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Held by 323 of 5,944 reporting institutions (95th percentile) — extremely crowded.
Data as of Q1 2026
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Solve the discounted cash flow backwards, then stress-test the assumptions.
To be worth $70.57 today, the market must believe free cash flow compounds 3.6%/yr for a decade (off $804M normalized FCF).
2-stage DCF · 0.13B shares · net debt $2.9B
mean 6.7% · volatility σ 155% · implied rate exceeded in 4/9 yrs
Central path = implied 3.6%/yr growth; shaded band = ±1σ (155%) of this company's historical FCF volatility, widening with time. The wider the band, the less certain the growth.
Reverse DCF: rather than guessing a fair value, we solve for the growth the current price implies, then you stress-test the assumptions. Enterprise value of the FCF stream, less net debt, ÷ shares. Educational — not a recommendation.
EOD close · as of 2026-09-17
How a revenue dollar becomes profit — FY2025
Each value shows its share of revenue below it (common-size).
| Line Item | FY2025 | FY2024 | FY2023 | FY2022 | FY2021 | FY2020 | FY2019 | FY2018 | FY2017 | FY2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $11.17B 100.0% | $12.14B 100.0% | $12.55B 100.0% | $15.79B 100.0% | $11.78B 100.0% | $7.50B 100.0% | $8.12B 100.0% | $8.63B 100.0% | $8.04B 100.0% | $5.08B 100.0% |
| Cost of Revenue | $10.36B 92.7% | $10.19B 83.9% | $10.33B 82.3% | $11.72B 74.2% | $8.28B 70.3% | $6.48B 86.4% | $6.86B 84.5% | $6.65B 77.0% | $6.28B 78.1% | $4.09B 80.6% |
| Cost of Products | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | $6.27B 78.0% | $4.09B 80.7% |
| Gross Profit | $813.0M 7.3% | $1.96B 16.1% | $2.22B 17.7% | $4.07B 25.8% | $3.50B 29.7% | $1.02B 13.6% | $1.26B 15.5% | $1.99B 23.0% | $1.76B 21.9% | $983.0M 19.4% |
| Selling, General & Admin | $900.0M 8.1% | $874.0M 7.2% | $865.0M 6.9% | $835.0M 5.3% | $551.0M 4.7% | $449.0M 6.0% | $458.0M 5.6% | $445.0M 5.2% | $399.0M 5.0% | $258.0M 5.1% |
| Operating Income | -$1.58B -14.1% | $875.0M 7.2% | $729.0M 5.8% | $3.05B 19.3% | $2.80B 23.8% | $429.0M 5.7% | $656.0M 8.1% | $1.41B 16.3% | $1.23B 15.2% | $583.0M 11.5% |
| Interest Expense | $171.0M 1.5% | $159.0M 1.3% | $165.0M 1.3% | $177.0M 1.1% | $176.0M 1.5% | $142.0M 1.9% | $124.0M 1.5% | $126.0M 1.5% | $159.0M 2.0% | $79.0M 1.6% |
| Interest & Investment Income | $100.0M 0.9% | $153.0M 1.3% | $104.0M 0.8% | $24.0M 0.2% | $7.0M 0.1% | $14.0M 0.2% | $20.0M 0.2% | $17.0M 0.2% | — | $8.4M 0.2% |
| Other Income (Expense), net | $152.0M 1.4% | $222.0M 1.8% | $136.0M 1.1% | $73.0M 0.5% | $53.0M 0.4% | $44.0M 0.6% | $38.0M 0.5% | $52.0M 0.6% | $15.0M 0.2% | $54.0M 1.1% |
| Pretax Income | -$1.60B -14.3% | $938.0M 7.7% | $700.0M 5.6% | $2.95B 18.7% | $2.68B 22.7% | $331.0M 4.4% | $570.0M 7.0% | $1.33B 15.4% | $1.08B 13.4% | $558.0M 11.0% |
| Income Tax Expense | -$126.0M -1.1% | $291.0M 2.4% | $178.0M 1.4% | $649.0M 4.1% | $607.0M 5.2% | -$42.0M -0.6% | $108.0M 1.3% | $300.0M 3.5% | -$258.0M -3.2% | $138.0M 2.7% |
| Net Income | -$1.51B -13.5% | $602.0M 5.0% | $479.0M 3.8% | $2.25B 14.2% | $2.02B 17.1% | $330.0M 4.4% | $421.0M 5.2% | $996.0M 11.5% | $1.30B 16.2% | $399.0M 7.9% |
| Per Share | ||||||||||
| EPS (Basic) | $-11.70 | $4.66 | $3.73 | $17.46 | $15.66 | $2.57 | $3.26 | $7.66 | $10.05 | $3.07 |
| EPS (Diluted) | $-11.70 | $4.64 | $3.70 | $17.34 | $15.58 | $2.56 | $3.25 | $7.62 | $10.00 | $3.06 |
| Weighted Avg Shares (Basic) | 128.3M | 128.5M | 127.8M | 128.0M | 128.0M | 127.9M | 128.4M | 129.4M | 129.1M | 129.4M |
| Weighted Avg Shares (Diluted) | 128.3M | 129.2M | 128.6M | 128.8M | 128.7M | 128.1M | 128.8M | 130.0M | 129.5M | 130.0M |
Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL filings (annual, fiscal year). Quarterly flow items are derived from cumulative filings; balance-sheet figures are as-of each period end. Ratios and margins are computed, not reported.
