviction as of 2026-03-31.
Percentile is “goodness” within the peer set (100 = best). For valuation and leverage that means cheaper / less-levered ranks higher.
| Company | Mkt cap ▼ | P/E | EV/EBITDA | P/S | Rev gr | Gross | Net | ROE | ROIC | Net D/EBITDA | 13F |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LTM | $29.49T | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 160 |
| CAT | $371.6B | 42.5× | 29.7× | 5.5× | 4.3% | 33.8% | 13.1% | 41.7% | 15.4% | 2.7× | 3,616 |
| GE | $328.8B | 38.5× | — | 7.2× | 18.5% | — | 19.0% | 46.6% | 22.2% | — | 3,077 |
| RTX | $259.8B | 39.0× | 18.5× | 2.9× | 9.7% | — | 7.6% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 0.0× | 3,277 |
| BA | $199.4B | 79.4× | 40.2× | 2.2× | 34.5% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 41.0% | 3.3% | 10.0× | 2,435 |
| DE | $185.4B | 37.1× | — | 4.1× | -11.7% | — | 11.0% | 19.4% | 12.6% | — | 2,491 |
| ABBNY | $177.4B | 47.9× | 31.6× | 5.5× | 9.5% | 34.8% | 11.9% | 28.5% | 20.4% | 0.9× | 48 |
| UNP | $167.6B | 23.6× | 16.1× | 6.8× | 1.1% | — | 29.1% | 38.7% | 14.2% | 2.6× | 2,648 |
| ETN | $158.8B | 39.2× | — | 5.8× | 10.3% | 37.6% | 14.9% | 21.0% | 13.9% | — | 2,398 |
| HON | $131.2B | 28.1× | 16.1× | 3.5× | 7.8% | 36.9% | 12.6% | 34.0% | 9.8% | 3.6× | 2,694 |
| LMT | $123.2B | 25.0× | 16.1× | 1.6× | 5.6% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 74.6% | 17.7% | 2.5× | 2,807 |
| PH | $118.7B | 34.1× | 26.8× | 6.0× | -0.4% | 36.9% | 17.8% | 25.8% | 16.7% | 1.6× | 1,845 |
| ADP | $108.3B | 24.9× | — | 4.9× | 6.7% | 46.4% | 20.1% | 73.2% | 40.1% | — | 2,179 |
| GD | $96.2B | 23.0× | 16.9× | 1.8× | 10.1% | — | 8.0% | 16.4% | 12.5% | 1.3× | 2,123 |
| TT | $94.4B | 32.6× | 23.3× | 4.4× | 7.5% | — | 13.7% | 34.0% | 22.1% | 1.1× | 1,658 |
| VRT | $92.4B | 70.8× | 43.8× | 9.0× | 27.7% | 36.3% | 13.0% | 33.8% | 19.4% | 1.4× | 1,748 |
| PWR | $92.2B | 90.7× | 45.8× | 3.2× | 20.3% | 15.0% | 3.6% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 0.4× | 1,659 |
| JCI | $91.9B | 28.0× | — | 3.9× | 2.8% | 36.4% | 13.9% | 25.5% | 14.4% | — | 1,487 |
| HWM | $90.7B | 60.9× | 39.9× | 11.0× | 11.1% | — | 18.3% | 28.2% | 17.9% | 1.3× | 1,399 |
| CSX | $89.1B | 31.1× | 14.4× | 6.3× | -3.1% | — | 20.5% | 22.0% | 22.0% | — | 1,791 |
| MMM | $87.3B | 27.4× | 16.8× | 3.5× | 1.5% | 39.9% | 13.0% | 69.1% | 18.8% | 2.1× | 2,051 |
| WM | $86.0B | 31.8× | 12.1× | 3.4× | 14.2% | 40.4% | 10.7% | 27.1% | 25.3% | 0.1× | 2,262 |
| UPS | $85.0B | 15.3× | 9.5× | 1.0× | -2.6% | — | 6.3% | 34.3% | 13.8% | 2.2× | 2,025 |
| EMR | $83.0B | 36.5× | — | 4.6× | 3.0% | 52.8% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 6.9% | — | 2,112 |
| CTAS | $79.8B | 45.0× | 28.7× | 7.7× | 7.7% | 50.0% | 17.5% | 38.7% | 25.5% | 0.8× | 1,366 |
Peers = companies sharing UPS's sector (Industrials) with collected SEC financials. Multiples use the most recent end-of-day close and latest fiscal-year fundamentals (trailing, not forward). Missing cells mean the peer never reported that line item, has no collected price, or has a non-positive denominator. Not investment advice.