Is the value real, and is the business safe? Academic scores + earnings quality + solvency, from SEC filings.
Safe > 2.99 · grey 1.81–2.99 · distress < 1.81
Eight indices comparing this year to last (receivables, margins, asset quality, growth, accruals, leverage). Above −1.78 suggests possible manipulation; below −2.22 is clean.
A screen, not proof — high growth alone can raise it.
Cash-conversion data unavailable. Lower/negative accruals = higher quality (Sloan).
Interest coverage is thin — monitor; leverage falling year-over-year.
F-Score (0–9 fundamental momentum), Altman Z (distress risk), and Beneish M (earnings-manipulation screen) are academic models computed from the SEC filings. Screens and context — educational, not recommendations.
What the company returns to shareholders — and whether it's covered by cash.
Free-cash-flow coverage unavailable. Last year: $272M dividends + $63M buybacks = $335M returned on -$530M FCF.
9 consecutive years of dividend increases · 12%/yr.
Yields use the latest fiscal-year dividends/buybacks over current market cap. Dividends and buybacks from the SEC cash-flow statement; payout coverage vs net income and free cash flow. Educational — not a recommendation.
How management deployed cash over 10 years — and what it earned on reinvestment.
A reinvestment story — most cash went back into growth rather than to shareholders.
Operating income fell despite reinvestment — a warning on capital productivity. Current ROIC on all capital: -10%. Rough measure (includes maintenance capex).
Cash uses aggregated from the SEC cash-flow statement over 10 fiscal years. "Return on reinvestment" is a rough proxy — operating-income change ÷ cumulative CapEx + M&A — and includes maintenance capex. Educational — not a recommendation.
How much the company owes, how it's trended, and how comfortably it's serviced.
Cash of $2.7B covers all $1.6B of scheduled principal — no refinancing pressure. Scheduled principal only (excludes interest & revolver draws). As of 2025-12-31 (10-K).
Green ≤ 1.5× · amber ≤ 3× · red > 3× (leverage relative to cash earnings).
Thin coverage — earnings barely cover interest. Effective rate ~3.1% on $5.6B of debt.
Cash of $2.7B fully covers short-term debt of $497M.
Mostly long-term debt (balance-sheet current vs non-current split). See the maturity ladder above for the year-by-year repayment schedule.
Debt, cash, interest and equity from the SEC balance sheet & income statement. Effective rate = interest ÷ average debt. Maturity ladder from the SEC long-term-debt repayment schedule. Educational — not a recommendation.
EOD close · as of 2026-09-17
No standout strengths flagged.
Where each multiple sits in its own 14-yr range · 4th pct blended
Dot = today · shaded = middle 50% · line = median. Lower percentile = cheaper vs its own 14-yr history.
Is the profit real, and how strong is the balance sheet?
FY2025 · every deduction from revenue to net income
DuPont — the three levers
Watch the leverage lever — a chunk of ROE comes from the balance sheet.
What the company owes vs. what it holds
Year-by-year maturities aren't in SEC companyfacts (footnote-only), so this shows the debt/cash structure and net leverage instead.
Latest year: profit growth vs revenue growth
High operating leverage: profit moved 35.0× as fast as sales — great in an upturn, painful in a downturn.
Each line as % of revenue — the trend in color
| % of revenue | FY2018 | FY2019 | FY2020 | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cost of Revenue | 77.0 | 84.5 | 86.4 | 70.3 | 74.2 | 82.3 | 83.9 | 92.7 |
| Gross Profit | 23.0 | 15.5 | 13.6 | 29.7 | 25.8 | 17.7 | 16.1 | 7.3 |
| SG&A | 5.2 | 5.6 | 6.0 | 4.7 | 5.3 | 6.9 | 7.2 | 8.1 |
| Operating Income | 16.3 | 8.1 | 5.7 | 23.8 | 19.3 | 5.8 | 7.2 | -14.1 |
| Income Tax | 3.5 | 1.3 | -0.6 | 5.2 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 2.4 | -1.1 |
| Net Income | 11.5 | 5.2 | 4.4 | 17.1 | 14.2 | 3.8 | 5.0 | -13.5 |
Green = margin-favorable vs the row's own range · red = unfavorable.
The metrics that matter, over time
A 30-second read on WLK: price, valuation, headline fundamentals, and an auto-generated scorecard from SEC filings. Flags are rule-based signals, not recommendations.
Total return (dividends reinvested) vs the market, from quarter-end prices.
Above 0 = ahead of the S&P 500 since the window start; below 0 = behind. Rising means it's pulling ahead.
How far the stock fell below its prior peak. Deeper, longer drawdowns = a rougher ride to the same return.
Quarter-end, dividend-adjusted (total return). Beta & volatility from quarterly returns (annualized). Benchmark is the S&P 500 (SPY total return). Annual returns compound the quarters ending in each calendar year; the first and last years in a window may be partial. Past performance doesn't predict future results.
Ranked against 238 sector peers with collected financials. Valuation from latest close × latest fiscal-year fundamentals; 13F conviction as of 2026-03-31.
Percentile is “goodness” within the peer set (100 = best). For valuation and leverage that means cheaper / less-levered ranks higher.
| Company | Mkt cap ▼ | P/E | EV/EBITDA | P/S | Rev gr | Gross | Net | ROE | ROIC | Net D/EBITDA | 13F |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BHP | $427.1B | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 713 |
| LIN | $216.9B | 31.6× | 19.5× | 6.4× | 3.0% | — | 20.3% | 18.0% | 10.9% | 2.1× | 2,148 |
| SCCO | $157.0B | 36.2× | 20.3× | 11.7× | 17.4% | 60.1% | 32.4% | 39.4% | 24.4% | 0.9× | 791 |
| CX | $147.4B | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 297 |
| TX | $114.2B | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 139 |
| FCX | $99.5B | — | 12.0× | 3.8× | 1.8% | 28.2% | 16.0% | 22.0% | 14.7% | 1.1× | 1,775 |
| AEM | $97.8B | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1,066 |
| SHW | $79.6B | 31.3× | — | 3.4× | 2.1% | 48.8% | 10.9% | 55.9% | 17.0% | — | 1,610 |
| ECL | $77.3B | 37.6× | 22.7× | 4.8× | 2.2% | 44.5% | 12.9% | 21.2% | 19.5% | 0.3× | 1,619 |
| B | $71.3B | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 979 |
| WPM | $66.6B | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 809 |
| APD | $63.9B | — | 90.3× | 5.3× | -0.5% | 31.4% | -3.3% | -2.6% | -2.6% | 0.1× | 1,702 |
| NUE | $60.1B | 34.7× | — | 1.9× | 5.7% | 11.9% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | — | 1,325 |
| VALE | $60.1B | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 537 |
| CRH | $58.0B | 15.7× | 9.3× | 1.6× | 5.3% | 36.1% | 10.0% | 15.6% | 9.2% | 2.2× | 9 |
| MT | $55.7B | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 286 |
| DD | $53.3B | — | — | 7.8× | 1.9% | 34.5% | -11.4% | -5.6% | -5.6% | — | 1,172 |
| AU | $50.4B | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 537 |
| FNV | $50.0B | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 614 |
| NTR | $37.1B | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 718 |
| STLD | $34.5B | 29.8× | 18.7× | 1.9× | 3.6% | 13.2% | 6.5% | 13.2% | 9.0% | 2.1× | 893 |
| KGC | $33.4B | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 630 |
| VMC | $31.9B | 30.1× | 15.2× | 4.0× | 7.1% | 27.4% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 8.4% | 1.8× | 981 |
| MLM | $30.0B | 26.5× | 17.0× | 4.9× | 8.6% | 30.7% | 18.5% | 11.3% | 7.4% | 2.6× | 1,022 |
| PPG | $23.5B | 15.1× | — | 1.5× | 0.2% | 41.3% | 9.9% | 19.8% | 10.3% | — | 1,003 |
| WLK | $9.1B | — | — | 0.8× | -8.0% | 7.3% | -13.5% | -17.2% | -10.5% | -14.0× | 323 |
Peers = companies sharing WLK's sector (Basic Materials) with collected SEC financials. Multiples use the most recent end-of-day close and latest fiscal-year fundamentals (trailing, not forward). Missing cells mean the peer never reported that line item, has no collected price, or has a non-positive denominator. Not investment advice.