Is the value real, and is the business safe? Academic scores + earnings quality + solvency, from SEC filings.
5/8 of the 9 checks — 1 couldn't be scored (see above), so the score is out of the 8 with data.
Insufficient balance-sheet detail (needs retained earnings, working capital, equity).
Needs granular two-year detail (receivables, PP&E, D&A, SG&A) — not fully reported.
Cash conversion lags reported earnings — watch accruals. Lower/negative accruals = higher quality (Sloan).
Comfortably covers interest; leverage rising year-over-year.
F-Score (0–9 fundamental momentum), Altman Z (distress risk), and Beneish M (earnings-manipulation screen) are academic models computed from the SEC filings. Screens and context — educational, not recommendations.
What the company returns to shareholders — and whether it's covered by cash.
The dividend exceeds free cash flow (113%) — funded from the balance sheet or debt, a red flag if it persists. Last year: $5.4B dividends + $1.0B buybacks = $6.4B returned on $4.8B FCF.
9 consecutive years of dividend increases · 9%/yr.
Yields use the latest fiscal-year dividends/buybacks over current market cap. Dividends and buybacks from the SEC cash-flow statement; payout coverage vs net income and free cash flow. Educational — not a recommendation.
How management deployed cash over 10 years — and what it earned on reinvestment.
A balanced mix of reinvestment and shareholder returns.
Modest payoff on reinvested capital. Current ROIC on all capital: 14%. Rough measure (includes maintenance capex).
Cash uses aggregated from the SEC cash-flow statement over 10 fiscal years. "Return on reinvestment" is a rough proxy — operating-income change ÷ cumulative CapEx + M&A — and includes maintenance capex. Educational — not a recommendation.
How much the company owes, how it's trended, and how comfortably it's serviced.
Cash of $5.9B covers the $500M due within a year 11.8× over. Scheduled principal only (excludes interest & revolver draws). As of 2025-12-31 (10-K).
Green ≤ 1.5× · amber ≤ 3× · red > 3× (leverage relative to cash earnings).
Interest is easily covered by operating profit. Effective rate ~4.2% on $24.2B of debt.
Cash of $5.9B fully covers short-term debt of $608M.
Mostly long-term debt (balance-sheet current vs non-current split). See the maturity ladder above for the year-by-year repayment schedule.
Debt, cash, interest and equity from the SEC balance sheet & income statement. Effective rate = interest ÷ average debt. Maturity ladder from the SEC long-term-debt repayment schedule. Educational — not a recommendation.
EOD close · as of 2026-09-17
No material risks flagged.
Where each multiple sits in its own 14-yr range · 24th pct blended
Dot = today · shaded = middle 50% · line = median. Lower percentile = cheaper vs its own 14-yr history.
Is the profit real, and how strong is the balance sheet?
FY2025 · every deduction from revenue to net income
DuPont — the three levers
Watch the leverage lever — a chunk of ROE comes from the balance sheet.
What the company owes vs. what it holds
Year-by-year maturities aren't in SEC companyfacts (footnote-only), so this shows the debt/cash structure and net leverage instead.
Latest year: profit growth vs revenue growth
High operating leverage: profit moved 2.7× as fast as sales — great in an upturn, painful in a downturn.
Each line as % of revenue — the trend in color
| % of revenue | FY2018 | FY2019 | FY2020 | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Income | 9.8 | 10.5 | 9.1 | 13.2 | 13.0 | 10.0 | 9.3 | 8.9 |
| Income Tax | 1.7 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 3.8 | 3.3 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| Net Income | 6.7 | 6.0 | 1.6 | 13.2 | 11.5 | 7.4 | 6.3 | 6.3 |
Green = margin-favorable vs the row's own range · red = unfavorable.
The metrics that matter, over time
A 30-second read on UPS: price, valuation, headline fundamentals, and an auto-generated scorecard from SEC filings. Flags are rule-based signals, not recommendations.
EOD close · as of 2026-09-17
How a revenue dollar becomes profit — FY2025
Each value shows its share of revenue below it (common-size).
| Line Item | FY2025 | FY2024 | FY2023 | FY2022 | FY2021 | FY2020 | FY2019 | FY2018 | FY2017 | FY2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $88.66B 100.0% | $91.07B 100.0% | $90.96B 100.0% | $100.34B 100.0% | $97.29B 100.0% | $84.63B 100.0% | $74.09B 100.0% | $71.86B 100.0% | $65.87B 100.0% | $60.91B 100.0% |
| Total Operating Expenses | $80.79B 91.1% | $82.60B 90.7% | $81.82B 90.0% | $87.24B 87.0% | $84.48B 86.8% | $76.94B 90.9% | $66.30B 89.5% | $64.84B 90.2% | $59.06B 89.7% | $53.92B 88.5% |
| Operating Income | $7.87B 8.9% | $8.47B 9.3% | $9.14B 10.0% | $13.09B 13.0% | $12.81B 13.2% | $7.68B 9.1% | $7.80B 10.5% | $7.02B 9.8% | $7.53B 11.4% | $7.69B 12.6% |
| Interest Expense | $1.02B 1.1% | $866.0M 1.0% | $785.0M 0.9% | $704.0M 0.7% | $694.0M 0.7% | $701.0M 0.8% | $653.0M 0.9% | $605.0M 0.8% | $453.0M 0.7% | $381.0M 0.6% |
| Other Income (Expense), net | -$703.0M -0.8% | -$1.03B -1.1% | -$568.0M -0.6% | $1.73B 1.7% | $3.79B 3.9% | -$5.84B -6.9% | -$2.15B -2.9% | -$1.00B -1.4% | -$392.0M -0.6% | -$2.57B -4.2% |
| Pretax Income | $7.16B 8.1% | $7.44B 8.2% | $8.57B 9.4% | $14.82B 14.8% | $16.59B 17.1% | $1.84B 2.2% | $5.65B 7.6% | $6.02B 8.4% | $7.14B 10.8% | $5.12B 8.4% |
| Income Tax Expense | $1.59B 1.8% | $1.66B 1.8% | $1.86B 2.1% | $3.28B 3.3% | $3.71B 3.8% | $501.0M 0.6% | $1.21B 1.6% | $1.23B 1.7% | $2.23B 3.4% | $1.70B 2.8% |
| Net Income | $5.57B 6.3% | $5.78B 6.3% | $6.71B 7.4% | $11.55B 11.5% | $12.89B 13.2% | $1.34B 1.6% | $4.44B 6.0% | $4.79B 6.7% | $4.91B 7.4% | $3.42B 5.6% |
| Per Share | ||||||||||
| EPS (Basic) | $6.56 | $6.76 | $7.81 | $13.26 | $14.75 | $1.55 | $5.14 | $5.53 | $5.63 | $3.88 |
| EPS (Diluted) | $6.56 | $6.75 | $7.80 | $13.20 | $14.68 | $1.54 | $5.11 | $5.51 | $5.61 | $3.86 |
| Weighted Avg Shares (Basic) | 849.0M | 855.0M | 859.0M | 871.0M | 874.0M | 867.0M | 864.0M | 866.0M | 871.0M | 883.0M |
| Weighted Avg Shares (Diluted) | 850.0M | 856.0M | 860.0M | 875.0M | 878.0M | 871.0M | 869.0M | 870.0M | 875.0M | 887.0M |
Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL filings (annual, fiscal year). Quarterly flow items are derived from cumulative filings; balance-sheet figures are as-of each period end. Ratios and margins are computed, not reported.
Top 40 institutional holders — bubble size is position value, color is the move since last quarter. Hover any holder for detail.
Drag any bubble to rearrange · size = dollar value of the position